East Carolina at Army - 2026 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Army Black Knights  Army logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Blaik Field at Michie Stadium - West Point, NY  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (14 - 5)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
ECU 2nd straight Road Game
ARMY coming off BYE
ECU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -2.5  (SP+ ECU -7)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - ARMY: 24 (50)
ECU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 440 miles
Black Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (89 - 63)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 4.6 (#54)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
East Carolina's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 East Carolina at Alabama+19
Sat 9/12 East Carolina vs App State-16.5
Sat 9/19 East Carolina at Old Dominion-1.5
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 East Carolina vs Rice-19.5
Thu 10/15 East Carolina at UAB-16
Thu 10/22 East Carolina at Memphis+5.5
Sat 10/31 East Carolina vs Temple-10.5
Fri 11/6 East Carolina vs South Florida+2
Sat 11/14 East Carolina at Charlotte-21
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Army-2.5
Fri 11/27 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Army's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Army vs Bryant-21.5
Sat 9/12 Army vs South Florida+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Army at Temple-0
Sat 10/3 Army at Louisiana Tech-0.5
Sat 10/10 Army vs Tulane+1
Sat 10/17 Army vs Florida Atlantic-8.5
Fri 10/23 Army at Tulsa-1.5
Sat 10/31 Army at Memphis+10.5
Sat 11/7 Army vs Air Force-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Army vs East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/28 Army at Rice-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#40 (.21)46% (22)32.745% (55)3.04 (54)17649% (11)2733.76 (63)#33 (.09)38% (27)20.138% (17)39% (45)3.05 (19)61.51.11.8
ARMY#53 (.19)42% (70)23.843% (78)3.06 (48)25538% (107)813.7 (67)#75 (.18)44% (105)21.645% (96)45% (113)3.76 (74)21.90.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.846.4%3.761.1234491762734.152%46%45%49%13%.21
ARMY Defense1321.624.244.4%3.761.2 - - - - - 54%45%45%45%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.838.3%3.051.8 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%19%.09
ARMY Offense1323.825.642.2%3.70.819336255814.484%15%43%38%8%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1328:1923.347%47%7.261.51.11.87.82.3131.2
Army1334:3518.841%70%2.621.90.81.23.41.1130.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (55)43176.34.131 (30).09 (77)3.04 (54)69% (94)8% (30)0.83 (120)
ARMY Defense1354% (109)45% (96) - - - - .1 (69)3.13 (107)75% (94)8% (123)0.87 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1347% (30)38% (17) - - - - .02 (24)2.51 (11)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (123)
ARMY Offense1384% (1)43% (78)57.52554.431 (23).15 (50)3.06 (48)78% (26)7% (11)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1346% (91)49% (11)21.933.8272.78.112.422 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (71)26% (7)37% (12).49 (13)5% (33)1.8 (118)
ARMY Defense1345% (24)45% (113) - - - - - - 8 (75).29 (88)1.5 (37)29% (109)30% (72).24 (52)5% (99)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1352% (113)39% (45) - - - - - - 10 (100).17 (36)1.4 (22)36% (11)28% (44).18 (23)6% (81)1.8 (22)
ARMY Offense1315% (136)38% (107)5.29.780.88.315.56 (134)5 (20).47 (7)2.4 (1)27% (16)29% (80).25 (90)1% (1)1.7 (133)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -2.12  #79
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.26  #90
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 16.38  #72
2026 Talent Rating: 636.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
East Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
East Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -2.12   Army: 0.31

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 8.0   Army: 0.8




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 0.31  #87
Army's Offense Rating: 12.14  #72
Army's Defense Rating: 22.32  #117
2026 Talent Rating: 84.00  #138
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Army's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 4.6
Army's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8  #74
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #85
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 26
Army 24

Projected Total Points: 50
Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/25East Carolina28Army6East Carolina -3.5East Carolina52.5Under
202410/19Army45East Carolina28Army -17.5East Carolina54.0Over
200410/30East Carolina38Army28
200310/18Army32East Carolina38
200210/05East Carolina59Army24
200110/13Army26East Carolina49
200010/13East Carolina42Army21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army101 Overs
East Carolina621 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#79) ECU at (#87) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #79 #87
SP+SP+ #38 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #85 #138
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #103
East Carolina Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Good, Harrel a 14-5 start, won 9 LY
(2/25) Sneaky good portal class, #12 in G5
(2/25) QB1 Griffis (TT) vs Williams (Miami) will battle
(2/25) RB Allen (Marsh) & Gray (UNT) with depth
(2/25) WR has good looking trio & really good depth
(2/25) OL has 3 starters, need help at OT, 3 portals
(2/25) DL looks workable, solid DT combo, need rush
(2/25) Def back 7 needs work, 8 portals should help
East Carolina Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #22 #105
ExplosiveExp #111 #11
PPAPPA #40 #75
PowerPwr #90 #117
SP+SP+ #33 #53
Pts POPPO #63 #74
HavocHav #25 #121
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #96
Run ExplRExp #120 #21
PPAExp #77 #69
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #54 #107
Stuff RateStuff #13 #111
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #113
Pass ExplPExl #71 #37
PPAExp #32 #88
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #123
DB HavocDB #33 #99
Army on Offense
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #70 #27
ExplosiveExp #125 #84
PPAPPA #53 #33
PowerPwr #72 #72
SP+SP+ #85 #51
Pts POPPO #67 #19
HavocHav #1 #11
Army Run Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #17
Run ExplRExp #70 #123
PPAExp #50 #24
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #48 #11
Stuff RateStuff #6 #3
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #45
Pass ExplPExl #1 #22
PPAExp #7 #36
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #5
DB HavocDB #1 #81
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Army last year (28-6)
Army beat East Carolina in 2024 (45-28)

  
ECU's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis (Tr)263672%357209.9
Emory Williams (Tr)131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Allen (Tr)7738545.068
Ashton Gray (Tr)5837756.551
TJ Engleman5930615.223
DeJuan Lacy104414.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Ja'Keith Hamilton (Tr)40545513.664
Landon Sides (Tr)34449113.260
Ismael Smith Flores19227611.943

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Jordan Hankins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Ayden Duncanson331001
Preston Carr315220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson267530
Kendrick DuJour115411
Rion Roseborough166310
Preston Carr315220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
Ashton Levells (Tr)211004
Kevon Merrell275012

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums478754%694438.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums3051215184.050
Briggs Bartosh4325415.975
Carson Smith5523124.211
Godspower Nwawuihe2019529.870
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson14381227.268
Samari Howard11133112.141
Parker Poloskey454113.526
Tobi Olawole32107.09

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaydan Mayes351013
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Stephen Nnadozie231001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Cael Newton41110
Sean Donovan61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxon Hammond90003
Jaydan Mayes351013
Cole Searight234201