App State at East Carolina - 2026 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers at East Carolina Pirates  East Carolina logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC

 
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (5 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: East Carolina -16.5  (SP+ ECU -19)
Projected Score: APP: 19 - ECU: 36 (55)
ECU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
APP Travel: 246 miles
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (14 - 5)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
App State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 App State at East Carolina+16.5
Sat 9/19 App State vs Charlotte-12.5
Sat 9/26 App State at NC State+22.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
East Carolina's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 East Carolina at Alabama+19
Sat 9/12 East Carolina vs App State-16.5
Sat 9/19 East Carolina at Old Dominion-1.5
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 East Carolina vs Rice-19.5
Thu 10/15 East Carolina at UAB-16
Thu 10/22 East Carolina at Memphis+5.5
Sat 10/31 East Carolina vs Temple-10.5
Fri 11/6 East Carolina vs South Florida+2
Sat 11/14 East Carolina at Charlotte-21
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Army-2.5
Fri 11/27 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#101 (.12)42% (72)24.244% (65)3.03 (56)12841% (76)2573.5 (91)#83 (.18)45% (116)29.846% (108)46% (115)4.24 (121)62.81.71.5
ECU#40 (.21)46% (22)32.745% (55)3.04 (54)17649% (11)2733.76 (63)#33 (.09)38% (27)20.138% (17)39% (45)3.05 (19)61.51.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1324.221.642%3.51.7213851282574.143%55%44%41%17%.12
ECU Defense1320.119.838.3%3.051.8 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1329.837.445.2%4.241.5 - - - - - 46%52%46%46%17%.18
ECU Offense1332.736.246.4%3.761.1234491762734.152%46%45%49%13%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1328:1721.133%63%6.862.81.71.55.82.2128
East Carolina1328:1923.347%47%7.261.51.11.87.82.3131.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1343% (117)44% (65)31.5128.44.112 (99).08 (84)3.03 (56)69% (91)8% (27)0.79 (132)
ECU Defense1347% (30)38% (17) - - - - .02 (24)2.51 (11)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1346% (20)46% (108) - - - - .08 (59)2.86 (61)69% (54)10% (65)0.83 (10)
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (55)43176.34.131 (30).09 (77)3.04 (54)69% (94)8% (30)0.83 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1355% (22)41% (76)2339.1256.56.611.223 (33)15 (108).21 (90)1.5 (84)32% (88)33% (36).31 (68)9% (133)1.9 (116)
ECU Defense1352% (113)39% (45) - - - - - - 10 (100).17 (36)1.4 (22)36% (11)28% (44).18 (23)6% (81)1.8 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1352% (117)46% (115) - - - - - - 13 (22).31 (95)1.5 (47)31% (70)33% (107).37 (104)7% (36)2.1 (97)
ECU Offense1346% (91)49% (11)21.933.8272.78.112.422 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (71)26% (7)37% (12).49 (13)5% (33)1.8 (118)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -10.37  #111
App State's Offense Rating: 5.33  #111
App State's Defense Rating: 20.70  #102
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #72
App State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
App State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #111
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527.64
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -10.37   East Carolina: 5.44

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -11.4   East Carolina: 8.0




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 5.44  #79
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.26  #90
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 16.38  #72
2026 Talent Rating: 636.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
East Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
East Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 36
App State 19

Projected Total Points: 55
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14East Carolina19App State21East Carolina -0.5App State56.5Under
202309/16App State43East Carolina28Appalachian State -7.5App State48.5Over
202109/02App State33East Carolina19Appalachian State -9App State55.5Under
201209/01East Carolina35App State13
200909/05East Carolina29App State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina201 Overs
App State332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#111) APP at (#79) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #111 #79
SP+SP+ #111 #38
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #72 #87
App State Notes
(2/24) Year 2 of Loggains era after bad first season
(2/24) QB1 has limited exp (Ark, PU) but is very mobile
(2/24) RB Lewis had good Fr year, added good depth too
(2/24) WR a ?, counting on FCS portals + depth
(2/24) OL a ?, 2 have starter exp, 4 portals have little
(2/24) Def was a disaster LY, can 18 portals stable things?
(2/24) DL added 3 portals and 6 croots to help
(2/24) DBs added 11 portals, should improve here
(2/24) Clearly building w portals + croots, we'll see
App State Injury Report
East Carolina Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Good, Harrel a 14-5 start, won 9 LY
(2/25) Sneaky good portal class, #12 in G5
(2/25) QB1 Griffis (TT) vs Williams (Miami) will battle
(2/25) RB Allen (Marsh) & Gray (UNT) with depth
(2/25) WR has good looking trio & really good depth
(2/25) OL has 3 starters, need help at OT, 3 portals
(2/25) DL looks workable, solid DT combo, need rush
(2/25) Def back 7 needs work, 8 portals should help
East Carolina Injury Report
App State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #72 #27
ExplosiveExp #107 #84
PPAPPA #101 #33
PowerPwr #111 #72
SP+SP+ #100 #51
Pts POPPO #91 #19
HavocHav #94 #11
App State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #65 #17
Run ExplRExp #132 #123
PPAExp #84 #24
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #56 #11
Stuff RateStuff #29 #3
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #76 #45
Pass ExplPExl #84 #22
PPAExp #90 #36
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #27 #5
DB HavocDB #133 #81
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #22 #116
ExplosiveExp #111 #34
PPAPPA #40 #83
PowerPwr #90 #102
SP+SP+ #33 #122
Pts POPPO #63 #121
HavocHav #25 #52
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #108
Run ExplRExp #120 #10
PPAExp #77 #59
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #54 #61
Stuff RateStuff #13 #87
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #115
Pass ExplPExl #71 #47
PPAExp #32 #95
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #65
DB HavocDB #33 #36
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
App State beat East Carolina in 2024 (21-19)
App State beat East Carolina in 2023 (43-28)

  
APP's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malachi Singleton (Tr)386459%439526.9
Noah Gillon173944%175024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaquari Lewis14061864.427
Malachi Singleton (Tr)4920214.140
J'Marion Burnette (Tr)288202.912
Juan Berchal122022.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Lofton (Tr)55917416.767
Sam Pickett III (Tr)33450213.677
Darrin Fugitt (Tr)32341210.737
Sam Mbake2420718.624

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC D. J. Smith (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares10110223
Cary Grant (Tr)453000
Aiden Benton385580
Keshawn Thomas (Tr)375311
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Benton385580
Caleb Sandstrom224432
Keshawn Thomas (Tr)375311
Colton Phares10110223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares10110223
Juan Berchal101003
Dylan Hasz322113

ECU's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis (Tr)263672%357209.9
Emory Williams (Tr)131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Allen (Tr)7738545.068
Ashton Gray (Tr)5837756.551
TJ Engleman5930615.223
DeJuan Lacy104414.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Ja'Keith Hamilton (Tr)40545513.664
Landon Sides (Tr)34449113.260
Ismael Smith Flores19227611.943

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Jordan Hankins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Ayden Duncanson331001
Preston Carr315220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson267530
Kendrick DuJour115411
Rion Roseborough166310
Preston Carr315220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
Ashton Levells (Tr)211004
Kevon Merrell275012