East Carolina at Old Dominion - 2026 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Old Dominion Monarchs  Old Dominion logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Foreman Field - Norfolk, VA

 
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (14 - 5)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: East Carolina -1.5  (SP+ ECU -2)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - ODU: 24 (50)
ECU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ECU Travel: 107 miles
Monarchs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (30 - 33)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (34 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 East Carolina at Alabama+19
Sat 9/12 East Carolina vs App State-16.5
Sat 9/19 East Carolina at Old Dominion-1.5
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 East Carolina vs Rice-19.5
Thu 10/15 East Carolina at UAB-16
Thu 10/22 East Carolina at Memphis+5.5
Sat 10/31 East Carolina vs Temple-10.5
Fri 11/6 East Carolina vs South Florida+2
Sat 11/14 East Carolina at Charlotte-21
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Army-2.5
Fri 11/27 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/19 Old Dominion vs East Carolina+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Old Dominion at UConn+1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#40 (.21)46% (22)32.745% (55)3.04 (54)17649% (11)2733.76 (63)#33 (.09)38% (27)20.138% (17)39% (45)3.05 (19)61.51.11.8
ODU#27 (.25)46% (31)3247% (29)3.19 (22)23944% (45)2163.94 (48)#7 (.03)39% (41)18.545% (100)34% (11)3.03 (18)53.81.82
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ODU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.846.4%3.761.1234491762734.152%46%45%49%13%.21
ODU Defense1318.58.539.3%3.032 - - - - - 50%47%45%34%19%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.838.3%3.051.8 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%19%.09
ODU Offense133234.345.9%3.941.8224552392165.658%41%47%44%14%.25

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1328:1923.347%47%7.261.51.11.87.82.3131.2
Old Dominion1328:2922.541%31%653.81.826.93030.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (55)43176.34.131 (30).09 (77)3.04 (54)69% (94)8% (30)0.83 (120)
ODU Defense1350% (69)45% (100) - - - - .01 (21)2.91 (74)62% (13)12% (13)0.78 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1347% (30)38% (17) - - - - .02 (24)2.51 (11)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (123)
ODU Offense1358% (16)47% (29)42.5238.95.631 (49).14 (61)3.19 (22)64% (111)10% (78)0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1346% (91)49% (11)21.933.8272.78.112.422 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (71)26% (7)37% (12).49 (13)5% (33)1.8 (118)
ODU Defense1347% (56)34% (11) - - - - - - 15 (55).09 (9)1.5 (30)30% (94)25% (16).21 (31)7% (36)1.8 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1352% (113)39% (45) - - - - - - 10 (100).17 (36)1.4 (22)36% (11)28% (44).18 (23)6% (81)1.8 (22)
ODU Offense1341% (121)44% (45)14.725.42168.514.721 (22)10 (119).41 (18)1.8 (6)28% (18)35% (22).5 (9)4% (17)2.3 (2)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -2.12  #79
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.26  #90
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 16.38  #72
2026 Talent Rating: 636.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
East Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
East Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -2.12   Old Dominion: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 8.0   Old Dominion: 5.9




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: 1.55  #102
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 6.06  #107
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 18.86  #86
2026 Talent Rating: 438.00  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #72
Old Dominion's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Old Dominion's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #49
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527.64
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 26
Old Dominion 24


Projected Total Points: 50
Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Old Dominion's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Old Dominion14East Carolina20Old Dominion -1.5East Carolina53.5Under
202209/10East Carolina39Old Dominion21East Carolina -13East Carolina49.5Over
201909/28Old Dominion21East Carolina24Old Dominion -3East Carolina46.5Under
201809/29East Carolina37Old Dominion35East Carolina -7Old Dominion61.5Over
201308/31East Carolina52Old Dominion38East Carolina -14.5Old Dominion0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion022 Overs
East Carolina532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 41 - 40 - 0
Road Teams2 - 34 - 10 - 04 - 1

(#79) ECU at (#102) ODU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUODU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #79 #102
SP+SP+ #38 #49
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #85 #124
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #72
East Carolina Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Good, Harrel a 14-5 start, won 9 LY
(2/25) Sneaky good portal class, #12 in G5
(2/25) QB1 Griffis (TT) vs Williams (Miami) will battle
(2/25) RB Allen (Marsh) & Gray (UNT) with depth
(2/25) WR has good looking trio & really good depth
(2/25) OL has 3 starters, need help at OT, 3 portals
(2/25) DL looks workable, solid DT combo, need rush
(2/25) Def back 7 needs work, 8 portals should help
East Carolina Injury Report
Old Dominion Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Rahne big year LY, can they continue?
(2/25) QB Potter (WSU) decent but statue, depth ?
(2/25) RB Roche was #2, 2 portals add depth
(2/25) WR Harris good, Harrell was big croot from Miss
(2/25) OL has 3 with starting exp, but 2 are FCS
(2/25) Def DBs strength again, F7 still iffy again
Old Dominion Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffODU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #22 #41
ExplosiveExp #111 #1
PPAPPA #40 #7
PowerPwr #90 #86
SP+SP+ #33 #48
Pts POPPO #63 #18
HavocHav #25 #17
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffODU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #100
Run ExplRExp #120 #3
PPAExp #77 #21
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #54 #74
Stuff RateStuff #13 #40
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffODU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #11
Pass ExplPExl #71 #30
PPAExp #32 #9
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #13
DB HavocDB #33 #36
Old Dominion on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatODU OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #31 #27
ExplosiveExp #40 #84
PPAPPA #27 #33
PowerPwr #107 #72
SP+SP+ #39 #51
Pts POPPO #48 #19
HavocHav #45 #11
Old Dominion Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
ODU OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #29 #17
Run ExplRExp #71 #123
PPAExp #61 #24
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #22 #11
Stuff RateStuff #23 #3
TackleTak - NR
Old Dominion Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatODU OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #45 #45
Pass ExplPExl #6 #22
PPAExp #18 #36
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #78 #5
DB HavocDB #17 #81
Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Old Dominion in 2024 (20-14)

  
ECU's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis (Tr)263672%357209.9
Emory Williams (Tr)131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Allen (Tr)7738545.068
Ashton Gray (Tr)5837756.551
TJ Engleman5930615.223
DeJuan Lacy104414.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Ja'Keith Hamilton (Tr)40545513.664
Landon Sides (Tr)34449113.260
Ismael Smith Flores19227611.943

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Jordan Hankins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Ayden Duncanson331001
Preston Carr315220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson267530
Kendrick DuJour115411
Rion Roseborough166310
Preston Carr315220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
Ashton Levells (Tr)211004
Kevon Merrell275012

ODU's OC Kody Cook (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxon Potter (Tr)679571%604436.4
Quinn Henicle174043%184004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Roche11163445.767
Maurki James5622424.030
Quinn Henicle4420924.851
Jaxon Potter (Tr)5801.65
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendall Harris37478312.949
Sidney Mbanasor668011.318
TJ Johnson468117.036
Leon Haughton Jr. (Tr)443110.821

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly802034
Zion Frink601006
Jackson Forrest527510
Nickendre Stiger463005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Forrest527510
Javen Gibson245410
Hunter Malecki103300
Deandre Lynch302122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Crutchfield350006
Zion Frink601006
Nickendre Stiger463005