Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Maryland wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Maryland -28.5
O/U 53.5
ESPN Bet
Towson 2025 Schedule
Towson's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Towson at Maryland | +28.5L17–44 | 53.5 | L17–44 | O | Y |
Maryland 2025 Schedule
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Maryland vs Florida Atlantic | -16.5W39–7 | 57.5 | W39–7 | U | Y |
| Fri 9/5 | Maryland vs Northern Illinois | -17.0W20–9 | 44.5 | W20–9 | U | N |
| Sat 9/13 | Maryland vs Towson | -28.5W44–17 | 53.5 | W44–17 | O | N |
| Sat 9/20 | Maryland at Wisconsin | +10.5W27–10 | 44.5 | W27–10 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Maryland vs Washington | +5.5L20–24 | 52.5 | L20–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/11 | Maryland vs Nebraska | +7.0L31–34 | 47.5 | L31–34 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | Maryland at UCLA | +3.5L17–20 | 52.5 | L17–20 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Maryland vs Indiana | +21.0L10–55 | 50.5 | L10–55 | O | N |
| Sat 11/8 | Maryland at Rutgers | +1.5L20–35 | 56.5 | L20–35 | U | N |
| Sat 11/15 | Maryland at Illinois | +15.5L6–24 | 51.5 | L6–24 | U | N |
| Sat 11/22 | Maryland vs Michigan | +14.0L20–45 | 46.5 | L20–45 | O | N |
| Sat 11/29 | Maryland vs Michigan State | +4.0L28–38 | 49.5 | L28–38 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Towson Edge
Towson +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Maryland Edge
Maryland +26.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓