UL Monroe at Georgia State - 2022 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (1:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -13.5 (59.5)
UL Monroe 31 - Georgia State: 28 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ GAST -12)
Projected Score: ULM: 25 - GAST: 28 (53)
GAST Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ULM Travel: 452 miles, 1 hrs behind

Panthers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shawn Elliott (30 - 30)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	UL Monroe at Texas	+37.0	64.5	L 10 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/10	UL Monroe vs Nicholls	-4.5	58.5	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	UL Monroe at Alabama	+49.5	68.5	L 7 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+9.5	51.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+7.5	58.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	UL Monroe vs Coastal Carolina	+12.5	58.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+17.0	51.0	L 34 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/22	UL Monroe at Army	+6.5	55.5	L 24 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	UL Monroe vs Texas State	-2.5	52.5	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/12	UL Monroe at Georgia State	+13.5	59.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/19	UL Monroe at Troy	+15.0	48.5	L 16 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/26	UL Monroe vs Southern Miss	+3.0	49.5	L 10 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Georgia State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia State at South Carolina	+12.5	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia State vs North Carolina	+7.0	64.0	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-19.5	64.0	L 41 - 42	O	N
Thu 9/22	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	63.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/1	Georgia State at Army	+8.5	54.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	67.5	W 41 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/19	Georgia State at App State	+9.5	60.5	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/29	Georgia State vs Old Dominion	-3.5	53.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Georgia State at Southern Miss	+2.0	47.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-13.5	59.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia State at James Madison	+10.0	51.5	L 40 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Georgia State at Marshall	+6.5	45.5	L 23 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	.08	33%	16.6	34%	2.48	134	32%	194	3.4	.27	47%	31.9	46%	48%	4.34	32.6	1.3	1.6
GAST	.24	47%	19.8	49%	3.27	225	45%	162	4.54	.2	39%	37.8	38%	40%	3.55	50.5	1.2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	16.6	15.4	33%	3.4	1.3	19	328	134	194	3.2	52%	48%	34%	32%	21%	.08
GAST Defense	13	37.8	30.3	39.4%	3.55	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	40%	21%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.9	39	46.6%	4.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	15%	.27
GAST Offense	13	19.8	21.5	47.1%	4.54	1.2	21	387	225	162	5	62%	38%	49%	45%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	28:49	18.6	34%	52%	3.8	32.6	1.3	1.6	4.8	1.9	1	28.4
Georgia State	13	28:21	21.5	42%	56%	5.4	50.5	1.2	2	6.9	2.8	1	26

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	52%	34%	41.7	134.4	3.2	13		2.48	76%	16%	1.02
GAST Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.8	81%	14%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	49%	46%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.31	69%	10%	0.93
GAST Offense	13	62%	49%	45.1	225.5	5	25	.23	3.27	79%	11%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	48%	32%	16.7	29.5	194	6.6	11.6	15	9	.17	1.9	38%	30%	.4	5%	2.3
GAST Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.7	35%	31%	.38	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	51%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.6	28%	31%	.44	6%	2.1
GAST Offense	13	38%	45%	13.8	23.9	161.6	6.8	11.7	19	8	.3	1.5	27%	31%	.23	6%	1.8

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2022 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.7 #118
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.0 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: Georgia State: 0.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -15.7 Georgia State: -3.3

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: 0.85 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #40
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 28
UL Monroe 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	Georgia State	28	UL Monroe	31	Georgia State -13.5	UL Monroe	59.5	Under
2021	10/09	UL Monroe	21	Georgia State	55	Georgia State -16	Georgia State	49.5	Over
2020	11/07	Georgia State	52	UL Monroe	34	Georgia State -18.5	UL Monroe	60.0	Over
2019	11/09	UL Monroe	45	Georgia State	31	Georgia State -2.5	UL Monroe	77.5	Under
2018	09/29	Georgia State	46	UL Monroe	14	Louisiana Monroe -6	Georgia State	65.0	Under
2017	10/14	UL Monroe	37	Georgia State	47	Louisiana Monroe -3.5	Georgia State	57.0	Over
2016	11/12	Georgia State	23	UL Monroe	37	Georgia State -12.5	UL Monroe	51.5	Over
2013	10/26	UL Monroe	38	Georgia State	10	Louisiana Monroe -11.5	UL Monroe	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	4	3	4 Overs
UL Monroe	4	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	3 - 5	1 - 4	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 4	5 - 3	1 - 2	4 - 1

(#) ULM at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#79
Perf GradeGrade	#129	#85
OffenseOff	#120	#87
DefenseDef	#127	#74
Spec TeamsST	#130	#108
TalentTal	#120	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UL Monroe Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#120	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#119	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#129

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#125	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#127
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#90	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#134

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#85	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia State -13.5 (59.5)
UL Monroe won at Georgia State this year (31-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULM's OC Matt Kubik (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Vic Koenning (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD