Georgia State at App State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at App State Mountaineers

Wednesday, October 19th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -9.5 (60.5)
App State 42 - Georgia State: 17 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shawn Elliott (30 - 30)
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (28 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST coming off BYE
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: -5 (SP+ APP -5)
Projected Score: GAST: 27 - APP: 32 (59)
APP Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
GAST Travel: 230 miles

Mountaineers (6 - 6) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia State at South Carolina	+12.5	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia State vs North Carolina	+7.0	64.0	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-19.5	64.0	L 41 - 42	O	N
Thu 9/22	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	63.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/1	Georgia State at Army	+8.5	54.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	67.5	W 41 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/19	Georgia State at App State	+9.5	60.5	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/29	Georgia State vs Old Dominion	-3.5	53.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Georgia State at Southern Miss	+2.0	47.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-13.5	59.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia State at James Madison	+10.0	51.5	L 40 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Georgia State at Marshall	+6.5	45.5	L 23 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

App State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	App State vs North Carolina	-3.0	56.0	L 61 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/10	App State at Texas A&M	+18.0	54.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	App State vs Troy	-14.0	52.0	W 32 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	App State vs James Madison	-6.0	57.0	L 28 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/1	App State vs The Citadel	-39.0	54.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/8	App State at Texas State	-19.5	54.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/19	App State vs Georgia State	-9.5	60.5	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/29	App State vs Robert Morris	-50.0	59.5	W 42 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/3	App State at Coastal Carolina	-3.0	65.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/12	App State at Marshall	-2.0	47.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/19	App State vs Old Dominion	-16.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/26	App State at Georgia Southern	-6.5	66.0	L 48 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	39%	30	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	31.2	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7
APP	.25	45%	34.9	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	26.8	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	30	27.8	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17
APP Defense	12	26.8	22.4	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	31.2	29.2	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16
APP Offense	12	34.9	40.1	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #40
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: App State: 3.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -3.3 App State: 1.7

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 3.35 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2022 Expected Record: -
App State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #65
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #42
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #83

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Georgia State's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
App State 32
Georgia State 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 29
Georgia State 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
App State 34
Georgia State 27

Total Points: 61

App State Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.1
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.4

App State's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Georgia State	20	App State	41	App State -3	App State	55.5	Over
2024	10/26	App State	33	Georgia State	26	App State -7.5	Georgia State	59.0	Push
2023	11/11	Georgia State	14	App State	42	Georgia State -2.5	App State	62.5	Under
2022	10/19	App State	42	Georgia State	17	Appalachian State -9.5	App State	60.5	Under
2021	10/02	Georgia State	16	App State	45	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	54.5	Over
2020	11/14	App State	17	Georgia State	13	Appalachian State -18	Georgia State	63.0	Under
2019	11/16	Georgia State	27	App State	56	Appalachian State -15	App State	61.0	Over
2018	11/17	App State	45	Georgia State	17	Appalachian State -27.5	App State	54.5	Over
2017	11/25	Georgia State	10	App State	31	Appalachian State -6	App State	50.5	Under
2016	10/01	App State	17	Georgia State	3	Appalachian State -21	Georgia State	52.0	Under
2015	10/10	Georgia State	3	App State	37	Appalachian State -18	App State	61.0	Under
2014	11/01	App State	44	Georgia State	0	Appalachian State -5.5	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	12	9	4 Overs
Georgia State	0	3	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 9	3 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	6 - 6	9 - 3	5 - 0	4 - 3

(#) GAST at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#65
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#26
OffenseOff	#87	#15
DefenseDef	#74	#64
Spec TeamsST	#108	#68
TalentTal	#87	#94
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#64
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#90	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#49

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#85	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#45	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#129

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#41	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#48	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 39° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 8
App State -9.5 (60.5)
App State won vs Georgia State this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD