Ball State at Tennessee - 2022 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Tennessee Volunteers

Thursday, September 1st 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tennessee -37 (66.5)
Tennessee 59 - Ball State: 10

Cardinals (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (28 - 41)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -22.5 (SP+ TENN -40)
Projected Score: BALL: 21 - TENN: 37 (58)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 57%
BALL Travel: 305 miles

Volunteers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Ball State at Tennessee	+37.0	66.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+6.5	51.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Murray State	-21.0	53.0	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Georgia Southern	+9.5	67.0	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.5	58.5	W 44 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+7.5	63.0	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State vs UConn	-9.5	47.5	W 25 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	57.5	L 16 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State at Kent State	+7.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Tue 11/8	Ball State at Toledo	+11.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Ball State vs Ohio	+3.5	57.5	L 18 - 32	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+2.5	45.0	L 17 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Tennessee vs Ball State	-37.0	66.5	W 59 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Tennessee at Pittsburgh	-6.0	63.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Tennessee vs Akron	-47.5	67.0	W 63 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Tennessee vs Florida	-11.0	62.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Tennessee at LSU	-2.5	63.0	W 40 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Tennessee vs Alabama	+9.0	68.0	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Tennessee vs UT Martin	-38.5	71.5	W 65 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-10.5	62.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Tennessee at Georgia	+9.5	65.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Tennessee vs Missouri	-18.5	57.5	W 66 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Tennessee at South Carolina	-22.5	66.5	L 38 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/26	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	-14.0	63.5	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Tennessee vs Clemson	+4.0	62.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.13	41%	15.8	41%	3.03	130	41%	208	3.68	.25	49%	29.8	47%	54%	3.93	40.8	0.9	1.5
TENN	.32	48%	39.8	51%	3.39	218	44%	257	4.27	.22	42%	28.8	42%	42%	4.16	60.6	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	13	15.8	9.7	40.5%	3.68	0.9	19	337	130	208	3.8	48%	51%	41%	41%	15%	.13
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	41.8%	4.16	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	42%	42%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	13	29.8	35.7	49.4%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	54%	13%	.25
TENN Offense	13	39.8	42.3	48%	4.27	1	24	475	218	257	4.9	55%	45%	51%	44%	13%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	13	27:39	19.1	40%	52%	4.9	40.8	0.9	1.5	5.3	1.8	1	30.5
Tennessee	13	24:30	24.3	45%	48%	6.8	60.6	1	1.2	7.9	2.6	4	30.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	13	48%	41%	34.2	129.6	3.8	17	.14	3.03	75%	9%	1.04
TENN Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.22	75%	11%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	13	54%	47%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.27	78%	9%	0.91
TENN Offense	13	55%	51%	44.4	217.8	4.9	30	.26	3.39	70%	10%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	13	51%	41%	20.5	33.8	207.6	6.1	10.1	18	7	.14	1.4	33%	29%	.17	6%	1.8
TENN Defense	13	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.27	1.7	34%	37%	.51	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	13	45%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.4	1.3	27%	31%	.27	5%	1.9
TENN Offense	13	45%	44%	18.7	28.8	257.1	8.9	13.8	33	3	.39	1.7	29%	32%	.45	3%	2.2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Tennessee: 15.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Tennessee: 25.2

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.1 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.2 #5
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.3 #1
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #40

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 37
Ball State 21

Projected Total Points: 58

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/01	Tennessee	59	Ball State	10	Tennessee -37	Tennessee	66.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	1	1	1 Overs
Ball State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) BALL at (#) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#5
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#54
OffenseOff	#86	#31
DefenseDef	#76	#95
Spec TeamsST	#87	#78
TalentTal	#121	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#34	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#71

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#87	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	TENN Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#31	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#22	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Tennessee -37.0 (66.5)
Tennessee won vs Ball State this year (59-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD