Ball State at Georgia Southern - 2022 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -9.5 (67.0)
Georgia Southern 34 - Ball State: 23

Cardinals (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (28 - 41)
Avg Score : 23 - 27 (19 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ GASO -9)
Projected Score: BALL: 21 - GASO: 38 (59)
GASO Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BALL Travel: 576 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 32 (38 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Ball State at Tennessee	+37.0	66.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+6.5	51.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Murray State	-21.0	53.0	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Georgia Southern	+9.5	67.0	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.5	58.5	W 44 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+7.5	63.0	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State vs UConn	-9.5	47.5	W 25 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	57.5	L 16 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State at Kent State	+7.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Tue 11/8	Ball State at Toledo	+11.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Ball State vs Ohio	+3.5	57.5	L 18 - 32	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+2.5	45.0	L 17 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Southern vs Morgan State	-39.5	53.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Georgia Southern at Nebraska	+23.5	64.0	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia Southern at UAB	+11.5	59.0	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Southern vs Ball State	-9.5	67.0	W 34 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina	+10.0	69.5	L 30 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	+2.5	67.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Georgia Southern vs James Madison	+13.0	68.0	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Georgia Southern at Old Dominion	+1.5	66.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Georgia Southern vs South Alabama	+3.5	60.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Thu 11/10	Georgia Southern at Louisiana	+3.5	63.0	L 17 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Southern vs Marshall	+6.0	52.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/26	Georgia Southern vs App State	+6.5	66.0	W 51 - 48	O	Y
Tue 12/27	Georgia Southern vs Buffalo	-6.0	67.0	L 21 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.11	40%	23.3	41%	3.22	158	40%	228	3.7	.16	43%	26.9	45%	41%	3.56	57.6	1.8	1.4
GASO	.25	46%	32.7	46%	3.13	137	47%	329	4.15	.25	45%	31.6	49%	42%	3.71	45.8	1.6	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	23.3	19.2	40.1%	3.7	1.8	21	386	158	228	4.5	43%	56%	41%	40%	19%	.11
GASO Defense	13	31.6	29.5	45.4%	3.71	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	42%	14%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	26.9	29.2	43%	3.56	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	41%	17%	.16
GASO Offense	13	32.7	38.3	46%	4.15	1.6	25	467	137	329	4.8	36%	62%	46%	47%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	27:59	21.3	36%	32%	6.1	57.6	1.8	1.4	5.4	2.1	0	29.3
Georgia Southern	13	27:40	25.2	46%	57%	5.1	45.8	1.6	1.5	3.8	1.5	2	26.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	43%	41%	34.8	157.8	4.5	14	.09	3.22	76%	7%	0.88
GASO Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.57	69%	7%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.26	71%	9%	0.95
GASO Offense	13	36%	46%	28.5	137.2	4.8	23	.21	3.13	72%	6%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.9	40.1	228.2	5.7	9.5	18	14	.18	1.3	30%	31%	.26	12%	1.9
GASO Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.6	28%	34%	.34	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.4	32%	30%	.28	8%	1.9
GASO Offense	13	62%	47%	28.7	47	329.4	7	11.5	28	16	.32	1.4	29%	36%	.41	11%	2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Georgia Southern: -0.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Georgia Southern: -6.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -0.7 NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Southern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.4 #89
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #35
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Ball State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 38
Ball State 21

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 45
Ball State 17

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 32
Ball State 26

Total Points: 58

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

Georgia Southern's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Ball State	3	Georgia Southern	40	Georgia Southern -6	Georgia Southern	60.0	Under
2022	09/24	Georgia Southern	34	Ball State	23	Georgia Southern -9.5	Georgia Southern	67.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	2	2	0 Overs
Ball State	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#) BALL at (#) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#89
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#97
OffenseOff	#86	#69
DefenseDef	#76	#118
Spec TeamsST	#87	#126
TalentTal	#121	#109
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#118
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#34	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#111

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#87	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#69	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#44	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#101	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#44	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79°

Rematch from Week 4
Georgia Southern -9.5 (67.0)
Georgia Southern won vs Ball State this year (34-23)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Ball State in 2023 (40-3)
Georgia Southern beat Ball State in 2022 (34-23)

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GASO's OC Bryan Ellis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Will Harris (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD