Ball State at Kent State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Kent State Golden Flashes

Tuesday, November 1st 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kent State -7 (61.5)
Ball State 27 - Kent State: 20 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (28 - 41)
Avg Score : 23 - 27 (19 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL coming off BYE
KENT coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ KENT -2)
Projected Score: BALL: 25 - KENT: 28 (53)
KENT Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 224 miles

Golden Flashes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (19 - 24)
Avg Score : 28 - 29 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Ball State at Tennessee	+37.0	66.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+6.5	51.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Murray State	-21.0	53.0	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Georgia Southern	+9.5	67.0	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.5	58.5	W 44 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+7.5	63.0	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State vs UConn	-9.5	47.5	W 25 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	57.5	L 16 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State at Kent State	+7.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Tue 11/8	Ball State at Toledo	+11.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Ball State vs Ohio	+3.5	57.5	L 18 - 32	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+2.5	45.0	L 17 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Kent State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kent State at Washington	+23.5	61.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Kent State at Oklahoma	+33.5	73.0	L 3 - 33	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kent State vs Long Island University	-40.0	64.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Kent State at Georgia	+45.0	61.5	L 22 - 39	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Kent State vs Ohio	-13.0	65.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/8	Kent State at Miami (OH)	-5.0	56.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kent State at Toledo	+7.0	62.5	L 31 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/22	Kent State vs Akron	-16.0	65.0	W 33 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Kent State vs Ball State	-7.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Wed 11/9	Kent State at Bowling Green	-2.5	55.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Wed 11/16	Kent State vs Eastern Michigan	-7.5	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	Kent State at Buffalo	+4.5	51.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.11	40%	23.3	41%	3.22	158	40%	228	3.7	.16	43%	26.9	45%	41%	3.56	57.6	1.8	1.4
KENT	.22	44%	28.4	47%	3.33	203	42%	215	3.64	.27	48%	29	47%	51%	3.81	54.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	23.3	19.2	40.1%	3.7	1.8	21	386	158	228	4.5	43%	56%	41%	40%	19%	.11
KENT Defense	12	29	23.8	48.4%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	47%	51%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	26.9	29.2	43%	3.56	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	41%	17%	.16
KENT Offense	12	28.4	34.2	44.5%	3.64	1.1	23	418	203	215	4.7	57%	42%	47%	42%	19%	.22

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	27:59	21.3	36%	32%	6.1	57.6	1.8	1.4	5.4	2.1	0	29.3
Kent State	12	26:07	22.8	41%	50%	6.7	54.3	1.1	1.3	5.8	2.2	2	30

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	43%	41%	34.8	157.8	4.5	14	.09	3.22	76%	7%	0.88
KENT Defense	12	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.1	72%	10%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.26	71%	9%	0.95
KENT Offense	12	57%	47%	43.1	202.8	4.7	23	.22	3.33	84%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.9	40.1	228.2	5.7	9.5	18	14	.18	1.3	30%	31%	.26	12%	1.9
KENT Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.46	1.5	27%	35%	.37	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.4	32%	30%	.28	8%	1.9
KENT Offense	12	42%	42%	16.2	29.1	215.2	7.4	13.3	17	8	.25	1.5	32%	34%	.44	8%	2.2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Kent State: -4.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Kent State: -13.1

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -4.05 NR
Kent State's Offense Rating: NR
Kent State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kent State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kent State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1 #109
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Ball State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kent State 28
Ball State 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Kent State 25
Ball State 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Kent State 30
Ball State 24

Total Points: 54

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

Kent State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/05	Ball State	17	Kent State	13	Ball State -3	Ball State	48.5	Under
2024	10/12	Kent State	35	Ball State	37	Ball State -3	Kent State	58.0	Over
2023	11/18	Ball State	34	Kent State	3	Ball State -10.5	Ball State	41.5	Under
2022	11/01	Kent State	20	Ball State	27	Kent State -7	Ball State	61.5	Under
2019	11/23	Kent State	41	Ball State	38	Ball State -3	Kent State	67.5	Over
2018	09/29	Ball State	52	Kent State	24	Ball State -7	Ball State	62.0	Over
2013	10/12	Ball State	27	Kent State	24	Ball State -11	Kent State	0
2012	09/29	Kent State	45	Ball State	43
2010	10/30	Kent State	33	Ball State	14
2008	09/27	Ball State	41	Kent State	20
2006	11/24	Ball State	30	Kent State	6
2003	10/04	Kent State	17	Ball State	34
2001	11/10	Ball State	18	Kent State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	4	3	3 Overs
Ball State	9	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 4	5 - 2	3 - 2	2 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 9	2 - 5	0 - 2	2 - 3

(#) BALL at (#) KENT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	KENT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#64
OffenseOff	#86	#55
DefenseDef	#76	#79
Spec TeamsST	#87	#106
TalentTal	#121	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Kent State Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	KENT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#115
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#34	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#51

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#87	#58
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#55	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#19	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#16	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 58°

Rematch from Week 10
Kent State -7.0 (61.5)
Ball State won at Kent State this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Kent State last year (37-35)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2023 (34-3)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2022 (27-20)

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

KENT's OC Andrew Sowder (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD