Ball State at Central Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -7.5 (63.0)
Ball State 17 - Central Michigan: 16 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (28 - 41)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CMU is playing their 6th straight game
BALL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ CMU -1)
Projected Score: BALL: 16 - CMU: 30 (46)
CMU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 235 miles

Chippewas (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jim McElwain (20 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Ball State at Tennessee	+37.0	66.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+6.5	51.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Murray State	-21.0	53.0	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Georgia Southern	+9.5	67.0	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.5	58.5	W 44 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+7.5	63.0	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State vs UConn	-9.5	47.5	W 25 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	57.5	L 16 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State at Kent State	+7.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Tue 11/8	Ball State at Toledo	+11.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Ball State vs Ohio	+3.5	57.5	L 18 - 32	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+2.5	45.0	L 17 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Central Michigan at Oklahoma State	+20.5	58.0	L 44 - 58	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Central Michigan vs South Alabama	-6.0	57.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/17	Central Michigan vs Bucknell	-41.0	59.0	W 41 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/24	Central Michigan at Penn State	+28.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Central Michigan at Toledo	+6.5	56.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/8	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-7.5	63.0	L 16 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Central Michigan at Akron	-12.0	60.5	W 28 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	-5.5	51.0	L 18 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	54.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y
Wed 11/9	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	-3.0	54.0	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Wed 11/16	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	-10.0	49.0	L 10 - 12	U	N
Fri 11/25	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+1.0	53.5	L 19 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.13	41%	15.8	41%	3.03	130	41%	208	3.68	.25	49%	29.8	47%	54%	3.93	40.8	0.9	1.5
CMU	.24	44%	22.5	44%	3.14	179	44%	265	3.65	.19	41%	23.5	43%	40%	3.96	55.8	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	13	15.8	9.7	40.5%	3.68	0.9	19	337	130	208	3.8	48%	51%	41%	41%	15%	.13
CMU Defense	13	23.5	15.2	41.3%	3.96	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	43%	40%	22%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	13	29.8	35.7	49.4%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	54%	13%	.25
CMU Offense	13	22.5	30.4	43.7%	3.65	1.1	23	445	179	265	4.5	52%	47%	44%	44%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	13	27:39	19.1	40%	52%	4.9	40.8	0.9	1.5	5.3	1.8	1	30.5
Central Michigan	13	31:03	23.1	37%	59%	6.3	55.8	1.1	1.2	7.5	2.8	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	13	48%	41%	34.2	129.6	3.8	17	.14	3.03	75%	9%	1.04
CMU Defense	13	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.84	71%	14%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	13	54%	47%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.27	78%	9%	0.91
CMU Offense	13	52%	44%	40	179.2	4.5	18	.14	3.14	78%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	13	51%	41%	20.5	33.8	207.6	6.1	10.1	18	7	.14	1.4	33%	29%	.17	6%	1.8
CMU Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.28	1.6	34%	28%	.18	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	13	45%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.4	1.3	27%	31%	.27	5%	1.9
CMU Offense	13	47%	44%	21	34.5	265.4	7.7	12.6	31	10	.41	1.7	35%	32%	.35	6%	2.2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Central Michigan: -4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Central Michigan: -14.0

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -4.5 NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Central Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #112
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #102
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 30
Ball State 16

Projected Total Points: 46

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Central Michigan	37	Ball State	34	Central Michigan -6.5	Ball State	51.0	Over
2023	10/21	Ball State	24	Central Michigan	17	Central Michigan -5	Ball State	42.0	Under
2022	10/08	Central Michigan	16	Ball State	17	Central Michigan -7.5	Ball State	63.0	Under
2021	11/17	Ball State	17	Central Michigan	37	Central Michigan -2.5	Central Michigan	57.0	Under
2020	12/05	Central Michigan	20	Ball State	45	Ball State -2.5	Ball State	62.5	Over
2019	11/16	Ball State	44	Central Michigan	45	Ball State -2	Central Michigan	59.5	Over
2018	10/13	Central Michigan	23	Ball State	24	Central Michigan -2.5	Ball State	54.5	Under
2017	10/21	Ball State	9	Central Michigan	56	Central Michigan -3	Central Michigan	48.0	Over
2016	10/08	Central Michigan	24	Ball State	21	Central Michigan -13.5	Ball State	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Ball State	21	Central Michigan	23	Central Michigan -6	Ball State	56.0	Under
2014	10/18	Central Michigan	29	Ball State	32	Central Michigan -6.5	Ball State	0
2013	11/06	Ball State	44	Central Michigan	24	Ball State -21.5	Central Michigan	0
2012	10/20	Central Michigan	30	Ball State	41
2011	10/22	Ball State	31	Central Michigan	27
2010	10/02	Central Michigan	17	Ball State	31
2009	11/18	Ball State	3	Central Michigan	35
2008	11/19	Central Michigan	24	Ball State	31
2007	10/06	Ball State	38	Central Michigan	58
2006	10/14	Central Michigan	18	Ball State	7
2005	11/19	Ball State	24	Central Michigan	31
2004	11/20	Central Michigan	41	Ball State	40
2003	09/20	Ball State	27	Central Michigan	14
2002	11/16	Central Michigan	21	Ball State	38
2001	11/03	Ball State	38	Central Michigan	34
2000	10/27	Central Michigan	34	Ball State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	11	4	4 Overs
Ball State	14	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 16	2 - 10	0 - 7	2 - 3
Road Teams	16 - 9	10 - 2	3 - 2	7 - 0

(#) BALL at (#) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	CMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#112
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#89
OffenseOff	#86	#108
DefenseDef	#76	#37
Spec TeamsST	#87	#9
TalentTal	#121	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Central Michigan Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	CMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#37
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#34	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#87	#24
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#108	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#93	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Central Michigan -7.5 (63.0)
Ball State won at Central Michigan this year (17-16)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Ball State in 2024 (37-34)
Ball State beat Central Michigan in 2023 (24-17)

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CMU's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD