California at Notre Dame - 2022 Matchup Preview
California logo   California Golden Bears at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (2:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -13.5 (41.5)
Notre Dame 24 - California: 17

 
Golden Bears (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (26 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9  (SP+ ND -13)
Projected Score: CAL: 21 - ND: 36 (57)
ND Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
CAL Travel: 1916 miles, 3 hrs behind
Fighting Irish (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 California vs UC Davis-14.044.0W 34 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 California vs UNLV-12.049.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 California at Notre Dame+13.541.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/24 California vs Arizona-3.550.0W 49 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 California at Washington State+4.052.5L 9 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 California at Colorado-15.049.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/22 California vs Washington+7.554.5L 21 - 28UY
Sat 10/29 California vs Oregon+16.556.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 11/5 California at USC+21.560.5L 35 - 41OY
Sat 11/12 California at Oregon State+11.547.0L 10 - 38ON
Sat 11/19 California vs Stanford-5.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Fri 11/25 California vs UCLA+11.562.5L 28 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Notre Dame at Ohio State+17.058.5L 10 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 Notre Dame vs Marshall-20.548.0L 21 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Notre Dame vs California-13.541.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/24 Notre Dame at North Carolina+2.555.0W 45 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Notre Dame vs BYU-4.051.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 10/15 Notre Dame vs Stanford-16.553.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 10/22 Notre Dame vs UNLV-26.046.5W 44 - 21ON
Sat 10/29 Notre Dame at Syracuse+1.048.0W 41 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Notre Dame vs Clemson+3.543.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Notre Dame vs Navy-17.040.5W 35 - 32ON
Sat 11/19 Notre Dame vs Boston College-20.042.0W 44 - 0OY
Sat 11/26 Notre Dame at USC+4.063.5L 27 - 38ON
Fri 12/30 Notre Dame vs South Carolina-5.050.5W 45 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.2344%25.350%3.5316439%2223.62.1743%27.247%41%3.0157.80.81.7
ND.2643%4241%2.8614446%2824.33.139%17.638%40%2.949.41.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1225.323.743.8%3.620.8193861642224.948%52%50%39%13%.23
ND Defense1317.61839%2.92.1 - - - - - 48%52%38%40%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1227.229.643.4%3.011.7 - - - - - 47%52%47%41%16%.17
ND Offense134244.743.4%4.331.2224261442824.145%55%41%46%17%.26

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1230:251941%33%6.257.80.81.75.31.9226.3
Notre Dame1329:5322.242%53%5.649.41.22.16.53.2428.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1248%50%33.5164.24.917.273.5381%8%0.97
ND Defense1348%38% - - - - .092.8773%12%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1247%47% - - - - .153.2583%9%0.94
ND Offense1345%41%34.7143.74.123.132.8667%11%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1252%39%19.631.8221.6711.3168.221.531%30%.295%1.9
ND Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 15.111.434%26%.226%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1252%41% - - - - - - 13.231.532%32%.287%2.1
ND Offense1355%46%22.234.6282.58.212.73010.371.732%34%.436%2.1

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2022 Expected Record: -
California's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #77
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #91
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Notre Dame: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -3.0   Notre Dame: 10.3




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2022 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #56
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #36

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 36
California 21

Projected Total Points: 57
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Notre Dame24California17Notre Dame -13.5California41.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame100 Overs
California011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) CAL at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #35
Perf GradeGrade #120 #18
OffenseOff #83 #16
DefenseDef #130 #44
Spec TeamsST #109 #6
TalentTal #47 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #83 #44
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffND Def
Run GameRun #7 #53
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffND Def
Pass GamePass #39 #50
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #126 #39
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #58 #133
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #69
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #73 #98
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #133
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Notre Dame -13.5 (41.5)
Notre Dame won vs California this year (24-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ND's OC Tommy Rees (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD