Arizona at California - 2022 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo   Arizona Wildcats at California Golden Bears  California logo
Saturday, September 24th 2022 (5:30 PM EDT)
California -3.5 (50.0)
California 49 - Arizona: 31  (Pac-12)

 
Wildcats (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ CAL -0)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 28 - CAL: 24 (52)
CAL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 748 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (26 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arizona at San Diego State+6.046.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/10 Arizona vs Mississippi State+11.557.5L 17 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Arizona vs North Dakota State+3.049.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/24 Arizona at California+3.550.0L 31 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Arizona vs Colorado-17.557.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 Arizona vs Oregon+13.570.5L 22 - 49ON
Sat 10/15 Arizona at Washington+14.571.5L 39 - 49OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Arizona vs USC+14.074.0L 37 - 45OY
Sat 11/5 Arizona at Utah+17.567.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Arizona at UCLA+19.576.5W 34 - 28UY
Sat 11/19 Arizona vs Washington State+4.063.0L 20 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 Arizona vs Arizona State-4.066.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
California's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 California vs UC Davis-14.044.0W 34 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 California vs UNLV-12.049.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 California at Notre Dame+13.541.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/24 California vs Arizona-3.550.0W 49 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 California at Washington State+4.052.5L 9 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 California at Colorado-15.049.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/22 California vs Washington+7.554.5L 21 - 28UY
Sat 10/29 California vs Oregon+16.556.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 11/5 California at USC+21.560.5L 35 - 41OY
Sat 11/12 California at Oregon State+11.547.0L 10 - 38ON
Sat 11/19 California vs Stanford-5.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Fri 11/25 California vs UCLA+11.562.5L 28 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ.0439%31.542%2.8413037%2262.56.2442%19.344%39%4.670.41.90.6
CAL.2344%25.350%3.5316439%2223.62.1743%27.247%41%3.0157.80.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1231.529.438.9%2.561.9213561302263.746%53%42%37%17%.04
CAL Defense1227.224.343.4%3.011.7 - - - - - 47%52%47%41%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1219.323.642.1%4.60.6 - - - - - 57%43%44%39%17%.24
CAL Offense1225.327.243.8%3.620.8193861642224.948%52%50%39%13%.23

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1230:1320.732%64%8.870.41.90.65.81.8225.3
California1230:251941%33%6.257.80.81.75.31.9226.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1246%42%35.5129.73.76.082.8472%12%0.89
CAL Defense1247%47% - - - - .153.2583%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1257%44% - - - - .173.1176%11%1.01
CAL Offense1248%50%33.5164.24.917.273.5381%8%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1253%37%22.337226.36.110.11218.051.434%26%.225%2.1
CAL Defense1252%41% - - - - - - 13.231.532%32%.287%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1243%39% - - - - - - 4.361.932%32%.396%2.3
CAL Offense1252%39%19.631.8221.6711.3168.221.531%30%.295%1.9

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #78
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #22
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #128

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona:    California: 1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -3.2   California: -3.0




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 1 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2022 Expected Record: -
California's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #77
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #91
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 28
California 24

Projected Total Points: 52
California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24California49Arizona31California -3.5California50.0Over
202111/06Arizona10California3California -7Arizona47.0Under
201810/06Arizona24California17California -2.5Arizona54.5Under
201710/21California44Arizona45Arizona -4.5California66.5Over
201409/20Arizona49California45Arizona -16California0
201311/02California28Arizona33Arizona -14.5California0
201009/25Arizona10California9
200911/14California24Arizona16
200810/18Arizona42California27
200709/22California45Arizona27
200611/11Arizona24California20
200510/01California28Arizona0
200410/23Arizona0California38
200310/25California42Arizona14
200111/03California24Arizona38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California642 Overs
Arizona922 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 45 - 11 - 14 - 0
Road Teams4 - 111 - 50 - 41 - 1

(#) ARIZ at (#) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZCAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #77
Perf GradeGrade #100 #120
OffenseOff #36 #83
DefenseDef #135 #130
Spec TeamsST #57 #109
TalentTal #48 #47
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #9 #133
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #69
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #41 #98
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #133
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCatCAL OffARIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #83 #135
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #128
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #7 #134
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #101
California Pass Game
CategoryCatCAL OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #39 #112
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #126 #114
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
California -3.5 (50.0)
California won vs Arizona this year (49-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD