Texas A&M at Auburn - 2022 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#3)Texas A&M Aggies at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 12th 2022 (7:30 PM EST)
Auburn -1.5 (48.0)
Auburn 13 - Texas A&M: 10  (SEC)

 
Aggies (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (34 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (20 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TA&M -4)

Projected Score: TA&M: 28 - AUB: 26 (54)
AUB Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TA&M Travel: 653 miles
Tigers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Bryan Harsin (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas A&M vs Sam Houston-36.554.0W 31 - 0UN
Sat 9/10 Texas A&M vs App State-18.054.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/17 Texas A&M vs Miami-6.545.5W 17 - 9UY
Sat 9/24 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-1.551.0W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/1 Texas A&M at Mississippi State+4.045.0L 24 - 42ON
Sat 10/8 Texas A&M at Alabama+24.048.0L 20 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Texas A&M at South Carolina-3.044.5L 24 - 30ON
Sat 10/29 Texas A&M vs Ole Miss+3.055.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 11/5 Texas A&M vs Florida-1.553.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 11/12 Texas A&M at Auburn+1.548.0L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/19 Texas A&M vs Massachusetts-32.046.0W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/26 Texas A&M vs LSU+10.047.5W 38 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Auburn's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Auburn vs Mercer-30.051.5W 42 - 16ON
Sat 9/10 Auburn vs San José State-24.048.5W 24 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 Auburn vs Penn State+2.547.5L 12 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 Auburn vs Missouri-7.551.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Auburn vs LSU+8.044.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/8 Auburn at Georgia+27.549.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 10/15 Auburn at Ole Miss+15.555.5L 34 - 48OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Auburn vs Arkansas+4.060.0L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/5 Auburn at Mississippi State+12.550.5L 33 - 39OY
Sat 11/12 Auburn vs Texas A&M-1.548.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 Auburn vs Western Kentucky-5.054.0W 41 - 17OY
Sat 11/26 Auburn at Alabama+22.051.0L 27 - 49OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1440%22.845%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%21.243%35%3.0449.11.51.9
AUB.239%24.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%29.549%36%4.5757.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1222.819.540.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14
AUB Defense1229.52242.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1221.227.340%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
AUB Offense1224.824.139%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #38
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #75
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M:    Auburn: 5.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 9.1   Auburn: 5.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 5.05 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2022 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #54
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #46
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Texas A&M's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 28
Auburn 26


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 32
Auburn 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 24
Texas A&M 23

Total Points: 47
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.1
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Auburn's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Texas A&M16Auburn10Texas A&M -6.5Auburn51.5Under
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41Texas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10Auburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28Texas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24Auburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42Auburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Auburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26Texas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Auburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45Texas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn774 Overs
Texas A&M757 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 85 - 74 - 61 - 1
Road Teams8 - 67 - 51 - 16 - 4

(#) TA&M at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #54
Perf GradeGrade #100 #106
OffenseOff #92 #109
DefenseDef #105 #58
Spec TeamsST #38 #133
TalentTal #4 #17
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TA&M OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92 #58
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #36 #110
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #118 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #116 #51
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #42 #127
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #127 #49
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 47° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Auburn -1.5 (48.0)
Auburn won vs Texas A&M this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

  
TA&M's OC Darrell Dickey (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC Eric Kiesau (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD