Auburn at Alabama - 2022 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide(#10)Alabama logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -22 (51.0)
Alabama 49 - Auburn: 27  (SEC)

 
Tigers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Bryan Harsin (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (26 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -15  (SP+ ALA -25)
Projected Score: AUB: 20 - ALA: 36 (56)
ALA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
AUB Travel: 127 miles
Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Nick Saban (177 - 25)
Avg Score : 41 - 18 (44 - 9 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Auburn vs Mercer-30.051.5W 42 - 16ON
Sat 9/10 Auburn vs San José State-24.048.5W 24 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 Auburn vs Penn State+2.547.5L 12 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 Auburn vs Missouri-7.551.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Auburn vs LSU+8.044.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/8 Auburn at Georgia+27.549.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 10/15 Auburn at Ole Miss+15.555.5L 34 - 48OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Auburn vs Arkansas+4.060.0L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/5 Auburn at Mississippi State+12.550.5L 33 - 39OY
Sat 11/12 Auburn vs Texas A&M-1.548.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 Auburn vs Western Kentucky-5.054.0W 41 - 17OY
Sat 11/26 Auburn at Alabama+22.051.0L 27 - 49OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Alabama's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs Utah State-42.063.0W 55 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Alabama at Texas-21.064.0W 20 - 19UN
Sat 9/17 Alabama vs UL Monroe-49.568.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-40.561.0W 55 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama at Arkansas-17.061.0W 49 - 26OY
Sat 10/8 Alabama vs Texas A&M-24.048.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.068.0L 49 - 52ON
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Mississippi State-21.561.5W 30 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-13.556.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 11/12 Alabama at Ole Miss-11.065.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Austin Peay-45.058.0W 34 - 0UN
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-22.051.0W 49 - 27ON
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Kansas State-8.058.5W 45 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.239%24.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%29.549%36%4.5757.31.81.5
ALA.3347%41.146%2.9519648%2824.78.0639%18.242%36%3.4968.71.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1224.82639%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2
ALA Defense1318.2938.9%3.491.2 - - - - - 47%53%42%36%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1229.544.542.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
ALA Offense1341.144.346.9%4.781.2244771962825.644%56%46%48%13%.33

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Alabama1329:5423.846%60%7.968.71.21.26.52.9331.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24
ALA Defense1347%42% - - - - .092.8568%11%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
ALA Offense1344%46%35.2195.75.626.232.9573%9%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2
ALA Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 7.061.433%26%.147%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
ALA Offense1356%48%21.533.7281.58.413.1378.41.730%40%.684%2.4

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2022 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #54
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #46
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Alabama: 17.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 5.1   Alabama: 30.3




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 17.65 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2022 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.3  #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.9  #8
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #12

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.5

Auburn's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 36
Auburn 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 32
Auburn 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 40
Auburn 20

Total Points: 60
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 41.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.3
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 9

Alabama's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Auburn20Alabama27Alabama -6.5Alabama48.5Under
202411/30Alabama28Auburn14Alabama -10.5Alabama50.5Under
202311/25Auburn24Alabama27Alabama -14.0Auburn48.0Over
202211/26Alabama49Auburn27Alabama -22Push51.0Over
202111/27Auburn22Alabama24Alabama -21Auburn57.5Under
202011/28Alabama42Auburn13Alabama -24.5Alabama65.0Under
201911/30Auburn48Alabama45Alabama -3.5Auburn51.0Over
201811/24Alabama52Auburn21Alabama -26Alabama53.0Over
201711/25Auburn26Alabama14Alabama -5Auburn47.5Under
201611/26Alabama30Auburn12Alabama -20Auburn47.0Under
201511/28Auburn13Alabama29Alabama -13Alabama47.5Under
201411/29Alabama55Auburn44Alabama -7Alabama0
201311/30Auburn34Alabama28Alabama -9.5Auburn0
201211/24Alabama49Auburn0
201111/26Auburn14Alabama42
201011/26Alabama27Auburn28
200911/27Auburn21Alabama26
200811/29Alabama36Auburn0
200711/24Auburn17Alabama10
200611/18Alabama15Auburn22
200511/19Auburn28Alabama18
200411/20Alabama13Auburn21
200311/22Auburn28Alabama23
200111/17Auburn7Alabama31
200011/17Alabama0Auburn9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1564 Overs
Auburn1067 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 119 - 34 - 15 - 2
Road Teams11 - 143 - 92 - 51 - 4

(#) AUB at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #4
Perf GradeGrade #106 #6
OffenseOff #109 #13
DefenseDef #58 #6
Spec TeamsST #133 #31
TalentTal #17 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffALA Def
Run GameRun #42 #6
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #8
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #127 #7
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #62 #12
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #13 #58
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #28 #110
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #18 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #10 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #51
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

AUB 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Alabama -22.0 (51.0)
Alabama won vs Auburn this year (49-27)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Auburn last year (28-14)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2023 (27-24)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2022 (49-27)

  
AUB's OC Eric Kiesau (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD