SMU at East Carolina - 2020 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at East Carolina Pirates  East Carolina logo
Saturday, November 28th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
SMU -12 (72.0)
East Carolina 52 - SMU: 38  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (7 - 3) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU coming off BYE
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ SMU -13.5)
Projected Score: SMU: 25 - ECU: 28 (53)
SMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
SMU Travel: 1124 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 SMU at Texas State-24.570.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 SMU at North Texas-15.071.5W 65 - 35OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-38.563.5W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Memphis-1.575.0W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16 SMU at Tulane-6.566.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/24 SMU vs Cincinnati-1.556.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Navy-14.0
Sat 11/7 SMU at Temple-17.063.5W 47 - 23OY
Sat 11/14 SMU at Tulsa-2.064.0L 24 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 SMU at East Carolina-12.072.0L 38 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 SMU vs Houston+2.068.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
East Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs UCF+28.078.0L 28 - 51OY
Sat 10/3 East Carolina at Georgia State-1.570.5L 29 - 49ON
Sat 10/10 East Carolina at South Florida+5.558.5W 44 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 East Carolina vs Navy+3.055.5L 23 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 East Carolina at Tulsa+17.059.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/7 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.563.5L 21 - 38UN
Fri 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati+27.556.5L 17 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Temple-6.554.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/28 East Carolina vs SMU+12.072.0W 52 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2243%32.243%2.7817843%3094.25.1742%20.539%42%3.6357.21.22.2
ECU.1442%32.738%2.5514143%2893.18.2847%20.145%48%4.3751.31.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1332.229.843.3%4.251.2254871783094.348%51%43%43%17%.22
ECU Defense1220.119.846.8%4.371.9 - - - - - 52%47%45%48%18%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1320.522.241.6%3.632.2 - - - - - 47%51%39%42%25%.17
ECU Offense1232.736.242.4%3.181.4244301412893.846%51%38%43%25%.14

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1328:5124.844%73%6.457.21.22.210.65.5331.6
East Carolina1229:342439%43%5.951.31.41.97.52.7226.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1348%43%41.1178.24.335.082.7871%10%0.97
ECU Defense1252%45% - - - - .19367%12%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1347%39% - - - - .12.870%16%1.02
ECU Offense1246%38%37.4141.33.812-.062.5570%14%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1351%43%24.138.7309.1812.83511.371.732%33%.37%1.9
ECU Defense1247%48% - - - - - - 11.411.631%35%.366%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 9.241.735%34%.299%1.9
ECU Offense1251%43%22.537.6288.87.712.82210.361.736%35%.3311%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2020 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #43
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #24
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    East Carolina: -1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 5.9   East Carolina: -7.6




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -1.3 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6  #97
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #85
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 28
SMU 25

Projected Total Points: 53
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/12East Carolina10SMU31SMU -11.5SMU48.5Under
202011/28East Carolina52SMU38SMU -12East Carolina72.0Over
201911/09SMU59East Carolina51SMU -23East Carolina74.0Over
201611/12East Carolina31SMU55East Carolina -5SMU63.0Over
201510/03SMU23East Carolina49East Carolina -6.5East Carolina64.5Over
201410/04East Carolina45SMU24East Carolina -35.5SMU0
201011/26East Carolina38SMU45
200910/10SMU28East Carolina21
200610/21East Carolina38SMU21
200510/15SMU17East Carolina24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina534 Overs
SMU531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 51 - 50 - 31 - 2
Road Teams5 - 55 - 12 - 13 - 0

(#) SMU at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #97
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #55 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
SMU 12.0 (72.0)
East Carolina won vs SMU this year (52-38)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat East Carolina in 2023 (31-10)

  
SMU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD