SMU at Texas State - 2020 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Saturday, September 5th 2020 (4:30 PM EDT)
SMU -24.5 (70.0)
SMU 31 - Texas State: 24

 
Mustangs (7 - 3) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ SMU -20)
Projected Score: SMU: 30 - TXST: 30 (60)
SMU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
SMU Travel: 214 miles
Bobcats (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 SMU at Texas State-24.570.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 SMU at North Texas-15.071.5W 65 - 35OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-38.563.5W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Memphis-1.575.0W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16 SMU at Tulane-6.566.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/24 SMU vs Cincinnati-1.556.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Navy-14.0
Sat 11/7 SMU at Temple-17.063.5W 47 - 23OY
Sat 11/14 SMU at Tulsa-2.064.0L 24 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 SMU at East Carolina-12.072.0L 38 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 SMU vs Houston+2.068.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Texas State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas State vs SMU+24.570.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/12 Texas State vs UTSA-6.056.5L 48 - 51ON
Sat 9/19 Texas State at UL Monroe-3.058.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 9/26 Texas State at Boston College+21.557.0L 21 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Texas State at Troy+7.059.0L 17 - 37UN
Sat 10/17 Texas State at South Alabama+4.557.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/24 Texas State at BYU+30.062.0L 14 - 52ON
Sat 10/31 Texas State vs Louisiana+17.0
Sat 11/7 Texas State vs App State+21.558.0L 17 - 38UY
Sat 11/14 Texas State at Georgia Southern+11.050.0L 38 - 40OY
Sat 11/21 Texas State vs Arkansas State+4.569.5W 47 - 45OY
Sat 11/28 Texas State vs Coastal Carolina+16.559.0L 14 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2243%32.243%2.7817843%3094.25.1742%20.539%42%3.6357.21.22.2
TXST.0535%36.533%2.067735%2412.57.2146%2945%45%4.0551.421.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1332.229.843.3%4.251.2254871783094.348%51%43%43%17%.22
TXST Defense122928.345.7%4.051.8 - - - - - 62%37%45%45%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1320.522.241.6%3.632.2 - - - - - 47%51%39%42%25%.17
TXST Offense1236.53835.4%2.57217318772412.837%62%33%35%25%.05

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1328:5124.844%73%6.457.21.22.210.65.5331.6
Texas State1226:4416.934%31%5.551.421.85.41.3027.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1348%43%41.1178.24.335.082.7871%10%0.97
TXST Defense1262%45% - - - - .133.2172%8%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1347%39% - - - - .12.870%16%1.02
TXST Offense1237%33%27.376.82.88-.052.0669%16%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1351%43%24.138.7309.1812.83511.371.732%33%.37%1.9
TXST Defense1237%45% - - - - - - 7.371.727%33%.477%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 9.241.735%34%.299%1.9
TXST Offense1262%35%23.236.8241.16.610.41720.121.739%29%.279%2

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2020 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #43
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #24
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Texas State: -4.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 5.9   Texas State: -13.9




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -4.45 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #113
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #95
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.0  #121

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 30
Texas State 30

Projected Total Points: 60
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202009/05Texas State24SMU31SMU -24.5Texas State70.0Under
201909/14SMU47Texas State17SMU -17.5SMU62.0Over
200809/06SMU47Texas State36
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State011 Overs
SMU311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) SMU at (#) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #113
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #55 #100
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCatTXST OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCatTXST OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
SMU 24.5 (70.0)
SMU won at Texas State this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC ()
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TXST's OC ()
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TXST's DC ()
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