Navy at SMU - 2020 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at SMU Mustangs  SMU logo
Saturday, October 31st 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
SMU -14.0
SMU 51 - Navy: 37  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (3 - 7) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10  (SP+ SMU -15)
Projected Score: NAVY: 24 - SMU: 31 (55)
SMU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
NAVY Travel: 1208 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (7 - 3) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 Navy vs BYU+1.048.5L 3 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Navy at Tulane+5.544.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Navy at Air Force-6.546.5L 7 - 40ON
Sat 10/10 Navy vs Temple+4.051.0W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/17 Navy at East Carolina-3.055.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/24 Navy vs Houston+14.556.0L 21 - 37ON
Sat 10/31 Navy at SMU+14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Navy vs Memphis+13.562.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 12/5 Navy vs Tulsa+12.046.0L 6 - 19UN
Sat 12/12 Navy vs Army+7.535.5L 0 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
SMU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 SMU at Texas State-24.570.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 SMU at North Texas-15.071.5W 65 - 35OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-38.563.5W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Memphis-1.575.0W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16 SMU at Tulane-6.566.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/24 SMU vs Cincinnati-1.556.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Navy-14.0
Sat 11/7 SMU at Temple-17.063.5W 47 - 23OY
Sat 11/14 SMU at Tulsa-2.064.0L 24 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 SMU at East Carolina-12.072.0L 38 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 SMU vs Houston+2.068.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.3749%31.549%3.336143%954.56.1141%2539%40%3.1535.31.21.8
SMU.2243%32.243%2.7817843%3094.25.1742%20.539%42%3.6357.21.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.848.6%4.561.222456361956.185%14%49%43%13%.37
SMU Defense1320.519.241.6%3.632.2 - - - - - 47%51%39%42%25%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.240.8%3.151.8 - - - - - 52%46%39%40%24%.11
SMU Offense1332.23643.3%4.251.2254871783094.348%51%43%43%17%.22

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1333:2821.747%76%4.235.31.21.87.83.5128.6
SMU1328:5124.844%73%6.457.21.22.210.65.5331.6
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1385%49%59.5360.56.152.363.372%11%1.28
SMU Defense1347%39% - - - - .12.870%16%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1352%39% - - - - .012.4678%15%0.9
SMU Offense1348%43%41.1178.24.335.082.7871%10%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1314%43%4.2895.211.922.5104.472.227%44%.622%1.8
SMU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 9.241.735%34%.299%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 12.241.736%30%.219%1.8
SMU Offense1351%43%24.138.7309.1812.83511.371.732%33%.37%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2020 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8  #99
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #102
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    SMU: 5.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.8   SMU: 5.9




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 5.45 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2020 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #43
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #24
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 31
Navy 24

Projected Total Points: 55
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25SMU59Navy14SMU -20SMU46.0Over
202210/14SMU40Navy34SMU -12.5Navy59.0Over
202110/09Navy24SMU31SMU -13.5Navy57.0Under
202010/31SMU51Navy37SMU -14.0Push0
201911/23Navy35SMU28Navy -3.5Navy68.5Under
201809/22SMU31Navy30Navy -6.5SMU57.5Over
201711/11Navy43SMU40Navy -1.5Navy66.0Over
201611/26SMU31Navy75Navy -8Navy65.5Over
201511/14Navy55SMU14Navy -20Navy59.5Over
201111/12SMU17Navy24
201010/16Navy28SMU21
200910/17SMU35Navy38
200810/25Navy34SMU7
200208/31SMU7Navy38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU526 Overs
Navy962 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 56 - 24 - 12 - 1
Road Teams5 - 92 - 61 - 21 - 4

(#) NAVY at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #43
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #55
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
SMU -14.0 (0)
SMU won vs Navy this year (51-37)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Navy in 2023 (59-14)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD