SMU at North Texas - 2020 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at North Texas Mean Green  North Texas logo
Saturday, September 19th 2020 (6:00 PM EDT)
SMU -15 (71.5)
SMU 65 - North Texas: 35

 
Mustangs (7 - 3) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU coming off BYE
UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: -7  (SP+ SMU -18.5)
Projected Score: SMU: 27 - UNT: 34 (61)
SMU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
SMU Travel: 33 miles
Mean Green (4 - 6) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 SMU at Texas State-24.570.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 SMU at North Texas-15.071.5W 65 - 35OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-38.563.5W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Memphis-1.575.0W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16 SMU at Tulane-6.566.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/24 SMU vs Cincinnati-1.556.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Navy-14.0
Sat 11/7 SMU at Temple-17.063.5W 47 - 23OY
Sat 11/14 SMU at Tulsa-2.064.0L 24 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 SMU at East Carolina-12.072.0L 38 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 SMU vs Houston+2.068.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
North Texas's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Texas vs Houston Christian-23.074.5W 57 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 North Texas vs SMU+15.071.5L 35 - 65ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 North Texas vs Southern Miss-1.074.0L 31 - 41UN
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Charlotte+3.066.0L 21 - 49ON
Sat 10/17 North Texas at Middle Tennessee+3.570.5W 52 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 North Texas vs Rice-2.565.5W 27 - 17UY
Sat 11/28 North Texas at UTSA+1.567.0L 17 - 49UN
Thu 12/3 North Texas vs Louisiana Tech+1.064.5L 31 - 42ON
Fri 12/11 North Texas at UTEP-10.067.0W 45 - 43ON
Mon 12/21 North Texas vs App State+21.567.5L 28 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2243%32.243%2.7817843%3094.25.1742%20.539%42%3.6357.21.22.2
UNT.1542%45.139%2.6513643%2833.45.2143%26.541%42%3.91561.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1332.229.843.3%4.251.2254871783094.348%51%43%43%17%.22
UNT Defense1226.52242.8%3.911.4 - - - - - 52%46%41%42%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1320.522.241.6%3.632.2 - - - - - 47%51%39%42%25%.17
UNT Offense1245.145.742.3%3.451.6214191362834.142%56%39%43%22%.15

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1328:5124.844%73%6.457.21.22.210.65.5331.6
North Texas1228:082137%56%5.3561.61.47.13.7232.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1348%43%41.1178.24.335.082.7871%10%0.97
UNT Defense1252%41% - - - - .182.9477%12%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1347%39% - - - - .12.870%16%1.02
UNT Offense1242%39%33135.54.111-.022.6560%14%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1351%43%24.138.7309.1812.83511.371.732%33%.37%1.9
UNT Defense1246%42% - - - - - - 4.261.634%35%.267%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 9.241.735%34%.299%1.9
UNT Offense1256%43%23.637.8283.37.5123312.31.634%32%.298%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2020 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #43
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #24
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    North Texas: -3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 5.9   North Texas: -12.7




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.85 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2020 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #110
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #82
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.1  #122

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 34
SMU 27

Projected Total Points: 61
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/10SMU45North Texas21SMU -21.5SMU67.5Under
202209/03North Texas10SMU48SMU -9.5SMU67.5Under
202109/11SMU35North Texas12SMU -22.5SMU75.5Under
202009/19North Texas35SMU65SMU -15SMU71.5Over
201909/07SMU49North Texas27SMU -3.5SMU72.5Over
201809/01North Texas46SMU23North Texas -3.5North Texas70.5Under
201709/09SMU54North Texas32SMU -13SMU64.5Over
201609/03North Texas21SMU34SMU -12SMU68.0Under
201509/12SMU31North Texas13SMU -6SMU60.0Under
201409/06North Texas43SMU6North Texas -4North Texas0
200709/08SMU45North Texas31
200609/09North Texas24SMU6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas323 Overs
SMU986 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 37 - 37 - 00 - 3
Road Teams3 - 93 - 73 - 00 - 7

(#) SMU at (#) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #110
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #55 #88
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCatUNT OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatUNT OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
SMU 15.0 (71.5)
SMU won at North Texas this year (65-35)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat North Texas in 2023 (45-21)

  
SMU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNT's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD