Navy at East Carolina - 2020 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at East Carolina Pirates  East Carolina logo
Saturday, October 17th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -3 (55.5)
Navy 27 - East Carolina: 23  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (3 - 7) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ ECU -1)
Projected Score: NAVY: 24 - ECU: 31 (55)
NAVY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NAVY Travel: 239 miles
Pirates (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 Navy vs BYU+1.048.5L 3 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Navy at Tulane+5.544.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Navy at Air Force-6.546.5L 7 - 40ON
Sat 10/10 Navy vs Temple+4.051.0W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/17 Navy at East Carolina-3.055.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/24 Navy vs Houston+14.556.0L 21 - 37ON
Sat 10/31 Navy at SMU+14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Navy vs Memphis+13.562.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 12/5 Navy vs Tulsa+12.046.0L 6 - 19UN
Sat 12/12 Navy vs Army+7.535.5L 0 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
East Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs UCF+28.078.0L 28 - 51OY
Sat 10/3 East Carolina at Georgia State-1.570.5L 29 - 49ON
Sat 10/10 East Carolina at South Florida+5.558.5W 44 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 East Carolina vs Navy+3.055.5L 23 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 East Carolina at Tulsa+17.059.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/7 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.563.5L 21 - 38UN
Fri 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati+27.556.5L 17 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Temple-6.554.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/28 East Carolina vs SMU+12.072.0W 52 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.3749%31.549%3.336143%954.56.1141%2539%40%3.1535.31.21.8
ECU.1442%32.738%2.5514143%2893.18.2847%20.145%48%4.3751.31.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.848.6%4.561.222456361956.185%14%49%43%13%.37
ECU Defense1220.119.846.8%4.371.9 - - - - - 52%47%45%48%18%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.240.8%3.151.8 - - - - - 52%46%39%40%24%.11
ECU Offense1232.736.242.4%3.181.4244301412893.846%51%38%43%25%.14

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1333:2821.747%76%4.235.31.21.87.83.5128.6
East Carolina1229:342439%43%5.951.31.41.97.52.7226.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1385%49%59.5360.56.152.363.372%11%1.28
ECU Defense1252%45% - - - - .19367%12%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1352%39% - - - - .012.4678%15%0.9
ECU Offense1246%38%37.4141.33.812-.062.5570%14%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1314%43%4.2895.211.922.5104.472.227%44%.622%1.8
ECU Defense1247%48% - - - - - - 11.411.631%35%.366%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 12.241.736%30%.219%1.8
ECU Offense1251%43%22.537.6288.87.712.82210.361.736%35%.3311%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2020 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8  #99
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #102
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    East Carolina: -1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.8   East Carolina: -7.6




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -1.3 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6  #97
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #85
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 31
Navy 24

Projected Total Points: 55
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29East Carolina20Navy34East Carolina -2.5Navy54.0Push
202311/18Navy10East Carolina0Navy -2.5Navy30.5Under
202209/24East Carolina20Navy23East Carolina -16.5Navy48.5Under
202111/20Navy35East Carolina38East Carolina -3.5Navy46.0Over
202010/17East Carolina23Navy27Navy -3Navy55.5Under
201909/14Navy42East Carolina10Navy -7.5Navy53.0Under
201611/19East Carolina31Navy66Navy -8Navy64.0Over
201509/19Navy45East Carolina21Navy -1.5Navy58.0Over
201210/27East Carolina28Navy56
201110/22Navy35East Carolina38
201011/06East Carolina35Navy76
200609/02Navy28East Carolina23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina203 Overs
Navy1084 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 84 - 43 - 21 - 2
Road Teams8 - 44 - 42 - 12 - 3

(#) NAVY at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #97
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Navy 3.0 (55.5)
Navy won at East Carolina this year (27-23)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat East Carolina in 2024 (34-20)
Navy beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-0)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD