East Carolina at Cincinnati - 2020 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Cincinnati Bearcats  Cincinnati logo
Friday, November 13th 2020 (7:30 PM EST)
Cincinnati -27.5 (56.5)
Cincinnati 55 - East Carolina: 17  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 3rd straight Home Game
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -16.5  (SP+ CIN -28)
Projected Score: ECU: 27 - CIN: 26 (53)
CIN Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ECU Travel: 462 miles
Bearcats (9 - 1) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs UCF+28.078.0L 28 - 51OY
Sat 10/3 East Carolina at Georgia State-1.570.5L 29 - 49ON
Sat 10/10 East Carolina at South Florida+5.558.5W 44 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 East Carolina vs Navy+3.055.5L 23 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 East Carolina at Tulsa+17.059.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/7 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.563.5L 21 - 38UN
Fri 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati+27.556.5L 17 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Temple-6.554.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/28 East Carolina vs SMU+12.072.0W 52 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati vs Austin Peay-39.554.0W 55 - 20ON
Sat 9/26 Cincinnati vs Army-12.544.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/3 Cincinnati vs South Florida-22.044.5W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati at SMU+1.556.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs Memphis-7.0
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati vs Houston-12.551.5W 38 - 10UY
Fri 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-27.556.5W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/21 Cincinnati at UCF-4.566.0W 36 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-14.044.5W 27 - 24ON
Fri 1/1 Cincinnati vs Georgia+7.050.0L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1442%32.738%2.5514143%2893.18.2847%20.145%48%4.3751.31.41.9
CIN.1843%30.345%3.0521038%1824.19.0940%25.640%38%2.5769.81.42.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1232.730.842.4%3.181.4244301412893.846%51%38%43%25%.14
CIN Defense1425.619.639.8%2.572.4 - - - - - 49%49%40%38%22%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1220.120.846.8%4.371.9 - - - - - 52%47%45%48%18%.28
CIN Offense1430.334.443%4.191.4213922101824.857%41%45%38%17%.18

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1229:342439%43%5.951.31.41.97.52.7226.4
Cincinnati1431:4520.843%65%8.769.81.42.48.33.1331.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246%38%37.4141.33.812-.062.5570%14%0.79
CIN Defense1449%40% - - - - .062.6974%14%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1252%45% - - - - .19367%12%1.14
CIN Offense1457%45%44209.84.830.163.0577%11%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1251%43%22.537.6288.87.712.82210.361.736%35%.3311%1.9
CIN Defense1449%38% - - - - - - 16.141.637%29%.178%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1247%48% - - - - - - 11.411.631%35%.366%1.9
CIN Offense1441%38%14.926.9182.36.812.31911.211.633%31%.36%1.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6  #97
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #85
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Cincinnati: 12.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -7.6   Cincinnati: 19.9




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 12.45 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2020 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.9  #8
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #22
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #5

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 27
Cincinnati 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/11Cincinnati27East Carolina25Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina51.5Over
202111/26East Carolina13Cincinnati35Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati56.5Under
202011/13Cincinnati55East Carolina17Cincinnati -27.5Cincinnati56.5Over
201911/02East Carolina43Cincinnati46Cincinnati -25East Carolina48.5Over
201811/23Cincinnati56East Carolina6Cincinnati -15.5Cincinnati49.5Over
201711/18East Carolina48Cincinnati20Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina67.5Over
201610/22Cincinnati31East Carolina19Cincinnati -2Cincinnati63.0Under
201511/28East Carolina16Cincinnati19Cincinnati -3NA69.0Under
201411/13Cincinnati54East Carolina46East Carolina -2.5Cincinnati0
200409/25East Carolina19Cincinnati24
200309/01Cincinnati40East Carolina3
200111/10Cincinnati26East Carolina28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1055 Overs
East Carolina233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 23 - 13 - 1
Road Teams5 - 72 - 61 - 31 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #71 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Cincinnati -27.5 (56.5)
Cincinnati won vs East Carolina this year (55-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD