Cincinnati at SMU - 2020 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo (#24)Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, October 24th 2020 (9:00 PM EDT)
SMU -1.5 (56.5)
Cincinnati 42 - SMU: 13  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (9 - 1) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 17 (39 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ CIN -14)
Projected Score: CIN: 26 - SMU: 27 (53)
SMU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
CIN Travel: 811 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (7 - 3) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 31 (36 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati vs Austin Peay-39.554.0W 55 - 20ON
Sat 9/26 Cincinnati vs Army-12.544.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/3 Cincinnati vs South Florida-22.044.5W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati at SMU+1.556.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs Memphis-7.0
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati vs Houston-12.551.5W 38 - 10UY
Fri 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-27.556.5W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/21 Cincinnati at UCF-4.566.0W 36 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-14.044.5W 27 - 24ON
Fri 1/1 Cincinnati vs Georgia+7.050.0L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
SMU's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 SMU at Texas State-24.570.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 SMU at North Texas-15.071.5W 65 - 35OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-38.563.5W 50 - 7UY
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Memphis-1.575.0W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16 SMU at Tulane-6.566.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/24 SMU vs Cincinnati-1.556.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Navy-14.0
Sat 11/7 SMU at Temple-17.063.5W 47 - 23OY
Sat 11/14 SMU at Tulsa-2.064.0L 24 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 SMU at East Carolina-12.072.0L 38 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 SMU vs Houston+2.068.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2546%37.542%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%16.838%31%1.9876.21.62
SMU.2645%38.646%3.0317844%3183.75.2443%30.943%43%4.6861.71.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1037.53946.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25
SMU Defense1030.928.343%4.681.6 - - - - - 53%47%43%43%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1016.82334.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
SMU Offense1038.63645.3%3.751.2254961783184.746%54%46%44%14%.26

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
SMU1029:222547%41%6.961.71.21.67.52.5131.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12
SMU Defense1053%43% - - - - .172.967%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
SMU Offense1046%46%37.6177.84.724.143.0383%9%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8
SMU Defense1047%43% - - - - - - 7.311.734%36%.416%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
SMU Offense1054%44%24.637.63188.512.9236.361.733%37%.496%2.3

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2020 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.9  #8
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #22
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #5

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    SMU: 5.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 19.9   SMU: 5.9




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 5.45 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2020 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #43
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #24
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 37.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 39
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Cincinnati's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 27
Cincinnati 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 25
Cincinnati 19

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 34
SMU 29

Total Points: 63
SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

SMU's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22SMU27Cincinnati29Cincinnati -3.5SMU59.5Under
202111/20Cincinnati48SMU14Cincinnati -9.5Cincinnati65.5Under
202010/24SMU13Cincinnati42SMU -1.5Cincinnati56.5Under
201810/27SMU20Cincinnati26Cincinnati -9.5SMU50.0Under
201710/21Cincinnati28SMU31SMU -6Cincinnati66.0Under
201410/18SMU3Cincinnati41Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati0
201311/09Cincinnati28SMU25Cincinnati -10.5SMU0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU130 Overs
Cincinnati645 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 54 - 31 - 23 - 1
Road Teams5 - 23 - 41 - 32 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #43
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #58 #55
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 59° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 8
SMU -1.5 (56.5)
Cincinnati won at SMU this year (42-13)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat SMU in 2022 (29-27)

  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD