UCF at East Carolina - 2020 Matchup Preview
UCF logo   UCF Knights at East Carolina Pirates  East Carolina logo
Saturday, September 26th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
UCF -28 (78.0)
UCF 51 - East Carolina: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (6 - 4) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ UCF -21)
Projected Score: UCF: 19 - ECU: 32 (51)
UCF Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UCF Travel: 532 miles
Pirates (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 UCF at Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina-28.078.0W 51 - 28ON
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Tulsa-19.570.0L 26 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF at Memphis-3.076.5L 49 - 50ON
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Tulane-21.071.0W 51 - 34ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Houston-3.081.0W 44 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Temple-29.072.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Cincinnati+4.566.0L 33 - 36OY
Fri 11/27 UCF at South Florida-26.070.5W 58 - 46ON
Tue 12/22 UCF vs BYU+6.080.0L 23 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
East Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs UCF+28.078.0L 28 - 51OY
Sat 10/3 East Carolina at Georgia State-1.570.5L 29 - 49ON
Sat 10/10 East Carolina at South Florida+5.558.5W 44 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 East Carolina vs Navy+3.055.5L 23 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 East Carolina at Tulsa+17.059.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/7 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.563.5L 21 - 38UN
Fri 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati+27.556.5L 17 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Temple-6.554.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/28 East Carolina vs SMU+12.072.0W 52 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.2945%24.345%2.7822443%3174.0337%23.640%31%3.2173.81.21.9
ECU.1442%32.738%2.5514143%2893.18.2847%20.145%48%4.3751.31.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1324.312.845%41.2265402243175.249%49%45%43%16%.29
ECU Defense1220.119.846.8%4.371.9 - - - - - 52%47%45%48%18%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1323.634.636.9%3.211.9 - - - - - 52%46%40%31%27%.03
ECU Offense1232.736.242.4%3.181.4244301412893.846%51%38%43%25%.14

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1326:2925.540%58%8.573.81.21.910.92.9328.7
East Carolina1229:342439%43%5.951.31.41.97.52.7226.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1349%45%43223.85.234.232.7868%11%1.2
ECU Defense1252%45% - - - - .19367%12%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1352%40% - - - - -.012.5967%16%0.88
ECU Offense1246%38%37.4141.33.812-.062.5570%14%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1349%43%20.835.2316.7915.2368.371.834%37%.365%1.8
ECU Defense1247%48% - - - - - - 11.411.631%35%.366%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1346%31% - - - - - - 13.081.740%28%.1411%1.8
ECU Offense1251%43%22.537.6288.87.712.82210.361.736%35%.3311%1.9

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2020 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #20
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #8
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    East Carolina: -1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 13.6   East Carolina: -7.6




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -1.3 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6  #97
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #85
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 32
UCF 19

Projected Total Points: 51
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22East Carolina34UCF13UCF -5.5East Carolina63.0Under
202110/09UCF20East Carolina16UCF -10East Carolina65.0Under
202009/26East Carolina28UCF51UCF -28East Carolina78.0Over
201910/19UCF41East Carolina28UCF -34.5East Carolina65.5Over
201810/20East Carolina10UCF37UCF -21.5UCF65.5Under
201710/14UCF63East Carolina21UCF -35UCF70.0Over
201610/01East Carolina29UCF47East Carolina -5.5UCF61.0Over
201511/19UCF7East Carolina44East Carolina -17East Carolina51.5Under
201412/04East Carolina30UCF32East Carolina -6.5UCF0
201210/04UCF40East Carolina20
201111/19East Carolina38UCF31
201010/30UCF49East Carolina35
200909/26East Carolina19UCF14
200811/02UCF10East Carolina13
200710/06East Carolina52UCF38
200611/04UCF10East Carolina23
200510/29East Carolina20UCF30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina754 Overs
UCF1044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 61 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 96 - 32 - 24 - 1

(#) UCF at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #97
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
UCF 28.0 (78.0)
UCF won at East Carolina this year (51-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD