East Carolina at Georgia State - 2020 Matchup Preview

East Carolina Pirates at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -1.5 (70.5)
Georgia State 49 - East Carolina: 29

Pirates (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST coming off BYE
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ GAST -4)
Projected Score: ECU: 33 - GAST: 21 (54)
ECU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ECU Travel: 419 miles

Panthers (6 - 4) (7 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	East Carolina vs UCF	+28.0	78.0	L 28 - 51	O	Y
Sat 10/3	East Carolina at Georgia State	-1.5	70.5	L 29 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/10	East Carolina at South Florida	+5.5	58.5	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/17	East Carolina vs Navy	+3.0	55.5	L 23 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30	East Carolina at Tulsa	+17.0	59.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/7	East Carolina vs Tulane	+3.5	63.5	L 21 - 38	U	N
Fri 11/13	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+27.5	56.5	L 17 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/21	East Carolina at Temple	-6.5	54.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/28	East Carolina vs SMU	+12.0	72.0	W 52 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Georgia State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Georgia State vs Louisiana	+17.0	57.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Georgia State vs East Carolina	+1.5	70.5	W 49 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15	Georgia State at Arkansas State	+3.5	72.5	L 52 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/24	Georgia State at Troy	+1.5	68.5	W 36 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+4.0	60.5	L 0 - 51	U	N
Sat 11/7	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-18.5	60.0	W 52 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/14	Georgia State at App State	+18.0	63.0	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Georgia State at South Alabama	-3.5	58.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	51.5	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/26	Georgia State vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	W 39 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.14	42%	32.7	38%	2.55	141	43%	289	3.18	.28	47%	20.1	45%	48%	4.37	51.3	1.4	1.9
GAST	.24	49%	19.8	50%	3.33	242	46%	198	3.86	.31	46%	37.8	46%	46%	4.79	42.8	1.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	32.7	30.8	42.4%	3.18	1.4	24	430	141	289	3.8	46%	51%	38%	43%	25%	.14
GAST Defense	13	37.8	30.3	46.4%	4.79	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	46%	18%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	20.1	20.8	46.8%	4.37	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	45%	48%	18%	.28
GAST Offense	13	19.8	21.5	48.6%	3.86	1.2	23	440	242	198	5.3	59%	40%	50%	46%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	29:34	24	39%	43%	5.9	51.3	1.4	1.9	7.5	2.7	2	26.4
Georgia State	13	29:36	23.5	46%	48%	4.3	42.8	1.2	1.4	5.3	2.2	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	46%	38%	37.4	141.3	3.8	12	-.06	2.55	70%	14%	0.79
GAST Defense	13	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.3	73%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3	67%	12%	1.14
GAST Offense	13	59%	50%	45.8	241.6	5.3	30	.23	3.33	73%	11%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	51%	43%	22.5	37.6	288.8	7.7	12.8	22	10	.36	1.7	36%	35%	.33	11%	1.9
GAST Defense	13	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.4	1.7	29%	37%	.47	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	47%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.41	1.6	31%	35%	.36	6%	1.9
GAST Offense	13	40%	46%	18.3	29.6	198.2	6.7	10.8	22	9	.27	1.5	27%	35%	.29	7%	1.8

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #97
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #85
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: Georgia State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -7.6 Georgia State: -4.0

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #88
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #63
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 33
Georgia State 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	10/03	Georgia State	49	East Carolina	29	East Carolina -1.5	Georgia State	70.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	1	1	1 Overs
East Carolina	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#) ECU at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#88
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#71	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
East Carolina 1.5 (70.5)
Georgia State won vs East Carolina this year (49-29)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD