Ole Miss at Memphis - 2019 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#6)Ole Miss Rebels at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, August 31st 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -3 (63.5)
Memphis 15 - Ole Miss: 10

 
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (20 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10  (SP+ MEM -15)
Projected Score: MISS: 26 - MEM: 38 (64)
MEM Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MISS Travel: 58 miles
Tigers (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 26 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ole Miss at Memphis+3.063.5L 10 - 15UN
Sat 9/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.050.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Ole Miss vs SE Louisiana-30.553.0W 40 - 29ON
Sat 9/21 Ole Miss vs California-3.043.0L 20 - 28ON
Sat 9/28 Ole Miss at Alabama+37.562.5L 31 - 59OY
Sat 10/5 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-6.563.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 10/12 Ole Miss at Missouri+12.055.5L 27 - 38OY
Sat 10/19 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+6.054.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Ole Miss at Auburn+17.053.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Ole Miss vs New Mexico State-28.564.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Ole Miss vs LSU+21.066.0L 37 - 58OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+1.059.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Memphis's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Memphis vs Ole Miss-3.063.5W 15 - 10UY
Sat 9/7 Memphis vs Southern-41.068.5W 55 - 24ON
Sat 9/14 Memphis at South Alabama-20.555.0W 42 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/26 Memphis vs Navy-11.053.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 10/5 Memphis at UL Monroe-16.063.5W 52 - 33OY
Sat 10/12 Memphis at Temple-3.550.0L 28 - 30ON
Sat 10/19 Memphis vs Tulane-2.561.0W 47 - 17OY
Sat 10/26 Memphis at Tulsa-10.059.5W 42 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Memphis vs SMU-6.571.0W 54 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Memphis at Houston-9.071.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Memphis at South Florida-15.560.0W 49 - 10UY
Fri 11/29 Memphis vs Cincinnati-14.059.5W 34 - 24UN
Sat 12/7 Memphis vs Cincinnati-9.058.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 12/28 Memphis vs Penn State+7.059.5L 39 - 53ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.1642%26.643%2.7225139%1943.13.245%26.544%43%3.0948.81.21.7
MEM.3348%40.447%2.7918747%2983.73.1641%26.442%37%3.6559.91.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1226.620.442%3.131.2234452511945.459%40%43%39%22%.16
MEM Defense1426.424.340.5%3.651.7 - - - - - 55%43%42%37%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1226.530.644.8%3.091.7 - - - - - 46%53%44%43%21%.2
MEM Offense1440.438.448.2%3.731.4234851872984.750%48%47%47%21%.33

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1228:1322.637%55%4.948.81.21.794.3127.5
Memphis1430:3623.246%58%7.459.91.41.77.13531.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1259%43%46.62515.429.12.7274%11%1.08
MEM Defense1455%42% - - - - .142.8777%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1246%44% - - - - .113.1174%14%0.9
MEM Offense1450%47%39.4186.74.732.152.7968%15%1

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1240%39%15.527.6194712.5115.291.832%32%.2411%1.8
MEM Defense1443%37% - - - - - - 11.191.634%31%.227%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1253%43% - - - - - - 10.31.632%36%.457%2
MEM Offense1448%47%20.131.5298.49.514.93311.51.932%40%.616%2.3

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #52
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #67
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Memphis: 11.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 2.9   Memphis: 18.0




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 11.5 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2019 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.0  #17
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5  #8
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #39

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.4
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Ole Miss's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 38
Ole Miss 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 42
Ole Miss 27

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 34
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 59
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.4
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Memphis's 2019 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201908/31Memphis15Ole Miss10Memphis -3Memphis63.5Under
201610/01Ole Miss48Memphis28Ole Miss -15.5Ole Miss71.5Over
201510/17Memphis37Ole Miss24Ole Miss -10.5Memphis72.0Under
201409/27Ole Miss24Memphis3Ole Miss -21Push0
200909/06Memphis14Ole Miss45
200808/30Ole Miss41Memphis24
200709/01Memphis21Ole Miss23
200609/03Ole Miss28Memphis25
200509/05Memphis6Ole Miss10
200409/04Ole Miss13Memphis20
200309/06Memphis44Ole Miss34
200209/07Ole Miss38Memphis16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis421 Overs
Ole Miss812 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams4 - 80 - 30 - 10 - 2

(#) MISS at (#) MEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSMEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #17
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #25 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffMEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCatMEM OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCatMEM OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85°
Rematch from Week 1
Memphis -3.0 (63.5)
Memphis won vs Ole Miss this year (15-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MISS's OC ()
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MEM's OC ()
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MEM's DC ()
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