UL Monroe at Florida State - 2019 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, September 7th 2019 (5:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -22.5 (65.5)
Florida State 45 - UL Monroe: 44

Warhawks (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ FSU -13)
Projected Score: ULM: 17 - FSU: 37 (54)
FSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
ULM Travel: 480 miles, 1 hrs behind

Seminoles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UL Monroe vs Grambling	-18
Sat 8/31	UL Monroe vs Grambling	-28.0	58.5	W 31 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/7	UL Monroe at Florida State	+22.5	65.5	L 44 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	UL Monroe at Iowa State	+17.0	51.5	L 20 - 72	O	N
Sat 9/28	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	-14.5	59.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	UL Monroe vs Memphis	+16.0	63.5	L 33 - 52	O	N
Thu 10/10	UL Monroe at Texas State	-3.5	60.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	UL Monroe at App State	+16.5	65.5	L 7 - 52	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	+1.0	69.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+2.5	77.5	W 45 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/16	UL Monroe at Georgia Southern	+6.5	57.5	L 29 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/23	UL Monroe vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	63.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/30	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+19.5	71.0	L 30 - 31	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Florida State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Florida State vs Boise State	-6.5	55.0	L 31 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/7	Florida State vs UL Monroe	-22.5	65.5	W 45 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/14	Florida State at Virginia	+7.0	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Florida State vs Louisville	-6.5	61.0	W 35 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Florida State vs NC State	-7.0	62.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Florida State at Clemson	+25.5	60.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/19	Florida State at Wake Forest	-3.0	69.0	L 20 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/26	Florida State vs Syracuse	-12.0	60.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Florida State vs Miami	-3.0	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/9	Florida State at Boston College	+1.0	64.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Florida State vs Alabama State	-41.0	53.0	W 49 - 12	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Florida State at Florida	+16.5	55.0	L 17 - 40	O	N
Tue 12/31	Florida State vs Arizona State	+3.5	51.5	L 14 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	.21	46%	16.6	48%	3.39	167	43%	248	3.44	.24	46%	31.9	44%	48%	3.87	49	1.9	0.9
FSU	.09	35%	33	32%	2.15	91	35%	271	3.42	.08	41%	22	40%	39%	3.37	70.3	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	16.6	15.4	46.5%	3.44	1.9	21	415	167	248	4.9	49%	49%	48%	43%	17%	.21
FSU Defense	12	22	16.1	40.6%	3.37	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	40%	39%	16%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.9	39	46.5%	3.87	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	44%	48%	16%	.24
FSU Offense	12	33	43.3	34.6%	3.42	2.2	17	362	91	271	2.8	44%	55%	32%	35%	20%	.09

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	27:39	20.5	41%	56%	5.3	49	1.9	0.9	6.8	2.8	2	27.4
Florida State	12	27:35	17.3	29%	50%	9	70.3	2.2	1.3	5.7	2.3	2	26

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	49%	48%	34.5	167.3	4.9	22	.21	3.39	75%	10%	0.97
FSU Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.74	59%	9%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.99	80%	11%	1.02
FSU Offense	12	44%	32%	32.7	91	2.8	11	-.08	2.15	66%	14%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	49%	43%	19.9	32.3	247.5	7.7	12.4	17	12	.22	1.5	31%	31%	.23	7%	1.8
FSU Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.18	1.6	34%	31%	.24	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.34	1.6	31%	38%	.44	5%	1.7
FSU Offense	12	55%	35%	21.7	37.9	270.6	7.1	12.5	20	13	.25	1.8	39%	27%	.24	6%	2

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2019 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7 #109
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #43
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: Florida State: 3.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -10.7 Florida State: 1.8

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 3.4 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #57
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 37
UL Monroe 17

Projected Total Points: 54

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/07	Florida State	45	UL Monroe	44	Florida State -22.5	UL Monroe	65.5	Over
2017	12/02	Florida State	42	UL Monroe	10	Florida State -26	Florida State	64.0	Under
2011	09/03	Florida State	34	UL Monroe	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	3	1	1 Overs
UL Monroe	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) ULM at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#57
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#106	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UL Monroe Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ULM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Florida State -22.5 (65.5)
Florida State won vs UL Monroe this year (45-44)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD