UL Monroe at Texas State - 2019 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Texas State Bobcats

Thursday, October 10th 2019 (9:15 PM EDT)
Louisiana Monroe -3.5 (60.5)
UL Monroe 24 - Texas State: 14 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TXST coming off BYE
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ ULM -5.5)
Projected Score: ULM: 22 - TXST: 36 (58)
ULM Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ULM Travel: 391 miles

Bobcats (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
TXST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UL Monroe vs Grambling	-18
Sat 8/31	UL Monroe vs Grambling	-28.0	58.5	W 31 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/7	UL Monroe at Florida State	+22.5	65.5	L 44 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	UL Monroe at Iowa State	+17.0	51.5	L 20 - 72	O	N
Sat 9/28	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	-14.5	59.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	UL Monroe vs Memphis	+16.0	63.5	L 33 - 52	O	N
Thu 10/10	UL Monroe at Texas State	-3.5	60.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	UL Monroe at App State	+16.5	65.5	L 7 - 52	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	+1.0	69.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+2.5	77.5	W 45 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/16	UL Monroe at Georgia Southern	+6.5	57.5	L 29 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/23	UL Monroe vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	63.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/30	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+19.5	71.0	L 30 - 31	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Texas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Texas State at Texas A&M	+33.5	56.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/7	Texas State vs Wyoming	+7.5	48.0	L 14 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/14	Texas State at SMU	+17.5	62.0	L 17 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/21	Texas State vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.5	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/28	Texas State vs Nicholls	-2.5	55.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Texas State vs UL Monroe	+3.5	60.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Texas State at Arkansas State	+11.5	60.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/2	Texas State at Louisiana	+23.0	55.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/9	Texas State vs South Alabama	-7.0	41.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/16	Texas State vs Troy	+7.0	65.0	L 27 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/23	Texas State at App State	+28.0	51.0	L 13 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+7.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	.21	46%	16.6	48%	3.39	167	43%	248	3.44	.24	46%	31.9	44%	48%	3.87	49	1.9	0.9
TXST	.07	39%	36.5	40%	2.42	147	37%	182	2.62	.09	37%	29	36%	34%	3.3	49.2	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	16.6	15.4	46.5%	3.44	1.9	21	415	167	248	4.9	49%	49%	48%	43%	17%	.21
TXST Defense	12	29	28.3	36.9%	3.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	36%	34%	15%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.9	39	46.5%	3.87	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	44%	48%	16%	.24
TXST Offense	12	36.5	38	39.3%	2.62	1.9	17	330	147	182	4	54%	45%	40%	37%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	27:39	20.5	41%	56%	5.3	49	1.9	0.9	6.8	2.8	2	27.4
Texas State	12	27:46	17.3	32%	50%	6	49.2	1.9	1.3	4.8	1.3	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	49%	48%	34.5	167.3	4.9	22	.21	3.39	75%	10%	0.97
TXST Defense	12	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.99	58%	9%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.99	80%	11%	1.02
TXST Offense	12	54%	40%	37.3	147.2	4	15	-.01	2.42	57%	12%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	49%	43%	19.9	32.3	247.5	7.7	12.4	17	12	.22	1.5	31%	31%	.23	7%	1.8
TXST Defense	12	45%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.15	1.7	36%	31%	.24	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.34	1.6	31%	38%	.44	5%	1.7
TXST Offense	12	45%	37%	16.1	27.5	182.3	6.6	11.3	15	12	.2	1.7	34%	28%	.24	7%	1.9

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2019 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7 #109
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #43
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: Texas State: -5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -10.7 Texas State: -16.2

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -5.6 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #118
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #120
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #94

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 36
UL Monroe 22

Projected Total Points: 58

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Texas State	31	UL Monroe	14	Texas State -20.5	UL Monroe	59.5	Under
2024	11/09	UL Monroe	17	Texas State	38	Texas State -9.5	Texas State	50.0	Over
2023	10/14	Texas State	21	UL Monroe	20	Texas State -18.5	UL Monroe	64.5	Under
2022	11/05	UL Monroe	31	Texas State	30	Louisiana Monroe -2.5	Texas State	52.5	Over
2021	11/06	Texas State	27	UL Monroe	19	Texas State -3	Texas State	57.5	Under
2020	09/19	UL Monroe	17	Texas State	38	Texas State -3	Texas State	58.0	Under
2019	10/10	Texas State	14	UL Monroe	24	Louisiana Monroe -3.5	UL Monroe	60.5	Under
2018	10/20	UL Monroe	20	Texas State	14	Louisiana Monroe -10.5	Texas State	60.0	Under
2017	10/07	Texas State	27	UL Monroe	45	Louisiana Monroe -6	UL Monroe	55.0	Over
2016	10/15	UL Monroe	40	Texas State	34	Louisiana Monroe -4.5	UL Monroe	66.5	Over
2015	11/19	Texas State	16	UL Monroe	3	Texas State -5	Texas State	58.5	Under
2014	10/25	UL Monroe	18	Texas State	22	Louisiana Monroe -2	Texas State	0
2013	10/12	Texas State	14	UL Monroe	21	Texas State -6	UL Monroe	0
2000	09/29	UL Monroe	7	Texas State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas State	8	7	4 Overs
UL Monroe	6	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	3 - 10	3 - 6	0 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 7	10 - 3	4 - 0	6 - 3

(#) ULM at (#) TXST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	TXST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#118
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#106	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UL Monroe Injury Report

Texas State Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TXST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
UL Monroe 3.5 (60.5)
UL Monroe won at Texas State this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat UL Monroe last year (31-14)
Texas State beat UL Monroe in 2024 (38-17)
Texas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (21-20)

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD