UL Monroe at App State - 2019 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo   UL Monroe Warhawks at App State Mountaineers  App State logo
Saturday, October 19th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -16.5 (65.5)
App State 52 - UL Monroe: 7  (Sun Belt)

 
Warhawks (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULM 2nd straight Road Game
ULM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ APP -22)

Projected Score: ULM: 22 - APP: 31 (53)
APP Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ULM Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UL Monroe's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UL Monroe vs Grambling-18
Sat 8/31 UL Monroe vs Grambling-28.058.5W 31 - 9UN
Sat 9/7 UL Monroe at Florida State+22.565.5L 44 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UL Monroe at Iowa State+17.051.5L 20 - 72ON
Sat 9/28 UL Monroe vs South Alabama-14.559.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 UL Monroe vs Memphis+16.063.5L 33 - 52ON
Thu 10/10 UL Monroe at Texas State-3.560.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 UL Monroe at App State+16.565.5L 7 - 52UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+1.069.0L 41 - 48ON
Sat 11/9 UL Monroe vs Georgia State+2.577.5W 45 - 31UY
Sat 11/16 UL Monroe at Georgia Southern+6.557.5L 29 - 51ON
Sat 11/23 UL Monroe vs Coastal Carolina-6.063.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 11/30 UL Monroe at Louisiana+19.571.0L 30 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
App State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-33.051.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 App State vs Charlotte-23.054.0W 56 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 App State at North Carolina+1.558.0W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 App State vs Coastal Carolina-14.558.0W 56 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 App State at Louisiana+2.569.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 App State vs UL Monroe-16.565.5W 52 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 App State at South Alabama-27.551.0W 30 - 3UN
Thu 10/31 App State vs Georgia Southern-15.044.5L 21 - 24ON
Sat 11/9 App State at South Carolina+6.551.0W 20 - 15UY
Sat 11/16 App State at Georgia State-15.061.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 App State vs Texas State-28.051.0W 35 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 App State at Troy-11.064.0W 48 - 13UY
Sat 12/7 App State vs Louisiana-6.057.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 12/21 App State vs UAB-17.548.0W 31 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM.2146%16.648%3.3916743%2483.44.2446%31.944%48%3.87491.90.9
APP.2543%24.240%2.9224046%1914.1337%29.836%34%2.5557.51.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense1216.615.446.5%3.441.9214151672484.949%49%48%43%17%.21
APP Defense1329.826.736.9%2.551.8 - - - - - 51%46%36%34%18%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1231.93946.5%3.870.9 - - - - - 53%45%44%48%16%.24
APP Offense1324.22743.5%4.131.3204302401915.859%40%40%46%14%.25

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1227:3920.541%56%5.3491.90.96.82.8227.4
App State1330:3520.342%59%6.257.51.31.86.52.2531.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1249%48%34.5167.34.922.213.3975%10%0.97
APP Defense1351%36% - - - - .032.856%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1253%44% - - - - .172.9980%11%1.02
APP Offense1359%40%41.5239.85.831.22.9275%8%1.25

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1249%43%19.932.3247.57.712.41712.221.531%31%.237%1.8
APP Defense1346%34% - - - - - - 17-.031.435%32%.177%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 5.341.631%38%.445%1.7
APP Offense1340%46%15.124.5190.67.812.62712.351.732%34%.486%2.2

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2019 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7  #109
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #43
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe:    App State: 8.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -10.7   App State: 11.3




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 8.15 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2019 Expected Record: -
App State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #27
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #31
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
App State 31
UL Monroe 22


Projected Total Points: 53
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2019 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30UL Monroe40App State41Appalachian State -13.5UL Monroe50.5Over
202110/30App State59UL Monroe28Appalachian State -26.5App State57.5Over
202010/31UL Monroe13App State31Appalachian State -31.5UL Monroe0
201910/19App State52UL Monroe7Appalachian State -16.5App State65.5Under
201711/04UL Monroe52App State45Appalachian State -8UL Monroe62.5Over
201611/19App State42UL Monroe17Appalachian State -27.5UL Monroe52.0Over
201510/17UL Monroe14App State59Appalachian State -8.5App State47.0Over
201411/08App State31UL Monroe29Appalachian State -2Push0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State735 Overs
UL Monroe141 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 35 - 22 - 13 - 1
Road Teams3 - 52 - 51 - 31 - 2

(#) ULM at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULMAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #27
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #106 #109
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UL Monroe on Offense
CategoryCat
ULM OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UL Monroe Run Game
CategoryCat
ULM OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UL Monroe Pass Game
CategoryCat
ULM OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffULM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #127
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffULM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffULM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

ULM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
App State -16.5 (65.5)
App State won vs UL Monroe this year (52-7)

Previous Matchups
App State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (41-40)

  
ULM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD