South Florida at Navy - 2019 Matchup Preview

(#19)South Florida Bulls at Navy Midshipmen

Saturday, October 19th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -15.5 (52.0)
Navy 35 - South Florida: 3 (American Athletic)

Bulls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (23 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ NAVY -20)
Projected Score: USF: 26 - NAVY: 31 (57)
NAVY Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USF Travel: 835 miles

Midshipmen (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (39 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
NAVY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	South Florida vs Wisconsin	+10.0	58.0	L 0 - 49	U	N
Sat 9/7	South Florida at Georgia Tech	+5.0	59.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/14	South Florida vs South Carolina State	-25.0	49.5	W 55 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	South Florida vs SMU	+7.0	62.0	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/5	South Florida at UConn	-10.5	48.5	W 48 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/12	South Florida vs BYU	+4.5	50.0	W 27 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/19	South Florida at Navy	+15.5	52.0	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/26	South Florida at East Carolina	-1.0	51.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7	South Florida vs Temple	+1.0	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/16	South Florida vs Cincinnati	+13.0	46.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	South Florida vs Memphis	+15.5	60.0	L 10 - 49	U	N
Fri 11/29	South Florida at UCF	+24.0	61.5	L 7 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Navy's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Navy vs Holy Cross	-21.5	53.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Navy vs East Carolina	-7.5	53.0	W 42 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/26	Navy at Memphis	+11.0	53.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/5	Navy vs Air Force	+3.0	46.5	W 34 - 25	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Navy at Tulsa	+1.0	52.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Navy vs South Florida	-15.5	52.0	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Navy vs Tulane	-4.5	59.0	W 41 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/1	Navy at UConn	-25.5	55.0	W 56 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Navy at Notre Dame	+7.5	55.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/23	Navy vs SMU	-3.5	68.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Navy at Houston	-9.0	56.5	W 56 - 41	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Navy vs Army	-11.5	41.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Navy vs Kansas State	-2.0	53.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.11	39%	20.8	46%	3.08	161	31%	170	3.55	.15	46%	28.9	49%	40%	3.28	71.2	1.6	2.7
NAVY	.37	49%	37.2	49%	3.3	361	43%	95	4.56	.11	41%	22.3	39%	40%	3.15	35.3	1.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1
NAVY	#12 (.31)	44% (51)		46% (43)	3.27 (32)	231	39% (101)	117	4.39 (26)	#28 (.1)	41% (61)		46% (95)	37% (24)	3.48 (35)	41.9	1.1	1.8

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	20.8	22.6	39.3%	3.55	1.6	17	331	161	170	4.4	52%	47%	46%	31%	23%	.11
NAVY Defense	13	22.3	18.5	40.8%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	39%	40%	24%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	28.9	25	45.9%	3.28	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	49%	40%	24%	.15
NAVY Offense	13	37.2	38.7	48.6%	4.56	1.2	22	456	361	95	6.1	85%	14%	49%	43%	13%	.37

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	27:50	16.7	40%	41%	8.4	71.2	1.6	2.7	12.8	2.5	0	29.2
Navy	13	33:28	21.7	47%	76%	4.2	35.3	1.2	1.8	7.8	3.5	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	52%	46%	37.1	161.3	4.4	15	.16	3.08	85%	17%	0.95
NAVY Defense	13	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.46	78%	15%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	58%	49%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.08	72%	19%	0.94
NAVY Offense	13	85%	49%	59.5	360.5	6.1	52	.36	3.3	72%	11%	1.28

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	47%	31%	14.8	27.3	169.6	6.2	11.5	18	10	.07	1.7	34%	29%	.26	5%	2.1
NAVY Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.24	1.7	36%	30%	.21	9%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.21	1.6	29%	33%	.29	5%	1.9
NAVY Offense	13	14%	43%	4.2	8	95.2	11.9	22.5	10	4	.47	2.2	27%	44%	.62	2%	1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #103
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #109
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Navy: 7.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.8 Navy: 9.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 7.45 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #31
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #18
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 20.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

South Florida's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Navy 31
South Florida 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 31
Navy 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Navy 32
South Florida 21

Total Points: 53

Navy Scoring
Offense: 37.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Navy's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Navy	41	South Florida	38	South Florida -8.5	Navy	62.5	Over
2024	11/09	South Florida	7	Navy	28	Navy -4.5	Navy	59.5	Under
2023	09/30	Navy	30	South Florida	44	Navy -4	South Florida	54.0	Over
2019	10/19	Navy	35	South Florida	3	Navy -15.5	Navy	52.0	Under
2016	10/28	South Florida	52	Navy	45	South Florida -9	Navy	66.0	Over
2015	10/31	Navy	29	South Florida	17	Navy -11	Navy	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Navy	4	5	3 Overs
South Florida	2	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 2	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 4	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2

(#) USF at (#) NAVY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	NAVY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#31
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#68	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Navy Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	NAVY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#52
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 64° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Navy -15.5 (52.0)
Navy won vs South Florida this year (35-3)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat South Florida last year (28-7)
South Florida beat Navy in 2023 (44-30)

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NAVY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD