Navy at Tulsa - 2019 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Saturday, October 12th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tulsa -1 (52.0)
Navy 45 - Tulsa: 17  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ NAVY -12.5)
Projected Score: NAVY: 28 - TLSA: 26 (54)
TLSA Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
NAVY Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Navy vs Holy Cross-21.553.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Navy vs East Carolina-7.553.0W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/26 Navy at Memphis+11.053.5L 23 - 35ON
Sat 10/5 Navy vs Air Force+3.046.5W 34 - 25OY
Sat 10/12 Navy at Tulsa+1.052.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/19 Navy vs South Florida-15.552.0W 35 - 3UY
Sat 10/26 Navy vs Tulane-4.559.0W 41 - 38ON
Fri 11/1 Navy at UConn-25.555.0W 56 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Navy at Notre Dame+7.555.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 11/23 Navy vs SMU-3.568.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/30 Navy at Houston-9.056.5W 56 - 41OY
Sat 12/14 Navy vs Army-11.541.5W 31 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Navy vs Kansas State-2.053.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Tulsa's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Tulsa at Michigan State+22.047.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at San José State-6.553.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+14.064.0L 21 - 40UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa vs Wyoming-5.546.0W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tulsa at SMU+12.063.5L 37 - 43OY
Sat 10/12 Tulsa vs Navy-1.052.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+16.047.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs Memphis+10.059.5L 41 - 42OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at Tulane+10.059.5L 26 - 38ON
Fri 11/8 Tulsa vs UCF+17.068.5W 34 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Tulsa vs Houston-5.057.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Tulsa at East Carolina-7.064.0W 49 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1440%31.542%3.0727625%734.17.2947%2543%51%3.99301.31.6
TLSA.1143%23.246%2.9220137%1773.57.1544%28.944%42%3.6463.421.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.840.3%4.171.318349276734.983%16%42%25%14%.14
TLSA Defense1228.927.244.4%3.641.8 - - - - - 61%37%44%42%14%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.247%3.991.6 - - - - - 56%43%43%51%11%.29
TLSA Offense1223.227.343.2%3.572203782011774.160%38%46%37%19%.11

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1333:2217.938%61%3.7301.31.62.80.8029.2
Tulsa1228:4720.243%58%7.263.421.84.91.2029.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1383%42%56.3276.24.937.193.0774%11%1.12
TLSA Defense1261%44% - - - - .153.1474%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1356%43% - - - - .143.0174%7%1.1
TLSA Offense1260%46%48.5200.74.123.112.9274%13%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1316%25%4.29.972.87.317.555-.082.332%26%.183%1.8
TLSA Defense1237%42% - - - - - - 9.181.431%34%.296%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1343%51% - - - - - - 9.51.628%37%.454%2
TLSA Offense1238%37%14.326.4177.16.712.41310.131.732%35%.297%1.8

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #31
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #18
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Tulsa: 1.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 9.9   Tulsa: -2.5




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 1.25 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2019 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5  #73
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #87
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 28
Tulsa 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulsa23Navy42Navy -14Navy52.5Over
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21Tulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20Tulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19Tulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45Tulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29Navy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31Navy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40Navy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44Navy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa216 Overs
Navy983 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 83 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #88
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Tulsa -1.0 (52.0)
Navy won at Tulsa this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa last year (42-23)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD