East Carolina at Navy - 2019 Matchup Preview

East Carolina Pirates at Navy Midshipmen

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -7.5 (53.0)
Navy 42 - East Carolina: 10 (American Athletic)

Pirates (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NAVY coming off BYE
Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ NAVY -24)
Projected Score: ECU: 28 - NAVY: 28 (56)
NAVY Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 239 miles

Midshipmen (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
NAVY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	East Carolina at NC State	+17.5	52.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb	-31.0	58.5	W 48 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/14	East Carolina at Navy	+7.5	53.0	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/21	East Carolina vs William & Mary	-14.0	50.0	W 19 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/28	East Carolina at Old Dominion	+3.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Thu 10/3	East Carolina vs Temple	+12.5	46.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	East Carolina at UCF	+34.5	65.5	L 28 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/26	East Carolina vs South Florida	+1.0	51.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/2	East Carolina vs Cincinnati	+25.0	48.5	L 43 - 46	O	Y
Sat 11/9	East Carolina at SMU	+23.0	74.0	L 51 - 59	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	East Carolina at UConn	-15.5	64.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/30	East Carolina vs Tulsa	+7.0	64.0	L 24 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Navy's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Navy vs Holy Cross	-21.5	53.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Navy vs East Carolina	-7.5	53.0	W 42 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/26	Navy at Memphis	+11.0	53.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/5	Navy vs Air Force	+3.0	46.5	W 34 - 25	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Navy at Tulsa	+1.0	52.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Navy vs South Florida	-15.5	52.0	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Navy vs Tulane	-4.5	59.0	W 41 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/1	Navy at UConn	-25.5	55.0	W 56 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Navy at Notre Dame	+7.5	55.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/23	Navy vs SMU	-3.5	68.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Navy at Houston	-9.0	56.5	W 56 - 41	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Navy vs Army	-11.5	41.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Navy vs Kansas State	-2.0	53.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.09	37%	32.7	37%	2.48	129	36%	285	3.13	.2	40%	20.1	37%	42%	4.26	45.6	2.1	0.8
NAVY	.14	40%	31.5	42%	3.07	276	25%	73	4.17	.29	47%	25	43%	51%	3.99	30	1.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	32.7	30.8	37.3%	3.13	2.1	23	414	129	285	3.7	38%	61%	37%	36%	20%	.09
NAVY Defense	13	25	24.2	47%	3.99	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	43%	51%	11%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	20.1	20.8	40.2%	4.26	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	42%	19%	.2
NAVY Offense	13	31.5	38	40.3%	4.17	1.3	18	349	276	73	4.9	83%	16%	42%	25%	14%	.14

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	30:16	22.8	36%	54%	4.8	45.6	2.1	0.8	8.8	2.9	0	26.4
Navy	13	33:22	17.9	38%	61%	3.7	30	1.3	1.6	2.8	0.8	0	29.2

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	38%	37%	35.5	129.4	3.7	13	.02	2.48	69%	10%	1.02
NAVY Defense	13	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.01	74%	7%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.48	71%	14%	1.11
NAVY Offense	13	83%	42%	56.3	276.2	4.9	37	.19	3.07	74%	11%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	61%	36%	23.8	47.3	284.8	6	12	18	15	.14	1.7	40%	35%	.33	10%	1.8
NAVY Defense	13	43%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.5	1.6	28%	37%	.45	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.8	34%	35%	.4	5%	1.9
NAVY Offense	13	16%	25%	4.2	9.9	72.8	7.3	17.5	5	5	-.08	2.3	32%	26%	.18	3%	1.8

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #116
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #93
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #120

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: Navy: 7.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -14.0 Navy: 9.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 7.45 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #31
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #18
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 28
Navy 28

Projected Total Points: 56

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	East Carolina	20	Navy	34	East Carolina -2.5	Navy	54.0	Push
2023	11/18	Navy	10	East Carolina	0	Navy -2.5	Navy	30.5	Under
2022	09/24	East Carolina	20	Navy	23	East Carolina -16.5	Navy	48.5	Under
2021	11/20	Navy	35	East Carolina	38	East Carolina -3.5	Navy	46.0	Over
2020	10/17	East Carolina	23	Navy	27	Navy -3	Navy	55.5	Under
2019	09/14	Navy	42	East Carolina	10	Navy -7.5	Navy	53.0	Under
2016	11/19	East Carolina	31	Navy	66	Navy -8	Navy	64.0	Over
2015	09/19	Navy	45	East Carolina	21	Navy -1.5	Navy	58.0	Over
2012	10/27	East Carolina	28	Navy	56
2011	10/22	Navy	35	East Carolina	38
2010	11/06	East Carolina	35	Navy	76
2006	09/02	Navy	28	East Carolina	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Navy	10	8	3 Overs
East Carolina	2	0	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 8	4 - 4	3 - 2	1 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 4	4 - 4	2 - 1	2 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) NAVY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	NAVY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#31
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#78	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

Navy Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NAVY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#52
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Navy -7.5 (53.0)
Navy won vs East Carolina this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat East Carolina in 2024 (34-20)
Navy beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-0)

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NAVY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD