Navy at Notre Dame - 2019 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#9)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, November 16th 2019 (2:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame -7.5 (55.5)
Notre Dame 52 - Navy: 20

 
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (40 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY coming off BYE
ND is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ ND -8)
Projected Score: NAVY: 32 - ND: 27 (59)
ND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 545 miles
Fighting Irish (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (42 - 15 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Navy vs Holy Cross-21.553.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Navy vs East Carolina-7.553.0W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/26 Navy at Memphis+11.053.5L 23 - 35ON
Sat 10/5 Navy vs Air Force+3.046.5W 34 - 25OY
Sat 10/12 Navy at Tulsa+1.052.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/19 Navy vs South Florida-15.552.0W 35 - 3UY
Sat 10/26 Navy vs Tulane-4.559.0W 41 - 38ON
Fri 11/1 Navy at UConn-25.555.0W 56 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Navy at Notre Dame+7.555.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 11/23 Navy vs SMU-3.568.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/30 Navy at Houston-9.056.5W 56 - 41OY
Sat 12/14 Navy vs Army-11.541.5W 31 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Navy vs Kansas State-2.053.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Notre Dame at Louisville-19.055.0W 35 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Notre Dame vs New Mexico-34.564.0W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 Notre Dame at Georgia+15.558.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 9/28 Notre Dame vs Virginia-10.546.5W 35 - 20OY
Sat 10/5 Notre Dame vs Bowling Green-45.564.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 10/12 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.0W 30 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Notre Dame at Michigan-1.546.5L 14 - 45ON
Sat 11/2 Notre Dame vs Virginia Tech-17.559.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 Notre Dame at Duke-7.050.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 Notre Dame vs Navy-7.555.5W 52 - 20OY
Sat 11/23 Notre Dame vs Boston College-20.566.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 11/30 Notre Dame at Stanford-17.545.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 12/28 Notre Dame vs Iowa State-4.055.0W 33 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.3749%37.249%3.336143%954.56.1141%22.339%40%3.1535.31.21.8
ND.2445%36.844%2.617844%2524.08.0540%17.941%36%3.1251.20.82.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1337.24048.6%4.561.222456361956.185%14%49%43%13%.37
ND Defense1317.915.439.9%3.122.8 - - - - - 51%47%41%36%26%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1322.33140.8%3.151.8 - - - - - 52%46%39%40%24%.11
ND Offense1336.842.344.9%4.080.8214301782524.948%50%44%44%19%.24

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1333:2821.747%76%4.235.31.21.87.83.5128.6
Notre Dame1328:2920.940%68%6.551.20.82.810.73.6131
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1385%49%59.5360.56.152.363.372%11%1.28
ND Defense1351%41% - - - - .062.7765%19%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1352%39% - - - - .012.4678%15%0.9
ND Offense1348%44%36.3177.84.920.142.662%12%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1314%43%4.2895.211.922.5104.472.227%44%.622%1.8
ND Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 9.061.334%28%.227%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 12.241.736%30%.219%1.8
ND Offense1350%44%19.532252.27.913376.341.633%40%.467%1.7

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2019 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #31
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #18
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Notre Dame: 11.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 9.9   Notre Dame: 17.7




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 11.35 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2019 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7  #19
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #20
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5  #22

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Navy Scoring
Offense: 37.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 40
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Navy's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 32
Notre Dame 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 36
Notre Dame 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 33
Navy 28

Total Points: 61
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.4

Notre Dame's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Notre Dame49Navy10Notre Dame -30.5Notre Dame54.5Over
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27Navy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame2186 Overs
Navy444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#) NAVY at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #19
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #13
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #22
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 37° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Notre Dame -7.5 (55.5)
Notre Dame won vs Navy this year (52-20)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2022 (35-32)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ND's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD