Cincinnati at South Florida - 2019 Matchup Preview
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Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls

South Florida logo
Saturday, November 16th 2019 (7:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati -13 (46.5)
Cincinnati 20 - South Florida: 17  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ CIN -19)

Projected Score: CIN: 25 - USF: 38 (63)
CIN Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
CIN Travel: 779 miles
Bulls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Cincinnati vs UCLA-2.555.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 Cincinnati at Ohio State+14.552.0L 0 - 42UN
Sat 9/14 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-17.049.5W 35 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Cincinnati at Marshall-4.047.5W 52 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.564.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/12 Cincinnati at Houston-10.050.5W 38 - 23OY
Sat 10/19 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-16.047.0W 24 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Cincinnati at East Carolina-25.048.5W 46 - 43ON
Sat 11/9 Cincinnati vs UConn-33.552.5W 48 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Cincinnati at South Florida-13.046.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Cincinnati vs Temple-9.044.5W 15 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 Cincinnati at Memphis+14.059.5L 24 - 34UY
Sat 12/7 Cincinnati at Memphis+9.058.5L 24 - 29UY
Thu 1/2 Cincinnati vs Boston College-8.053.0W 38 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
South Florida's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 South Florida vs Wisconsin+10.058.0L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Georgia Tech+5.059.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida vs South Carolina State-25.049.5W 55 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 South Florida vs SMU+7.062.0L 21 - 48ON
Sat 10/5 South Florida at UConn-10.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs BYU+4.550.0W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/19 South Florida at Navy+15.552.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/26 South Florida at East Carolina-1.051.0W 45 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 South Florida vs Temple+1.050.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida vs Cincinnati+13.046.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Memphis+15.560.0L 10 - 49UN
Fri 11/29 South Florida at UCF+24.061.5L 7 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2544%30.345%3.1123943%2183.95.0435%25.636%32%2.8773.71.61.5
USF.1944%40.545%3.1319442%2443.242%23.443%39%3.5164.11.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1330.330.844.4%3.951.6234572392185.257%43%45%43%13%.25
USF Defense1323.414.342.5%3.511.6 - - - - - 58%40%43%39%17%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1325.635.334.7%2.871.5 - - - - - 46%53%36%32%19%.04
USF Offense1340.55144.2%31.7204371942444.952%47%45%42%16%.19

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1332:5123.548%48%8.273.71.61.56.42.4129.5
South Florida1325:1220.439%59%7.264.11.71.66.82.2230.4
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1357%45%46.2239.25.237.193.1170%9%1.09
USF Defense1358%43% - - - - .172.9979%11%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1346%36% - - - - -.012.5456%11%0.88
USF Offense1352%45%39.6193.54.926.213.1367%9%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1343%43%17.528.9217.87.512.4228.331.731%39%.564%2
USF Defense1340%39% - - - - - - 11.261.734%35%.396%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1353%32% - - - - - - 11.11.740%24%.138%2
USF Offense1347%42%19.433.2243.77.312.61712.211.531%34%.347%1.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2019 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #64
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    South Florida: -2.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 9.1   South Florida: -9.8




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -2.4 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #103
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 38
Cincinnati 25


Projected Total Points: 63
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08Cincinnati28South Florida24Cincinnati -27South Florida58.5Under
202111/12South Florida28Cincinnati45Cincinnati -24.5South Florida58.5Over
202010/03Cincinnati28South Florida7Cincinnati -22South Florida44.5Under
201911/16South Florida17Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13South Florida46.5Under
201811/10Cincinnati35South Florida23Cincinnati -14South Florida53.0Over
201710/14South Florida33Cincinnati3South Florida -24South Florida63.0Under
201610/01Cincinnati20South Florida45South Florida -6South Florida64.5Over
201511/20South Florida65Cincinnati27Cincinnati -2.5South Florida66.0Over
201410/24Cincinnati34South Florida17Cincinnati -10Cincinnati0
201310/05South Florida26Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13.5South Florida0
201211/23Cincinnati27South Florida10
201110/22South Florida34Cincinnati37
201010/22Cincinnati30South Florida38
200910/15South Florida17Cincinnati34
200810/30Cincinnati24South Florida10
200711/03South Florida33Cincinnati38
200610/22Cincinnati23South Florida6
200511/19South Florida31Cincinnati16
200411/20Cincinnati45South Florida23
200310/31South Florida24Cincinnati17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida794 Overs
Cincinnati1314 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 42 - 34 - 1
Road Teams7 - 134 - 61 - 43 - 2

(#) CIN at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #103
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #63 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #64 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Cincinnati 13.0 (46.5)
Cincinnati won at South Florida this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD