South Florida at UConn - 2019 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo   South Florida Bulls at UConn Huskies  UConn logo
Saturday, October 5th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -10.5 (48.5)
South Florida 48 - UConn: 22  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -5  (SP+ USF -14.5)
Projected Score: USF: 31 - CONN: 33 (64)
USF Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
USF Travel: 1103 miles
Huskies (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 20 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 South Florida vs Wisconsin+10.058.0L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Georgia Tech+5.059.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida vs South Carolina State-25.049.5W 55 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 South Florida vs SMU+7.062.0L 21 - 48ON
Sat 10/5 South Florida at UConn-10.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs BYU+4.550.0W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/19 South Florida at Navy+15.552.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/26 South Florida at East Carolina-1.051.0W 45 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 South Florida vs Temple+1.050.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida vs Cincinnati+13.046.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Memphis+15.560.0L 10 - 49UN
Fri 11/29 South Florida at UCF+24.061.5L 7 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UConn's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UConn vs Wagner-23.070.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Illinois+21.059.0L 23 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UConn at Indiana+27.557.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 UConn at UCF+42.065.0L 21 - 56OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs South Florida+10.548.5L 22 - 48ON
Sat 10/12 UConn at Tulane+33.557.0L 7 - 49UN
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Houston+21.056.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 UConn at Massachusetts-9.562.0W 56 - 35OY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Navy+25.555.0L 10 - 56ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at Cincinnati+33.552.5L 3 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn vs East Carolina+15.564.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Temple+26.048.0L 17 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.1944%40.545%3.1319442%2443.242%23.443%39%3.5164.11.71.6
CONN.1842%35.343%3.0419839%1783.51.5457%2755%58%4.6238.32.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1340.53544.2%31.7204371942444.952%47%45%42%16%.19
CONN Defense122719.557.5%4.620.9 - - - - - 54%44%55%58%11%.54
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1323.432.342.5%3.511.6 - - - - - 58%40%43%39%17%.2
CONN Offense1235.340.341.7%3.512.3213761981784.855%44%43%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:1220.439%59%7.264.11.71.66.82.2230.4
UConn1231:4220.842%54%4.538.32.30.94.30.9027.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1352%45%39.6193.54.926.213.1367%9%1.14
CONN Defense1254%55% - - - - .483.5784%7%1.32
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1358%43% - - - - .172.9979%11%1.16
CONN Offense1255%43%41.7198.24.816.153.0474%12%1.16

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1347%42%19.433.2243.77.312.61712.211.531%34%.347%1.9
CONN Defense1244%58% - - - - - - 5.671.625%50%.733%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1340%39% - - - - - - 11.261.734%35%.396%2.1
CONN Offense1244%39%16.629.31786.110.72017.211.633%31%.246%1.9

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #103
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    UConn: -9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.8   UConn: -24.4




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.7 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2019 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4  #125
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #125
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7  #125

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 33
South Florida 31

Projected Total Points: 64
UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

UConn's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21UConn21South Florida24Connecticut -1South Florida57.0Under
201910/05UConn22South Florida48South Florida -10.5South Florida48.5Over
201810/20South Florida38UConn30South Florida -33UConn67.5Over
201711/04UConn20South Florida37South Florida -24UConn64.5Under
201610/15South Florida42UConn27South Florida -17UConn53.5Over
201510/17UConn20South Florida28Connecticut -1.5South Florida44.0Over
201409/19South Florida17UConn14South Florida -2.5South Florida0
201310/12UConn10South Florida13Connecticut -6South Florida0
201211/03South Florida13UConn6
201110/15UConn16South Florida10
201012/04South Florida16UConn19
200912/05UConn29South Florida27
200811/23South Florida17UConn13
200710/27UConn22South Florida15
200610/07South Florida38UConn16
200511/26UConn15South Florida10
200110/13South Florida40UConn21
200010/27UConn13South Florida21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn534 Overs
South Florida1352 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 72 - 61 - 51 - 1
Road Teams7 - 116 - 21 - 15 - 1

(#) USF at (#) CONN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFCONN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #125
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #68 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffCONN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCatCONN OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #125 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCatCONN OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
South Florida 10.5 (48.5)
South Florida won at UConn this year (48-22)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UConn in 2023 (24-21)

  
USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
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CONN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CONN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD