South Florida at UCF - 2019 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Friday, November 29th 2019 (8:00 PM EST)
UCF -24 (61.5)
UCF 34 - South Florida: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (23 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -17  (SP+ UCF -29)
Projected Score: USF: 26 - UCF: 35 (61)
UCF Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
USF Travel: 91 miles
Knights (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 23 (47 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 South Florida vs Wisconsin+10.058.0L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Georgia Tech+5.059.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida vs South Carolina State-25.049.5W 55 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 South Florida vs SMU+7.062.0L 21 - 48ON
Sat 10/5 South Florida at UConn-10.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs BYU+4.550.0W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/19 South Florida at Navy+15.552.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/26 South Florida at East Carolina-1.051.0W 45 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 South Florida vs Temple+1.050.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida vs Cincinnati+13.046.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Memphis+15.560.0L 10 - 49UN
Fri 11/29 South Florida at UCF+24.061.5L 7 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UCF's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UCF vs Florida A&M-44.065.5W 62 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 UCF at Florida Atlantic-13.569.0W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 UCF vs Stanford-9.558.0W 45 - 27OY
Sat 9/21 UCF at Pittsburgh-9.060.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 UCF vs UConn-42.065.0W 56 - 21ON
Fri 10/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.564.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UCF vs East Carolina-34.565.5W 41 - 28ON
Sat 10/26 UCF at Temple-11.061.5W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/2 UCF vs Houston-22.072.0W 44 - 29ON
Fri 11/8 UCF at Tulsa-17.068.5L 31 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UCF at Tulane-7.073.5W 34 - 31UN
Fri 11/29 UCF vs South Florida-24.061.5W 34 - 7UY
Mon 12/23 UCF vs Marshall-16.060.0W 48 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.1139%20.846%3.0816131%1703.55.1546%28.949%40%3.2871.21.62.7
UCF.2945%43.445%2.7822443%3174.0337%2340%31%3.2173.81.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1220.822.639.3%3.551.6173311611704.452%47%46%31%23%.11
UCF Defense132318.736.9%3.211.9 - - - - - 52%46%40%31%27%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1228.92545.9%3.282.7 - - - - - 58%41%49%40%24%.15
UCF Offense1343.44745%41.2265402243175.249%49%45%43%16%.29

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1227:5016.740%41%8.471.21.62.712.82.5029.2
UCF1326:2925.540%58%8.573.81.21.910.92.9328.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1252%46%37.1161.34.415.163.0885%17%0.95
UCF Defense1352%40% - - - - -.012.5967%16%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1258%49% - - - - .113.0872%19%0.94
UCF Offense1349%45%43223.85.234.232.7868%11%1.2

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1247%31%14.827.3169.66.211.51810.071.734%29%.265%2.1
UCF Defense1346%31% - - - - - - 13.081.740%28%.1411%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1241%40% - - - - - - 12.211.629%33%.295%1.9
UCF Offense1349%43%20.835.2316.7915.2368.371.834%37%.365%1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #103
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    UCF: 12.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.8   UCF: 19.1




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 12.05 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2019 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #14
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3  #14
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 20.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

South Florida's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 35
South Florida 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 33
South Florida 31

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
UCF 36
South Florida 21

Total Points: 57
UCF Scoring
Offense: 43.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

UCF's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26South Florida39UCF46UCF -20South Florida67.5Over
202111/26UCF17South Florida13UCF -17South Florida62.0Under
202011/27South Florida46UCF58UCF -26.0South Florida70.5Over
201911/29UCF34South Florida7UCF -24UCF61.5Under
201811/23South Florida10UCF38UCF -16.5UCF70.0Under
201711/24UCF49South Florida42UCF -10South Florida64.5Over
201611/26South Florida48UCF31South Florida -9.5South Florida66.0Over
201511/26UCF3South Florida44South Florida -22.5South Florida53.5Under
201411/28South Florida0UCF16UCF -9.5UCF0
201311/29UCF23South Florida20UCF -26South Florida0
200809/06UCF24South Florida31
200710/13South Florida64UCF12
200609/16UCF17South Florida24
200509/17South Florida31UCF14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF834 Overs
South Florida674 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 74 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 76 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) USF at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #14
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #68 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #21
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 14
UCF -24.0 (61.5)
UCF won vs South Florida this year (34-7)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat South Florida in 2022 (46-39)

  
USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD