Nevada at Utah State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah State Aggies  Utah State logo
Saturday, October 19th 2019 (10:15 PM EDT)
Utah State -21 (59.0)
Utah State 36 - Nevada: 10  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USU coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ USU -8)
Projected Score: NEV: 20 - USU: 32 (52)
USU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
NEV Travel: 446 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Nevada vs Purdue+11.058.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Nevada at Oregon+24.061.5L 6 - 77ON
Sat 9/14 Nevada vs Weber State-7.551.5W 19 - 13UN
Sat 9/21 Nevada at UTEP-14.051.5W 37 - 21OY
Sat 9/28 Nevada vs Hawai'i-2.064.0L 3 - 54UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Nevada vs San José State-3.060.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Nevada at Utah State+21.059.0L 10 - 36UN
Sat 10/26 Nevada at Wyoming+12.044.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Nevada vs New Mexico-3.558.0W 21 - 10UY
Sat 11/9 Nevada at San Diego State+17.039.5W 17 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Nevada at Fresno State+13.551.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Nevada vs UNLV-6.552.0L 30 - 33ON
Fri 1/3 Nevada vs Ohio+10.562.5L 21 - 30UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Utah State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Utah State at Wake Forest+5.061.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 Utah State vs Stony Brook-31.558.0W 62 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Utah State at San Diego State-4.053.0W 23 - 17UY
Sat 9/28 Utah State vs Colorado State-24.069.0W 34 - 24UN
Sat 10/5 Utah State at LSU+27.072.5L 6 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Utah State vs Nevada-21.059.0W 36 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Utah State at Air Force+4.058.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Utah State vs BYU-3.051.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/9 Utah State at Fresno State+5.059.0W 37 - 35OY
Sat 11/16 Utah State vs Wyoming-4.051.0W 26 - 21UY
Sat 11/23 Utah State vs Boise State+9.553.0L 21 - 56ON
Sat 11/30 Utah State at New Mexico-12.063.0W 38 - 25UY
Fri 12/20 Utah State vs Kent State-7.571.5L 41 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1442%17.641%2.7615241%2773.77.1139%27.534%42%3.3356.82.11.4
USU.3550%30.946%2.8220251%2934.49.0339%28.738%37%2.5570.11.32.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.541.7%3.772.1214281522774.543%55%41%41%17%.14
USU Defense1328.719.539.1%2.552.4 - - - - - 51%47%38%37%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.838.8%3.331.4 - - - - - 50%49%34%42%18%.11
USU Offense1330.938.349.9%4.491.3234952022935.644%54%46%51%13%.35

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1329:0820.932%53%5.956.82.11.47.92.7229.3
Utah State1327:3923.147%60%7.770.11.32.46.32.11032.5
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1343%41%33.5151.94.524.072.7663%10%0.97
USU Defense1351%38% - - - - .012.5868%11%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1350%34% - - - - 2.6576%12%0.94
USU Offense1344%46%36.4202.25.637.212.8272%8%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1355%41%22.637.8276.57.312.22517.221.634%31%.277%1.8
USU Defense1347%37% - - - - - - 22.061.733%28%.117%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 11.231.634%28%.235%2
USU Offense1354%51%23.235.7293.18.212.6326.491.630%41%.664%2.1

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2019 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3  #112
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #113
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Utah State: 0.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -12.3   Utah State: -4.3




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 0.35 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3  #82
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #77
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #81

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 32
Nevada 20

Projected Total Points: 52
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Utah State51Nevada14Utah State -10Utah State52.5Over
202311/11Utah State41Nevada24Utah State -14.5Utah State54.5Over
202011/05Nevada34Utah State9Nevada -17Nevada57.5Under
201910/19Utah State36Nevada10Utah State -21Utah State59.0Under
201611/19Nevada38Utah State37Utah State -5Nevada56.5Over
201511/21Utah State31Nevada27Utah State -14Nevada54.5Over
201111/26Utah State21Nevada17
201010/30Nevada56Utah State42
200910/17Utah State32Nevada35
200810/18Nevada44Utah State17
200710/20Utah State28Nevada31
200611/11Nevada42Utah State0
200511/19Utah State24Nevada30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State534 Overs
Nevada832 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 35 - 14 - 11 - 0
Road Teams3 - 101 - 50 - 11 - 4

(#) NEV at (#) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #102 #114
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCatUSU OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCatUSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Utah State -21.0 (59.0)
Utah State won vs Nevada this year (36-10)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Nevada last year (51-14)
Utah State beat Nevada in 2023 (41-24)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD