Nevada at San Diego State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Nevada Wolf Pack at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, November 9th 2019 (10:30 PM EST)
San Diego State -17 (39.5)
Nevada 17 - San Diego State: 13 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU coming off BYE
NEV is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ SDSU -14)
Projected Score: NEV: 14 - SDSU: 29 (43)
SDSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
NEV Travel: 491 miles

Aztecs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Nevada vs Purdue	+11.0	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Nevada at Oregon	+24.0	61.5	L 6 - 77	O	N
Sat 9/14	Nevada vs Weber State	-7.5	51.5	W 19 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/21	Nevada at UTEP	-14.0	51.5	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-2.0	64.0	L 3 - 54	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Nevada vs San José State	-3.0	60.5	W 41 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Nevada at Utah State	+21.0	59.0	L 10 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/26	Nevada at Wyoming	+12.0	44.5	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	Nevada vs New Mexico	-3.5	58.0	W 21 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Nevada at San Diego State	+17.0	39.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Nevada at Fresno State	+13.5	51.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Nevada vs UNLV	-6.5	52.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Fri 1/3	Nevada vs Ohio	+10.5	62.5	L 21 - 30	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

San Diego State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	San Diego State vs Weber State	-14.0	36.5	W 6 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/7	San Diego State at UCLA	+7.5	44.5	W 23 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/14	San Diego State at New Mexico State	-16.5	51.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/21	San Diego State vs Utah State	+4.0	53.0	L 17 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	San Diego State at Colorado State	-7.5	49.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/12	San Diego State vs Wyoming	-3.5	38.5	W 26 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/19	San Diego State at San José State	-7.5	45.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	San Diego State at UNLV	-12.0	45.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	San Diego State vs Nevada	-17.0	39.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/15	San Diego State vs Fresno State	-1.0	43.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	San Diego State at Hawai'i	+1.0	47.0	L 11 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/30	San Diego State vs BYU	+5.5	39.0	W 13 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/21	San Diego State vs Central Michigan	-4.0	40.0	W 48 - 11	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	.14	42%	17.6	41%	2.76	152	41%	277	3.77	.11	39%	27.5	34%	42%	3.33	56.8	2.1	1.4
SDSU	.13	39%	26.4	38%	2.73	162	38%	187	2.75	.11	39%	15.4	37%	39%	3.36	66.3	1.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	13	17.6	15.5	41.7%	3.77	2.1	21	428	152	277	4.5	43%	55%	41%	41%	17%	.14
SDSU Defense	13	15.4	6.8	39%	3.36	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	39%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	13	27.5	29.8	38.8%	3.33	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	34%	42%	18%	.11
SDSU Offense	13	26.4	31.2	39%	2.75	1.3	17	349	162	187	4.1	58%	39%	38%	38%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	13	29:08	20.9	32%	53%	5.9	56.8	2.1	1.4	7.9	2.7	2	29.3
San Diego State	13	30:12	17.3	35%	56%	7.2	66.3	1.3	1.2	5.2	2	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	13	43%	41%	33.5	151.9	4.5	24	.07	2.76	63%	10%	0.97
SDSU Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.35	67%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	13	50%	34%	-	-	-	-		2.65	76%	12%	0.94
SDSU Offense	13	58%	38%	39.9	161.7	4.1	16	.03	2.73	65%	12%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	13	55%	41%	22.6	37.8	276.5	7.3	12.2	25	17	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.27	7%	1.8
SDSU Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.28	1.7	34%	32%	.34	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.23	1.6	34%	28%	.23	5%	2
SDSU Offense	13	39%	38%	12.8	23.9	187.2	7.8	14.7	14	6	.28	1.9	38%	32%	.21	6%	1.6

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2019 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #112
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #113
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: San Diego State: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -12.3 San Diego State: 2.0

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2019 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #55
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #15

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 29
Nevada 14

Projected Total Points: 43

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Nevada	10	San Diego State	44	San Diego State -6.5	San Diego State	42.5	Over
2023	10/21	San Diego State	0	Nevada	6	San Diego State -11	Nevada	48.5	Under
2022	10/22	Nevada	7	San Diego State	23	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	36.0	Under
2021	11/13	San Diego State	23	Nevada	21	San Diego State -2.5	Nevada	45.0	Under
2020	11/21	Nevada	26	San Diego State	21	San Diego State -1.5	Nevada	46.5	Over
2019	11/09	San Diego State	13	Nevada	17	San Diego State -17	Nevada	39.5	Under
2018	10/27	Nevada	28	San Diego State	24	Nevada -1	Nevada	45.5	Over
2017	11/18	San Diego State	42	Nevada	23	San Diego State -17.5	San Diego State	56.0	Over
2016	11/12	Nevada	16	San Diego State	46	San Diego State -20.5	San Diego State	50.5	Over
2015	11/28	San Diego State	31	Nevada	14	San Diego State -14	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2014	11/01	Nevada	30	San Diego State	14	Nevada -6	Nevada	0
2013	10/04	San Diego State	51	Nevada	44	San Diego State -5.5	San Diego State	0
2012	10/20	Nevada	38	San Diego State	39
2004	09/25	San Diego State	27	Nevada	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	9	6	5 Overs
Nevada	5	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	6 - 6	5 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 8	6 - 6	3 - 1	3 - 5

(#) NEV at (#) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEV	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#55
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#102	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Nevada Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Qualcomm Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
San Diego State -17.0 (39.5)
Nevada won at San Diego State this year (17-13)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Nevada last year (44-10)
Nevada beat San Diego State in 2023 (6-0)

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD