New Mexico at Nevada - 2019 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo   New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack  Nevada logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2019 (10:30 PM EDT)
Nevada -3.5 (58.0)
Nevada 21 - New Mexico: 10  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV is playing their 4th straight game
UNM is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ NEV -5)
Projected Score: UNM: 27 - NEV: 22 (49)
NEV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 787 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico vs Sam Houston-6.562.5W 39 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Notre Dame+34.564.0L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-4.069.0W 55 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at Liberty+7.572.0L 10 - 17UY
Fri 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+6.570.0L 21 - 32UN
Fri 10/11 New Mexico vs Colorado State+4.066.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Wyoming+17.549.0L 10 - 23UY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+10.070.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 11/2 New Mexico at Nevada+3.558.0L 10 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 New Mexico vs Air Force+21.056.5
Sat 11/16 New Mexico at Boise State+27.559.0L 9 - 42UN
Sat 11/23 New Mexico vs Air Force+24.056.5L 22 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico vs Utah State+12.063.0L 25 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Nevada's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Nevada vs Purdue+11.058.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Nevada at Oregon+24.061.5L 6 - 77ON
Sat 9/14 Nevada vs Weber State-7.551.5W 19 - 13UN
Sat 9/21 Nevada at UTEP-14.051.5W 37 - 21OY
Sat 9/28 Nevada vs Hawai'i-2.064.0L 3 - 54UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Nevada vs San José State-3.060.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Nevada at Utah State+21.059.0L 10 - 36UN
Sat 10/26 Nevada at Wyoming+12.044.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Nevada vs New Mexico-3.558.0W 21 - 10UY
Sat 11/9 Nevada at San Diego State+17.039.5W 17 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Nevada at Fresno State+13.551.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Nevada vs UNLV-6.552.0L 30 - 33ON
Fri 1/3 Nevada vs Ohio+10.562.5L 21 - 30UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM.1142%27.144%2.6915336%1784.02.2847%22.349%42%3.8148.72.21.8
NEV.1442%17.641%2.7615241%2773.77.1139%27.534%42%3.3356.82.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1227.127.541.6%4.022.2183311531783.761%38%44%36%18%.11
NEV Defense1327.525.238.8%3.331.4 - - - - - 50%49%34%42%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1222.326.346.7%3.811.8 - - - - - 54%44%49%42%14%.28
NEV Offense1317.619.741.7%3.772.1214281522774.543%55%41%41%17%.14

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1227:2917.537%33%4.848.72.21.85.52.2229.7
Nevada1329:0820.932%53%5.956.82.11.47.92.7229.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1261%44%42153.23.717.042.6974%12%0.82
NEV Defense1350%34% - - - - 2.6576%12%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1254%49% - - - - .223.3175%9%1
NEV Offense1343%41%33.5151.94.524.072.7663%10%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1238%36%12.824178.17.4142117.21230%30%.366%2.3
NEV Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 11.231.634%28%.235%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1244%42% - - - - - - 9.381.929%38%.485%2
NEV Offense1355%41%22.637.8276.57.312.22517.221.634%31%.277%1.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0  #119
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #107
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    Nevada: -3.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -17.0   Nevada: -12.3




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -3.65 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2019 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3  #112
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #113
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 27
Nevada 22

Projected Total Points: 49
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18New Mexico24Nevada22New Mexico -14Nevada49.5Under
202310/28Nevada34New Mexico24New Mexico -1.0Nevada50.0Over
202011/14New Mexico20Nevada27Nevada -17.5New Mexico62.5Under
201911/02Nevada21New Mexico10Nevada -3.5Nevada58.0Under
201611/05New Mexico35Nevada26New Mexico -11Nevada58.5Over
201510/10Nevada35New Mexico17Nevada -6Nevada53.5Under
201211/17New Mexico24Nevada31
201110/15Nevada49New Mexico7
200712/22New Mexico23Nevada0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada652 Overs
New Mexico314 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 24 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#) UNM at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #112
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #118 #102
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #123
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Nevada -3.5 (58.0)
Nevada won vs New Mexico this year (21-10)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Nevada last year (24-22)
Nevada beat New Mexico in 2023 (34-24)

  
UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD