Illinois at Minnesota - 2019 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo (#22)Illinois Fighting Illini at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, October 5th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -14 (58.0)
Minnesota 40 - Illinois: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (24 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14 MPH
ILL coming off BYE
Our Line: -12  (SP+ MINN -19)
Projected Score: ILL: 27 - MINN: 31 (58)
MINN Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ILL Travel: 422 miles
Golden Gophers (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Illinois vs Akron-18.060.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Illinois at UConn-21.059.0W 31 - 23UN
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Eastern Michigan-7.057.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Illinois vs Nebraska+13.062.5L 38 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Illinois at Minnesota+14.058.0L 17 - 40UN
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Michigan+24.549.0L 25 - 42OY
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Wisconsin+28.552.0W 24 - 23UY
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Purdue+9.054.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Rutgers-18.549.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/9 Illinois at Michigan State+15.548.0W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Iowa+15.048.5L 10 - 19UY
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-6.538.0L 10 - 29ON
Mon 12/30 Illinois vs California+6.047.5L 20 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Minnesota's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs South Dakota State-14.556.0W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 Minnesota at Fresno State-3.046.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Georgia Southern-17.045.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Purdue+2.057.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.058.0W 40 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.047.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Minnesota at Rutgers-28.546.0W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-14.059.0W 52 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Minnesota vs Penn State+7.049.0W 31 - 26OY
Sat 11/16 Minnesota at Iowa+3.044.5L 19 - 23UN
Sat 11/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-15.541.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+3.045.0L 17 - 38ON
Wed 1/1 Minnesota vs Auburn+7.054.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.138%26.739%2.6814235%1843.47.1143%26.241%42%3.5961.31.43.2
MINN.2848%34.145%317951%2534.2.0841%22.537%42%3.2638.61.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1326.723.838%3.471.4173261421843.852%47%39%35%25%.1
MINN Defense1322.521.640.5%3.261.7 - - - - - 51%47%37%42%22%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1326.224.442.6%3.593.2 - - - - - 59%39%41%42%20%.11
MINN Offense1334.133.948.1%4.21.2234321792534.259%39%45%51%19%.28

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1325:3617.235%36%6.761.31.43.29.62.8429.9
Minnesota1334:0722.748%65%4.238.61.21.75.52.9329.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1352%39%37.2141.93.819.072.6876%16%1.04
MINN Defense1351%37% - - - - .062.8781%11%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1359%41% - - - - .042.6273%15%0.94
MINN Offense1359%45%43.1178.74.225.11371%12%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347%35%15.228184.46.612.2199.151.735%28%.229%1.9
MINN Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 14.121.532%28%.1310%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1339%42% - - - - - - 12.241.732%32%.215%1.9
MINN Offense1339%51%16.324.8253.310.215.5318.591.831%41%.547%2

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2019 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #60
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #91
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #53

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Minnesota: 12.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 0.6   Minnesota: 19.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 12.2 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2019 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4  #13
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #7
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Illinois's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 31
Illinois 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Minnesota 32
Illinois 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 30
Illinois 24

Total Points: 54
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Minnesota's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Illinois17Minnesota25Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.0Under
202311/04Minnesota26Illinois27Minnesota -1.5Illinois43.0Over
202210/15Illinois26Minnesota14Minnesota -4.5Illinois40.0Push
202111/06Minnesota6Illinois14Minnesota -14.5Illinois44.5Under
202011/07Illinois14Minnesota41Minnesota -7.5Minnesota64.5Under
201910/05Minnesota40Illinois17Minnesota -14Minnesota58.0Under
201811/03Illinois55Minnesota31Minnesota -8.5Illinois61.5Over
201710/21Minnesota24Illinois17Minnesota -14.5Illinois48.5Under
201610/29Illinois17Minnesota40Minnesota -10Minnesota46.5Over
201511/21Minnesota32Illinois23Minnesota -4.5Minnesota47.0Over
201410/25Illinois28Minnesota24Minnesota -6.5Illinois0
201211/10Illinois3Minnesota17
201111/26Minnesota27Illinois7
201011/13Illinois34Minnesota38
200911/07Minnesota32Illinois35
200810/11Illinois20Minnesota27
200711/03Minnesota17Illinois44
200410/23Minnesota45Illinois0
200310/25Illinois10Minnesota36
200210/03Minnesota31Illinois10
200110/06Illinois25Minnesota14
200009/29Minnesota44Illinois10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota1454 Overs
Illinois865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3
Road Teams11 - 116 - 53 - 33 - 2

(#) ILL at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #13
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #37 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 52° - Wind: 14 mph
Rain: 0.012
Rematch from Week 6
Minnesota -14.0 (58.0)
Minnesota won vs Illinois this year (40-17)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Illinois last year (25-17)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2023 (27-26)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2022 (26-14)

  
ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD