Troy at Georgia Southern - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 10th 2018 (1:00 PM EST)
Troy -2 (44.5)
Troy 35 - Georgia Southern: 21 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ TROY -5)
Projected Score: TROY: 24 - GASO: 26 (50)
TROY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
TROY Travel: 248 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (34 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Troy vs Boise State	+9.0	48.5	L 20 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/8	Troy vs Florida A&M	-34.5	59.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Troy at Nebraska	+13.0	55.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Troy at UL Monroe	-4.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	-13.5	57.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/4	Troy vs Georgia State	-17.0	55.5	W 37 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/13	Troy at Liberty	-12.0	62.5	L 16 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23	Troy at South Alabama	-11.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Troy vs Louisiana	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Troy at Georgia Southern	-2.0	44.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Troy vs Texas State	-23.0	47.5	W 12 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Troy at App State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/22	Troy vs Buffalo	+2.0	50.5	W 42 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State	-28.0	46.5	W 37 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Georgia Southern vs Massachusetts	-1.5	61.0	W 34 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Georgia Southern at Clemson	+31.5	50.0	L 7 - 38	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State	+3.0	53.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Georgia Southern vs South Alabama	-13.0	56.0	W 48 - 13	O	Y
Thu 10/11	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-17.0	52.0	W 15 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/20	Georgia Southern at New Mexico State	-9.5	52.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Thu 10/25	Georgia Southern vs App State	+11.0	47.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Georgia Southern at UL Monroe	-7.0	60.5	L 25 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/10	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+2.0	44.5	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/17	Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina	-7.5	52.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	-10.0	60.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	45.5	W 23 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.18	42%	30.7	38%	2.71	175	42%	215	3.56	.12	41%	22	40%	41%	3.45	55.9	1.6	2.3
GASO	.2	43%	30.5	44%	3.11	266	33%	79	3.79	.16	46%	21.5	45%	45%	3.61	40.8	0.4	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	13	30.7	26.3	41.6%	3.56	1.6	19	390	175	215	4.7	52%	46%	38%	42%	16%	.18
GASO Defense	13	21.5	17	45.8%	3.61	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	45%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	13	22	21.2	40.9%	3.45	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	40%	41%	20%	.12
GASO Offense	13	30.5	33.7	43.2%	3.79	0.4	16	345	266	79	5.4	80%	18%	44%	33%	11%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	13	30:02	19.1	38%	48%	7	55.9	1.6	2.3	7.7	3	3	31.7
Georgia Southern	13	29:40	16.4	40%	55%	4.3	40.8	0.4	2.1	4.9	2.1	3	33.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	13	52%	38%	37.2	174.5	4.7	21	.12	2.71	79%	10%	1.1
GASO Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.8	69%	10%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	13	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.58	67%	14%	0.85
GASO Offense	13	80%	44%	49.4	266.3	5.4	35	.18	3.11	71%	10%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	13	46%	42%	19.1	28.7	215.3	7.5	11.3	25	8	.27	1.5	33%	26%	.23	5%	2.1
GASO Defense	13	47%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.24	1.4	30%	30%	.27	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	13	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.29	1.7	34%	33%	.35	7%	1.9
GASO Offense	13	18%	33%	5.4	9	79	8.8	14.7	10	0	.32	2.2	29%	32%	.35	1%	2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #62
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #89
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: Georgia Southern: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 2.6 Georgia Southern: -2.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Southern's 2018 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #87
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Troy Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Troy's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 26
Troy 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 26
Troy 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 27
Troy 24

Total Points: 51

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Southern's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Georgia Southern	20	Troy	28	Georgia Southern -7	Troy	54.0	Under
2021	10/09	Troy	27	Georgia Southern	24	Troy -5.5	Georgia Southern	51.0	Push
2020	11/07	Georgia Southern	20	Troy	13	Troy -2.5	Georgia Southern	51.5	Under
2019	11/09	Troy	49	Georgia Southern	28	Georgia Southern -2.5	Troy	57.0	Over
2018	11/10	Georgia Southern	21	Troy	35	Troy -2	Troy	44.5	Over
2017	10/28	Troy	38	Georgia Southern	16	Troy -23.5	Georgia Southern	49.5	Over
2016	12/03	Georgia Southern	28	Troy	24	Troy -9	Georgia Southern	53.0	Under
2015	11/14	Troy	10	Georgia Southern	45	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	58.5	Under
2014	10/30	Georgia Southern	42	Troy	10	Troy -20.5	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	4	6	3 Overs
Troy	5	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	4 - 5	0 - 3	4 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 4	3 - 0

(#) TROY at (#) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#87
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#113	#124
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Troy Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Troy 2.0 (44.5)
Troy won at Georgia Southern this year (35-21)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Georgia Southern last year (28-20)

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD