Troy at UL Monroe - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -4.5 (59.0)
Troy 35 - UL Monroe: 27 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TROY 2nd straight Road Game
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ TROY -13.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 30 - ULM: 25 (55)
TROY Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 361 miles

Warhawks (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 32 (31 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Troy vs Boise State	+9.0	48.5	L 20 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/8	Troy vs Florida A&M	-34.5	59.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Troy at Nebraska	+13.0	55.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Troy at UL Monroe	-4.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	-13.5	57.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/4	Troy vs Georgia State	-17.0	55.5	W 37 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/13	Troy at Liberty	-12.0	62.5	L 16 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23	Troy at South Alabama	-11.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Troy vs Louisiana	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Troy at Georgia Southern	-2.0	44.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Troy vs Texas State	-23.0	47.5	W 12 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Troy at App State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/22	Troy vs Buffalo	+2.0	50.5	W 42 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	UL Monroe vs SE Louisiana	-21.0	74.0	W 34 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/8	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+5.0	67.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/15	UL Monroe at Texas A&M	+28.0	66.0	L 10 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/22	UL Monroe vs Troy	+4.5	59.0	L 27 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/29	UL Monroe at Georgia State	-6.0	65.0	L 14 - 46	U	N
Sat 10/6	UL Monroe at Ole Miss	+23.5	76.0	L 21 - 70	O	N
Sat 10/13	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+6.5	67.0	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/20	UL Monroe vs Texas State	-10.5	60.0	W 20 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	UL Monroe vs Georgia Southern	+7.0	60.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/10	UL Monroe at South Alabama	-7.5	63.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+7.5	68.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/24	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	-1.5	71.0	L 28 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.18	42%	30.7	38%	2.71	175	42%	215	3.56	.12	41%	22	40%	41%	3.45	55.9	1.6	2.3
ULM	.21	46%	26.6	48%	3.39	167	43%	248	3.44	.24	46%	31.8	44%	48%	3.87	49	1.9	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	13	30.7	26.3	41.6%	3.56	1.6	19	390	175	215	4.7	52%	46%	38%	42%	16%	.18
ULM Defense	12	31.8	27.2	46.5%	3.87	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	44%	48%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	13	22	21.2	40.9%	3.45	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	40%	41%	20%	.12
ULM Offense	12	26.6	30.6	46.5%	3.44	1.9	21	415	167	248	4.9	49%	49%	48%	43%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	13	30:02	19.1	38%	48%	7	55.9	1.6	2.3	7.7	3	3	31.7
UL Monroe	12	27:39	20.5	41%	56%	5.3	49	1.9	0.9	6.8	2.8	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	13	52%	38%	37.2	174.5	4.7	21	.12	2.71	79%	10%	1.1
ULM Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.99	80%	11%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	13	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.58	67%	14%	0.85
ULM Offense	12	49%	48%	34.5	167.3	4.9	22	.21	3.39	75%	10%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	13	46%	42%	19.1	28.7	215.3	7.5	11.3	25	8	.27	1.5	33%	26%	.23	5%	2.1
ULM Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.34	1.6	31%	38%	.44	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	13	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.29	1.7	34%	33%	.35	7%	1.9
ULM Offense	12	49%	43%	19.9	32.3	247.5	7.7	12.4	17	12	.22	1.5	31%	31%	.23	7%	1.8

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #62
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #89
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: UL Monroe: -2.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 2.6 UL Monroe: -10.9

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -2.95 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2018 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #105
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #87
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Troy Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Troy's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 30
UL Monroe 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 32
UL Monroe 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Troy 29
UL Monroe 25

Total Points: 54

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

UL Monroe's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	UL Monroe	14	Troy	37	Troy -4.5	Troy	45.5	Over
2024	09/28	Troy	9	UL Monroe	13	Troy -6	UL Monroe	46.0	Under
2023	11/11	UL Monroe	14	Troy	45	Troy -23.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2022	11/19	Troy	34	UL Monroe	16	Troy -15	Troy	48.5	Over
2021	09/25	UL Monroe	29	Troy	16	Troy -23.5	UL Monroe	49.5	Under
2018	09/22	UL Monroe	27	Troy	35	Troy -4.5	Troy	59.0	Over
2015	11/07	Troy	51	UL Monroe	14	Troy -5	Troy	52.0	Over
2014	09/27	UL Monroe	22	Troy	20	Louisiana Monroe -10.5	Troy	0
2013	10/31	Troy	37	UL Monroe	49	Troy -3	UL Monroe	0
2011	10/15	Troy	10	UL Monroe	38
2010	10/30	UL Monroe	28	Troy	14
2009	10/31	Troy	42	UL Monroe	21
2008	11/01	UL Monroe	31	Troy	30
2007	09/29	Troy	24	UL Monroe	7
2006	10/14	Troy	24	UL Monroe	19
2005	10/15	UL Monroe	27	Troy	3
2003	11/22	Troy	28	UL Monroe	24
2001	11/10	UL Monroe	12	Troy	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	8	3	5 Overs
Troy	10	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 7	3 - 6	2 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 11	6 - 3	3 - 1	3 - 2

(#) TROY at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#105
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#113	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Troy Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74°Rain: 0.02

Rematch from Week 4
Troy 4.5 (59.0)
Troy won at UL Monroe this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Troy last year (13-9)
Troy beat UL Monroe in 2023 (45-14)
Troy beat UL Monroe in 2022 (34-16)

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD