UL Monroe at Southern Miss - 2018 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 8th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -5 (67.5)
UL Monroe 21 - Southern Miss: 20

Warhawks (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 32 (24 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ USM -6)
Projected Score: ULM: 20 - USM: 40 (60)
USM Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ULM Travel: 181 miles

Golden Eagles (6 - 5) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	UL Monroe vs SE Louisiana	-21.0	74.0	W 34 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/8	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+5.0	67.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/15	UL Monroe at Texas A&M	+28.0	66.0	L 10 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/22	UL Monroe vs Troy	+4.5	59.0	L 27 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/29	UL Monroe at Georgia State	-6.0	65.0	L 14 - 46	U	N
Sat 10/6	UL Monroe at Ole Miss	+23.5	76.0	L 21 - 70	O	N
Sat 10/13	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+6.5	67.0	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/20	UL Monroe vs Texas State	-10.5	60.0	W 20 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	UL Monroe vs Georgia Southern	+7.0	60.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/10	UL Monroe at South Alabama	-7.5	63.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+7.5	68.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/24	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	-1.5	71.0	L 28 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Southern Miss vs Jackson State	-33.0	51.0	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-5.0	67.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Southern Miss vs Rice	-14.0	55.5	W 40 - 22	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Southern Miss at Auburn	+27.0	51.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Southern Miss at North Texas	+7.0	52.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/20	Southern Miss vs UTSA	-16.0	44.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/27	Southern Miss at Charlotte	-6.5	45.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/3	Southern Miss vs Marshall	+3.0	47.5	W 26 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Southern Miss at UAB	+13.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	-2.5	45.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/24	Southern Miss at UTEP	-14.0	45.0	W 39 - 7	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	.21	46%	26.6	48%	3.39	167	43%	248	3.44	.24	46%	31.8	44%	48%	3.87	49	1.9	0.9
USM	.07	40%	26.2	35%	2.52	113	41%	255	3.01	-.01	34%	19.8	32%	34%	2.66	41.4	2.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)		40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)		45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	26.6	23.7	46.5%	3.44	1.9	21	415	167	248	4.9	49%	49%	48%	43%	17%	.21
USM Defense	11	19.8	18.5	33.8%	2.66	2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	32%	34%	17%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.8	35	46.5%	3.87	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	44%	48%	16%	.24
USM Offense	11	26.2	31.5	39.5%	3.01	2.1	19	368	113	255	3.1	44%	54%	35%	41%	20%	.07

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	27:39	20.5	41%	56%	5.3	49	1.9	0.9	6.8	2.8	2	27.4
Southern Miss	11	29:59	19.5	38%	44%	4.8	41.4	2.1	2	5.2	1.6	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	49%	48%	34.5	167.3	4.9	22	.21	3.39	75%	10%	0.97
USM Defense	11	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.49	71%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.99	80%	11%	1.02
USM Offense	11	44%	35%	36.3	112.6	3.1	11	-.07	2.52	67%	14%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	49%	43%	19.9	32.3	247.5	7.7	12.4	17	12	.22	1.5	31%	31%	.23	7%	1.8
USM Defense	11	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.05	1.6	39%	23%	.06	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.34	1.6	31%	38%	.44	5%	1.7
USM Offense	11	54%	41%	24.5	35.4	255	7.2	10.4	19	13	.18	1.6	37%	34%	.32	7%	1.8

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2018 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #105
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #87
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: Southern Miss: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -10.9 Southern Miss: -5.0

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2018 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #92
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #122
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #27

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

UL Monroe's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 40
UL Monroe 20

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 49
UL Monroe 19

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 31
UL Monroe 22

Total Points: 53

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Southern Miss's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Southern Miss	49	UL Monroe	21	Southern Miss -14	Southern Miss	48.5	Over
2024	10/12	UL Monroe	38	Southern Miss	21	UL Monroe -4.5	UL Monroe	41.0	Over
2023	11/04	Southern Miss	24	UL Monroe	7	Southern Mississippi -3.0	Southern Miss	56.0	Under
2022	11/26	UL Monroe	10	Southern Miss	20	Southern Mississippi -3	Southern Miss	49.5	Under
2018	09/08	Southern Miss	20	UL Monroe	21	Southern Mississippi -5	UL Monroe	67.5	Under
2017	09/16	UL Monroe	17	Southern Miss	28	Southern Mississippi -7	Southern Miss	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	4	4	2 Overs
UL Monroe	2	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	3 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 3

(#) ULM at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#92
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#122	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UL Monroe Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 87°

Rematch from Week 2
Southern Miss -5.0 (67.5)
UL Monroe won at Southern Miss this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Southern Miss last year (38-21)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2023 (24-7)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2022 (20-10)

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD