East Carolina at NC State - 2018 Matchup Preview

East Carolina Pirates at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, December 1st 2018 (12:00 PM EST)
NC State -24.5 (59.5)
NC State 58 - East Carolina: 3

Pirates (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 37 (9 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ECU 2nd straight Road Game
NCST is playing their 7th straight game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ NCST -24)
Projected Score: ECU: 21 - NCST: 38 (59)
NCST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ECU Travel: 77 miles

Wolfpack (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/2	East Carolina vs North Carolina A&T	-13.0	64.5	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/8	East Carolina vs North Carolina	+16.5	59.0	W 41 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	East Carolina at South Florida	+20.5	67.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/29	East Carolina vs Old Dominion	-7.0	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/6	East Carolina at Temple	+10.0	53.5	L 6 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/13	East Carolina vs Houston	+16.0	69.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/20	East Carolina vs UCF	+21.5	65.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	East Carolina vs Memphis	+11.0	66.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/10	East Carolina at Tulane	+10.5	53.0	L 18 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	East Carolina vs UConn	-17.0	71.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/23	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+15.5	49.5	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/1	East Carolina at NC State	+24.5	59.5	L 3 - 58	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

NC State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	NC State vs James Madison	-14.5	56.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/8	NC State vs Georgia State	-25.0	56.5	W 41 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	NC State at Marshall	-6.0	56.0	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/29	NC State vs Virginia	-5.5	52.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/6	NC State vs Boston College	-6.5	60.5	W 28 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	NC State at Clemson	+17.5	58.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/27	NC State at Syracuse	-2.0	65.0	L 41 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/3	NC State vs Florida State	-9.5	52.0	W 47 - 28	O	Y
Thu 11/8	NC State vs Wake Forest	-17.0	69.0	L 23 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/17	NC State at Louisville	-16.0	65.0	W 52 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/24	NC State at North Carolina	-7.5	61.5	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/1	NC State vs East Carolina	-24.5	59.5	W 58 - 3	O	Y
Mon 12/31	NC State vs Texas A&M	+7.5	58.5	L 13 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.09	37%	22.8	37%	2.48	129	36%	285	3.13	.2	40%	37.3	37%	42%	4.26	45.6	2.1	0.8
NCST	.22	49%	33.8	44%	2.44	130	52%	286	4.09	.18	43%	24.9	42%	42%	3.31	42.8	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	22.8	9.2	37.3%	3.13	2.1	23	414	129	285	3.7	38%	61%	37%	36%	20%	.09
NCST Defense	13	24.9	17.4	43%	3.31	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	42%	42%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	37.3	41.4	40.2%	4.26	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	42%	19%	.2
NCST Offense	13	33.8	36.6	49.1%	4.09	1.3	22	416	130	286	3.8	46%	51%	44%	52%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	30:16	22.8	36%	54%	4.8	45.6	2.1	0.8	8.8	2.9	0	26.4
NC State	13	30:36	22.1	45%	59%	4.5	42.8	1.3	1.3	6.4	2.7	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	38%	37%	35.5	129.4	3.7	13	.02	2.48	69%	10%	1.02
NCST Defense	13	42%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.81	72%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.48	71%	14%	1.11
NCST Offense	13	46%	44%	34.5	130.3	3.8	24	.02	2.44	69%	10%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	61%	36%	23.8	47.3	284.8	6	12	18	15	.14	1.7	40%	35%	.33	10%	1.8
NCST Defense	13	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.27	1.6	34%	38%	.46	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.8	34%	35%	.4	5%	1.9
NCST Offense	13	51%	52%	23.3	34.8	285.9	8.2	12.3	21	10	.44	1.5	29%	44%	.44	6%	1.6

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2018 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #110
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #118
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -14.9 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2018 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #29
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.2
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

East Carolina's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 38
East Carolina 21

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 39
East Carolina 23

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
NC State 38
East Carolina 19

Total Points: 57

NC State Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.4

NC State's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/28	NC State	24	East Carolina	17	NC State -12.5	East Carolina	58.5	Under
2024	12/28	NC State	21	East Carolina	26	NC State -7.5	East Carolina	61.5	Under
2022	09/03	East Carolina	20	NC State	21	NC State -12.5	East Carolina	52.0	Under
2019	08/31	NC State	34	East Carolina	6	NC State -17.5	NC State	52.0	Under
2018	12/01	NC State	58	East Carolina	3	NC State -24.5	NC State	59.5	Over
2016	09/10	East Carolina	33	NC State	30	NC State -3.5	East Carolina	59.0	Over
2013	11/23	NC State	28	East Carolina	42	East Carolina -6	East Carolina	0
2010	10/16	East Carolina	33	NC State	27
2008	09/20	NC State	30	East Carolina	24
2007	10/20	East Carolina	20	NC State	34
2006	11/25	NC State	16	East Carolina	21
2004	11/27	NC State	52	East Carolina	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	7	2	2 Overs
East Carolina	5	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 7	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2

(#) ECU at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#35
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#85	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 59°

Rematch from Week 14
NC State -24.5 (59.5)
NC State won vs East Carolina this year (58-3)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat NC State last year (26-21)
NC State beat East Carolina in 2022 (21-20)

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD