North Carolina at East Carolina - 2018 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, September 8th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -16.5 (59.0)
East Carolina 41 - North Carolina: 19

Tar Heels (2 - 9) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC 2nd straight Road Game
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ UNC -12.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 19 - ECU: 29 (48)
UNC Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UNC Travel: 97 miles

Pirates (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	North Carolina at California	+7.0	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/8	North Carolina at East Carolina	-16.5	59.0	L 19 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	48.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Thu 9/27	North Carolina at Miami	+17.5	56.0	L 10 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	+6.5	57.5	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/20	North Carolina at Syracuse	+9.5	67.0	L 37 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/27	North Carolina at Virginia	+7.5	51.0	L 21 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/3	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	+4.0	66.0	L 28 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/10	North Carolina at Duke	+7.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/17	North Carolina vs Western Carolina	-31.0	81.5	W 49 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/24	North Carolina vs NC State	+7.5	61.5	L 28 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

East Carolina's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/2	East Carolina vs North Carolina A&T	-13.0	64.5	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/8	East Carolina vs North Carolina	+16.5	59.0	W 41 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	East Carolina at South Florida	+20.5	67.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/29	East Carolina vs Old Dominion	-7.0	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/6	East Carolina at Temple	+10.0	53.5	L 6 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/13	East Carolina vs Houston	+16.0	69.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/20	East Carolina vs UCF	+21.5	65.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	East Carolina vs Memphis	+11.0	66.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/10	East Carolina at Tulane	+10.5	53.0	L 18 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	East Carolina vs UConn	-17.0	71.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/23	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+15.5	49.5	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/1	East Carolina at NC State	+24.5	59.5	L 3 - 58	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.09	41%	19.3	41%	2.63	144	40%	225	3.39	.21	45%	24.5	48%	40%	3.28	72.7	1.8	1.3
ECU	.12	41%	32.7	36%	2.39	108	43%	318	3.12	.43	52%	20.1	51%	52%	4.3	58.8	1.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	12	19.3	17.5	40.8%	3.39	1.8	20	370	144	225	4.1	46%	53%	41%	40%	19%	.09
ECU Defense	12	20.1	19.8	51.9%	4.3	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	51%	52%	10%	.43

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	12	24.5	23	45%	3.28	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	48%	40%	17%	.21
ECU Offense	12	32.7	36.2	41.1%	3.12	1.8	23	426	108	318	3.3	40%	58%	36%	43%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	12	26:32	19.6	30%	62%	7.8	72.7	1.8	1.3	6	1.9	2	32.1
East Carolina	12	31:08	23.3	41%	59%	6.7	58.8	1.8	0.8	3.3	0.9	0	27.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	12	46%	41%	35.6	144.2	4.1	17	.04	2.63	74%	11%	0.93
ECU Defense	12	55%	51%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.34	75%	6%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	12	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.04	74%	10%	0.98
ECU Offense	12	40%	36%	33	107.7	3.3	10	-.1	2.39	63%	8%	0.79

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	12	53%	40%	18.4	33.9	225.4	6.7	12.2	20	16	.15	1.6	33%	33%	.22	8%	1.8
ECU Defense	12	44%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.66	1.9	25%	46%	.7	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	12	43%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.7	32%	36%	.4	7%	1.9
ECU Offense	12	58%	43%	25.6	45.1	317.9	7.1	12.4	26	16	.28	1.7	34%	37%	.33	9%	1.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2018 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #88
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #94

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: East Carolina: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -2.5 East Carolina: -14.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2018 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #110
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #118
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 29
North Carolina 19

Projected Total Points: 48

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/08	East Carolina	41	North Carolina	19	North Carolina -16.5	East Carolina	59.0	Over
2014	09/20	East Carolina	70	North Carolina	41	North Carolina -2	East Carolina	0
2013	09/28	North Carolina	31	East Carolina	55	North Carolina -10	East Carolina	0
2012	09/22	North Carolina	27	East Carolina	6
2011	10/01	East Carolina	20	North Carolina	35
2010	10/02	North Carolina	42	East Carolina	17
2009	09/19	North Carolina	31	East Carolina	17
2007	09/08	East Carolina	34	North Carolina	31
2003	10/11	East Carolina	17	North Carolina	28
2001	10/06	North Carolina	24	East Carolina	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	4	3	1 Overs
North Carolina	6	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 3	2 - 1	0 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 7	1 - 2	0 - 2	1 - 0

(#) UNC at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#28	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
North Carolina 16.5 (59.0)
East Carolina won vs North Carolina this year (41-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD