Memphis at East Carolina - 2018 Matchup Preview

(#25)Memphis Tigers at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -11 (66.5)
Memphis 59 - East Carolina: 41 (American Athletic)

Tigers (8 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 32 (34 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MEM coming off BYE
ECU coming off BYE
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ MEM -24)
Projected Score: MEM: 36 - ECU: 32 (68)
MEM Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 711 miles, 1 hrs behind

Pirates (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 37 (32 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MEM Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Memphis vs Mercer	-28
Sat 9/8	Memphis at Navy	-7.0	67.0	L 21 - 22	U	N
Fri 9/14	Memphis vs Georgia State	-28.5	63.0	W 59 - 22	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Memphis vs South Alabama	-31.5	66.0	W 52 - 35	O	N
Fri 9/28	Memphis at Tulane	-14.5	66.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/6	Memphis vs UConn	-36.0	77.5	W 55 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/13	Memphis vs UCF	+5.0	80.5	L 30 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Memphis at Missouri	+8.5	69.5	L 33 - 65	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Memphis at East Carolina	-11.0	66.5	W 59 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Memphis vs Tulsa	-16.5	66.0	W 47 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/16	Memphis at SMU	-7.5	74.5	W 28 - 18	U	Y
Fri 11/23	Memphis vs Houston	-9.5	75.5	W 52 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/1	Memphis at UCF	+1.0	65.0	L 41 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/22	Memphis vs Wake Forest	-2.0	71.0	L 34 - 37	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

East Carolina's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/2	East Carolina vs North Carolina A&T	-13.0	64.5	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/8	East Carolina vs North Carolina	+16.5	59.0	W 41 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	East Carolina at South Florida	+20.5	67.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/29	East Carolina vs Old Dominion	-7.0	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/6	East Carolina at Temple	+10.0	53.5	L 6 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/13	East Carolina vs Houston	+16.0	69.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/20	East Carolina vs UCF	+21.5	65.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	East Carolina vs Memphis	+11.0	66.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/10	East Carolina at Tulane	+10.5	53.0	L 18 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	East Carolina vs UConn	-17.0	71.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/23	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+15.5	49.5	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/1	East Carolina at NC State	+24.5	59.5	L 3 - 58	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	.31	48%	42.9	49%	3.13	279	44%	243	4.19	.18	40%	31.9	40%	40%	4.01	59.3	1.2	1.6
ECU	.09	37%	22.8	37%	2.48	129	36%	285	3.13	.2	40%	37.3	37%	42%	4.26	45.6	2.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	14	42.9	34.3	47.6%	4.19	1.2	25	523	279	243	6.4	56%	42%	49%	44%	14%	.31
ECU Defense	12	37.3	34.4	40.2%	4.26	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	42%	19%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	14	31.9	40.3	40.4%	4.01	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	40%	40%	17%	.18
ECU Offense	12	22.8	32.4	37.3%	3.13	2.1	23	414	129	285	3.7	38%	61%	37%	36%	20%	.09

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	14	28:28	24.5	47%	61%	7.1	59.3	1.2	1.6	7.1	2.4	4	30.3
East Carolina	12	30:16	22.8	36%	54%	4.8	45.6	2.1	0.8	8.8	2.9	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	14	56%	49%	43.9	279.4	6.4	48	.29	3.13	86%	9%	1.15
ECU Defense	12	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.48	71%	14%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	14	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	75%	11%	1.08
ECU Offense	12	38%	37%	35.5	129.4	3.7	13	.02	2.48	69%	10%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	14	42%	44%	18.3	29.5	243.2	8.2	13.3	28	10	.37	1.8	30%	39%	.44	5%	2
ECU Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.8	34%	35%	.4	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	14	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.8	36%	36%	.42	6%	1.9
ECU Offense	12	61%	36%	23.8	47.3	284.8	6	12	18	15	.14	1.7	40%	35%	.33	10%	1.8

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2018 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #36
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8 #13
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: East Carolina: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 9.2 East Carolina: -14.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2018 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #110
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #118
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 42.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Memphis's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 36
East Carolina 32

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 36
East Carolina 33

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 37
East Carolina 32

Total Points: 69

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.4
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.4

East Carolina's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	East Carolina	31	Memphis	27	East Carolina -3	East Carolina	56.5	Over
2022	10/15	East Carolina	47	Memphis	45	East Carolina -5.5	Memphis	62.5	Over
2021	11/13	Memphis	29	East Carolina	30	Memphis -4	East Carolina	58.5	Over
2018	11/03	East Carolina	41	Memphis	59	Memphis -11	Memphis	66.5	Over
2017	11/25	Memphis	70	East Carolina	13	Memphis -29.5	Memphis	81.0	Over
2012	10/13	East Carolina	41	Memphis	7
2011	10/15	Memphis	17	East Carolina	35
2010	09/11	East Carolina	49	Memphis	27
2009	10/27	Memphis	19	East Carolina	38
2008	10/18	East Carolina	30	Memphis	10
2007	11/03	Memphis	40	East Carolina	56
2006	09/16	East Carolina	35	Memphis	20
2005	10/22	Memphis	27	East Carolina	24
2004	11/20	East Carolina	35	Memphis	38
2003	11/01	Memphis	41	East Carolina	24
2001	10/20	East Carolina	32	Memphis	11
2000	10/06	Memphis	17	East Carolina	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	11	2	5 Overs
Memphis	6	3	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 6	2 - 3	2 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 11	3 - 2	1 - 0	2 - 2

(#) MEM at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#36	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#74	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Memphis Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Memphis 11.0 (66.5)
Memphis won at East Carolina this year (59-41)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Memphis in 2022 (47-45)

MEM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD