Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee

Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee - 2018 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -2.5 (63.5)
Middle Tennessee 25 - Florida Atlantic: 24 (Conference USA)

Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (28 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU coming off BYE
FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ FAU -3)
Projected Score: FAU: 30 - MTSU: 39 (69)
FAU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 752 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blue Raiders (8 - 6) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma	+18.5	67.0	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/8	Florida Atlantic vs Air Force	-8.0	61.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/15	Florida Atlantic vs Bethune-Cookman	-41.0
Fri 9/21	Florida Atlantic at UCF	+14.0	74.5	L 36 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/29	Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	63.5	L 24 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/6	Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion	-13.5	63.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Florida Atlantic at Marshall	-2.5	59.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 10/26	Florida Atlantic vs Louisiana Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/3	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	+2.0	59.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	-17.5	59.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Thu 11/15	Florida Atlantic at North Texas	+4.5	63.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-16.5	54.5	L 24 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+3.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/8	Middle Tennessee vs UT Martin	-19.0	46.5	W 61 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Middle Tennessee at Georgia	+34.5	60.0	L 7 - 49	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	63.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/5	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	+3.0	50.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	+2.0	61.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-17.0	50.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/27	Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion	-4.0	62.0	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/2	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-13.5	53.0	W 29 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	-13.5	49.0	W 48 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Middle Tennessee at Kentucky	+16.5	48.5	L 23 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Middle Tennessee vs UAB	+3.0	51.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Middle Tennessee vs UAB	-1.5	44.0	L 25 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/15	Middle Tennessee vs App State	+6.5	48.0	L 13 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.22	44%	31.1	45%	2.88	242	41%	237	3.99	.16	43%	31.7	40%	45%	3.92	62.8	1.8	1.3
MTSU	.13	42%	28	41%	2.78	129	40%	260	3.33	.13	40%	26.7	41%	38%	3.29	50.9	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	31.1	28	44.3%	3.99	1.8	24	479	242	237	5.1	59%	40%	45%	41%	17%	.22
MTSU Defense	14	26.7	19	40.5%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	31.7	38.3	42.5%	3.92	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	45%	15%	.16
MTSU Offense	14	28	31.3	41.6%	3.33	1.4	21	389	129	260	3.6	44%	54%	41%	40%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	29:23	23.9	33%	55%	6.6	62.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	2	1	28.4
Middle Tennessee	14	30:26	20.8	38%	53%	5.4	50.9	1.4	1.6	6.6	2.6	5	31.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	59%	45%	47.2	241.8	5.1	35	.21	2.88	69%	11%	1.14
MTSU Defense	14	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.86	72%	11%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.74	67%	9%	1.01
MTSU Offense	14	44%	41%	35.8	128.8	3.6	15	.05	2.78	67%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	40%	41%	18.8	30.3	237	7.8	12.6	14	15	.25	1.7	32%	30%	.24	6%	2
MTSU Defense	14	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.7	34%	32%	.32	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.5	32%	30%	.25	5%	2
MTSU Offense	14	54%	40%	23.9	34.6	259.9	7.5	10.9	29	11	.22	1.6	34%	34%	.29	5%	1.8

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8 #81
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #49
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #82

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: Middle Tennessee: 0.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -0.8 Middle Tennessee: -3.8

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 0.6 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #91
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #103
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #68

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 39
Florida Atlantic 30

Total Points: 69

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 46
Florida Atlantic 34

Total Points: 81

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 32
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 58

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Middle Tennessee's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/19	Middle Tennessee	49	Florida Atlantic	21	Florida Atlantic -5.5	Middle Tennessee	51.0	Over
2021	11/27	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	27	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Middle Tennessee	49.5	Under
2019	10/12	Florida Atlantic	28	Middle Tennessee	13	Florida Atlantic -12	Florida Atlantic	63.5	Under
2018	09/29	Middle Tennessee	25	Florida Atlantic	24	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Middle Tennessee	63.5	Under
2017	09/30	Florida Atlantic	38	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	60.0	Under
2016	11/26	Middle Tennessee	77	Florida Atlantic	56	Middle Tennessee -12.5	Middle Tennessee	64.0	Over
2015	11/14	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	24	Middle Tennessee -6	Middle Tennessee	57.5	Under
2014	11/22	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	34	Middle Tennessee -7	Florida Atlantic	0
2013	09/21	Florida Atlantic	35	Middle Tennessee	42	Middle Tennessee -4	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	09/08	Middle Tennessee	31	Florida Atlantic	17
2011	10/22	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	38
2010	11/27	Middle Tennessee	38	Florida Atlantic	14
2009	10/31	Florida Atlantic	20	Middle Tennessee	27
2008	09/30	Middle Tennessee	14	Florida Atlantic	13
2007	09/01	Florida Atlantic	27	Middle Tennessee	14
2006	11/04	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	14
2005	10/15	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	35
2004	09/18	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic	27
2003	08/28	Middle Tennessee	19	Florida Atlantic	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	14	6	2 Overs
Florida Atlantic	5	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 11	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3

(#) FAU at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#91
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#67	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Florida Atlantic 2.5 (63.5)
Middle Tennessee won vs Florida Atlantic this year (25-24)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (49-21)

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD