Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt - 2018 Matchup Preview
 
Blue Raiders (8 - 6) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (27 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Our Line: -8  (SP+ VAN -11)
Projected Score: MTSU: 31 - VAN: 28 (59)
VAN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MTSU Travel: 32 miles
Commodores (6 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt+3.057.5L 7 - 35UN
Sat 9/8 Middle Tennessee vs UT Martin-19.046.5W 61 - 37OY
Sat 9/15 Middle Tennessee at Georgia+34.560.0L 7 - 49UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic+2.563.5W 25 - 24UY
Fri 10/5 Middle Tennessee at Marshall+3.050.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 10/13 Middle Tennessee at Florida International+2.061.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/20 Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte-17.050.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 10/27 Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion-4.062.0W 51 - 17OY
Fri 11/2 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky-13.553.0W 29 - 10UY
Sat 11/10 Middle Tennessee at UTEP-13.549.0W 48 - 32OY
Sat 11/17 Middle Tennessee at Kentucky+16.548.5L 23 - 34OY
Sat 11/24 Middle Tennessee vs UAB+3.051.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 12/1 Middle Tennessee vs UAB-1.544.0L 25 - 27ON
Sat 12/15 Middle Tennessee vs App State+6.548.0L 13 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Vanderbilt vs Middle Tennessee-3.057.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/8 Vanderbilt vs Nevada-10.059.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/15 Vanderbilt at Notre Dame+14.051.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/22 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+1.553.5L 14 - 37UN
Sat 9/29 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee State-28.0
Sat 10/6 Vanderbilt at Georgia+15
Sat 10/13 Vanderbilt vs Florida+9.551.0L 27 - 37ON
Sat 10/20 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+10.545.0L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/27 Vanderbilt at Arkansas-1.051.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Vanderbilt at Missouri+13.565.0L 28 - 33UY
Sat 11/17 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss-3.072.5W 36 - 29UY
Sat 11/24 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee-3.551.5W 38 - 13UY
Thu 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Baylor-4.056.5L 38 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1342%2841%2.7812940%2603.33.1340%26.741%38%3.2950.91.41.6
VAN.2345%28.545%2.9616843%2443.42.2548%26.651%43%3.7643.71.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense142827.341.6%3.331.4213891292603.644%54%41%40%16%.13
VAN Defense1326.622.948.4%3.761.5 - - - - - 52%46%51%43%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1426.730.740.5%3.291.6 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%18%.13
VAN Offense1328.531.744.8%3.421.121411168244548%51%45%43%16%.23

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1430:2620.838%53%5.450.91.41.66.62.6531.9
Vanderbilt1330:4921.237%50%5.543.71.11.54.81.8029.4
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1444%41%35.8128.83.615.052.7867%11%0.93
VAN Defense1352%51% - - - - .213.4372%9%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1452%41% - - - - .122.8672%11%0.99
VAN Offense1348%45%33.4167.5522.162.9663%10%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1454%40%23.934.6259.97.510.92911.221.634%34%.295%1.8
VAN Defense1346%43% - - - - - - 13.321.629%38%.467%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1447%38% - - - - - - 16.151.734%32%.327%2
VAN Offense1351%43%19.832243.77.612.3246.311.630%35%.467%2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8  #91
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #103
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #68

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Vanderbilt: 6.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -3.8   Vanderbilt: 7.6




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.3 NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Vanderbilt's 2018 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #39
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #24
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Middle Tennessee's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 31
Vanderbilt 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 35
Vanderbilt 25

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Vanderbilt 30
Middle Tennessee 26

Total Points: 56
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.9

Vanderbilt's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/01Vanderbilt35Middle Tennessee7Vanderbilt -3Vanderbilt57.5Under
201709/02Middle Tennessee6Vanderbilt28Vanderbilt -2.5Vanderbilt58.0Under
201609/10Vanderbilt47Middle Tennessee24Vanderbilt -5Vanderbilt51.0Over
201510/03Middle Tennessee13Vanderbilt17Middle Tennessee -4.5Vanderbilt49.5Under
200510/01Vanderbilt15Middle Tennessee17
200210/12Vanderbilt20Middle Tennessee21
200108/30Vanderbilt28Middle Tennessee37
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt441 Overs
Middle Tennessee303 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 52 - 22 - 10 - 1
Road Teams5 - 22 - 21 - 01 - 2

(#) MTSU at (#) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUVAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #39
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #91 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffVAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCatVAN OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCatVAN OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 81° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Vanderbilt -3.0 (57.5)
Vanderbilt won vs Middle Tennessee this year (35-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
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