Middle Tennessee at Kentucky - 2018 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, November 17th 2018 (12:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -16.5 (48.5)
Kentucky 34 - Middle Tennessee: 23

Blue Raiders (8 - 6) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (27 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
UK is playing their 5th straight game
MTSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ UK -17)
Projected Score: MTSU: 27 - UK: 23 (50)
UK Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 182 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+3.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/8	Middle Tennessee vs UT Martin	-19.0	46.5	W 61 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Middle Tennessee at Georgia	+34.5	60.0	L 7 - 49	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	63.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/5	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	+3.0	50.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	+2.0	61.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-17.0	50.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/27	Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion	-4.0	62.0	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/2	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-13.5	53.0	W 29 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	-13.5	49.0	W 48 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Middle Tennessee at Kentucky	+16.5	48.5	L 23 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Middle Tennessee vs UAB	+3.0	51.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Middle Tennessee vs UAB	-1.5	44.0	L 25 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/15	Middle Tennessee vs App State	+6.5	48.0	L 13 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Kentucky's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Kentucky vs Central Michigan	-17.5	49.0	W 35 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/8	Kentucky at Florida	+13.5	52.5	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Kentucky vs Murray State	-41.0	56.5	W 48 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+9.5	56.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Kentucky vs South Carolina	+1.0	52.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+5.0	48.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-10.5	45.0	W 14 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/27	Kentucky at Missouri	+7.5	54.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Kentucky vs Georgia	+9.5	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/10	Kentucky at Tennessee	-5.0	43.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/17	Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-16.5	48.5	W 34 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/24	Kentucky at Louisville	-17.0	53.0	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Tue 1/1	Kentucky vs Penn State	+4.5	47.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.13	42%	28	41%	2.78	129	40%	260	3.33	.13	40%	26.7	41%	38%	3.29	50.9	1.4	1.6
UK	.13	44%	26.7	46%	3.1	199	40%	161	3.74	.1	39%	16.8	42%	35%	2.61	55.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	14	28	27.3	41.6%	3.33	1.4	21	389	129	260	3.6	44%	54%	41%	40%	16%	.13
UK Defense	13	16.8	15.9	39.5%	2.61	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	35%	21%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	14	26.7	30.7	40.5%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.13
UK Offense	13	26.7	28.6	44.1%	3.74	1.4	20	360	199	161	4.8	61%	38%	46%	40%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	14	30:26	20.8	38%	53%	5.4	50.9	1.4	1.6	6.6	2.6	5	31.9
Kentucky	13	30:23	20.1	39%	60%	6	55.1	1.4	1.5	6.9	2.9	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	14	44%	41%	35.8	128.8	3.6	15	.05	2.78	67%	11%	0.93
UK Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.76	63%	13%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	14	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.86	72%	11%	0.99
UK Offense	13	61%	46%	41.1	198.7	4.8	27	.14	3.1	72%	13%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	14	54%	40%	23.9	34.6	259.9	7.5	10.9	29	11	.22	1.6	34%	34%	.29	5%	1.8
UK Defense	13	48%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.14	1.6	35%	30%	.34	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	14	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.7	34%	32%	.32	7%	2
UK Offense	13	38%	40%	14.8	22.7	161.3	7.1	10.9	13	10	.11	1.4	28%	30%	.21	5%	1.8

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #91
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #103
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #68

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Kentucky: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -3.8 Kentucky: 13.1

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2018 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #63
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Middle Tennessee's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 27
Kentucky 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 32
Kentucky 18

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 28
Middle Tennessee 22

Total Points: 50

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Kentucky's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	11/17	Kentucky	34	Middle Tennessee	23	Kentucky -16.5	Middle Tennessee	48.5	Over
2008	09/13	Kentucky	20	Middle Tennessee	14
2002	09/21	Kentucky	44	Middle Tennessee	22

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	3	0	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#25
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#91	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 41°

Rematch from Week 12
Kentucky -16.5 (48.5)
Kentucky won vs Middle Tennessee this year (34-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD