Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic

Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic - 2018 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, November 10th 2018 (5:00 PM EST)
Florida Atlantic -17.5 (59.5)
Florida Atlantic 34 - Western Kentucky: 15 (Conference USA)

Hilltoppers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (17 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
WKU 2nd straight Road Game
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
WKU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ FAU -15)
Projected Score: WKU: 22 - FAU: 32 (54)
FAU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
WKU Travel: 822 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (34 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Western Kentucky at Wisconsin	+36.5	52.0	L 3 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Western Kentucky vs Maine	-10.0	50.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/15	Western Kentucky at Louisville	+24.5	53.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Western Kentucky at Ball State	+3.0	52.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Western Kentucky vs Marshall	+3.5	52.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Western Kentucky at Charlotte	-9.5	44.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/20	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	-4.0	55.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/27	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	+3.0	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/2	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	+13.5	53.0	L 10 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/10	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	+17.5	59.5	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/17	Western Kentucky vs UTEP	-6.5	47.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	+10.5	49.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma	+18.5	67.0	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/8	Florida Atlantic vs Air Force	-8.0	61.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/15	Florida Atlantic vs Bethune-Cookman	-41.0
Fri 9/21	Florida Atlantic at UCF	+14.0	74.5	L 36 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/29	Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	63.5	L 24 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/6	Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion	-13.5	63.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Florida Atlantic at Marshall	-2.5	59.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 10/26	Florida Atlantic vs Louisiana Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/3	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	+2.0	59.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	-17.5	59.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Thu 11/15	Florida Atlantic at North Texas	+4.5	63.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-16.5	54.5	L 24 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.1	41%	21.1	45%	2.92	137	36%	223	2.94	.13	46%	27.8	47%	41%	3.28	54.8	1.3	1.5
FAU	.22	44%	31.1	45%	2.88	242	41%	237	3.99	.16	43%	31.7	40%	45%	3.92	62.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	12	21.1	16.7	41%	2.94	1.3	19	360	137	223	3.7	46%	53%	45%	36%	17%	.1
FAU Defense	12	31.7	25	42.5%	3.92	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	45%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	12	27.8	27.4	45.7%	3.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	49%	47%	41%	16%	.13
FAU Offense	12	31.1	34.2	44.3%	3.99	1.8	24	479	242	237	5.1	59%	40%	45%	41%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	12	27:05	18.8	38%	39%	6.2	54.8	1.3	1.5	5.3	2.3	2	29.3
Florida Atlantic	12	29:23	23.9	33%	55%	6.6	62.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	2	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	12	46%	45%	36.7	136.7	3.7	15	.08	2.92	74%	10%	0.75
FAU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.74	67%	9%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	12	48%	47%	-	-	-	-	.11	3	82%	9%	0.87
FAU Offense	12	59%	45%	47.2	241.8	5.1	35	.21	2.88	69%	11%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	12	53%	36%	20.9	35.6	223	6.3	10.7	15	10	.14	1.6	36%	30%	.24	7%	2
FAU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.5	32%	30%	.25	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	12	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.6	31%	31%	.18	8%	1.8
FAU Offense	12	40%	41%	18.8	30.3	237	7.8	12.6	14	15	.25	1.7	32%	30%	.24	6%	2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2018 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #112
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #120
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #93

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Florida Atlantic: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -16.1 Florida Atlantic: -0.8

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: 2.1 NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8 #81
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #49
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #82

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 21.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.7
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Western Kentucky's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 32
Western Kentucky 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida Atlantic 33
Western Kentucky 21

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Florida Atlantic 30
Western Kentucky 23

Total Points: 53

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/26	Florida Atlantic	31	Western Kentucky	32	Western Kentucky -7.5	Florida Atlantic	62.5	Over
2021	11/20	Western Kentucky	52	Florida Atlantic	17	Western Kentucky -11.5	Western Kentucky	64.0	Over
2020	11/07	Florida Atlantic	10	Western Kentucky	6	Florida Atlantic -6.5	Western Kentucky	38.5	Under
2019	11/02	Western Kentucky	24	Florida Atlantic	35	Florida Atlantic -2	Florida Atlantic	51.5	Over
2018	11/10	Florida Atlantic	34	Western Kentucky	15	Florida Atlantic -17.5	Florida Atlantic	59.5	Under
2017	10/28	Western Kentucky	28	Florida Atlantic	42	Florida Atlantic -6.5	Florida Atlantic	67.5	Over
2016	10/29	Florida Atlantic	3	Western Kentucky	52	Western Kentucky -18	Western Kentucky	66.5	Under
2015	11/07	Western Kentucky	35	Florida Atlantic	19	Western Kentucky -22	Florida Atlantic	67.0	Under
2014	10/18	Florida Atlantic	45	Western Kentucky	38	Western Kentucky -3	Florida Atlantic	0
2012	11/10	Western Kentucky	28	Florida Atlantic	37
2011	10/15	Florida Atlantic	0	Western Kentucky	20
2010	11/06	Western Kentucky	16	Florida Atlantic	17
2009	11/28	Florida Atlantic	29	Western Kentucky	23
2008	10/18	Western Kentucky	20	Florida Atlantic	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	9	6	4 Overs
Western Kentucky	5	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 8	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 6	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2

(#) WKU at (#) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	FAU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#81
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#112	#67
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FAU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 82° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Florida Atlantic -17.5 (59.5)
Florida Atlantic won vs Western Kentucky this year (34-15)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (32-31)

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD