UAB at Middle Tennessee - 2018 Matchup Preview

UAB Blazers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, December 1st 2018 (1:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -1.5 (44.0)
UAB 27 - Middle Tennessee: 25 (Conference USA)

Blazers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 17 (23 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 12.1 MPH
UAB 3rd straight Road Game
MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU is playing their 10th straight game
UAB is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ UAB -3.5)
Projected Score: UAB: 20 - MTSU: 27 (47)
MTSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UAB Travel: 163 miles

Blue Raiders (8 - 6) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	UAB vs Savannah State	-39.0	54.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/8	UAB at Coastal Carolina	-8.5	54.5	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/15	UAB vs Tulane	+3.5	57.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	UAB vs Charlotte	-15.5	52.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/6	UAB at Louisiana Tech	-1
Sat 10/13	UAB at Rice	-17.0	52.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/20	UAB vs North Texas	-1.5	53.0	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/27	UAB at UTEP	-15.5	50.0	W 19 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/3	UAB vs UTSA	-21.5	42.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/10	UAB vs Southern Miss	-13.5	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/17	UAB at Texas A&M	+17.0	46.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/24	UAB at Middle Tennessee	-3.0	51.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/1	UAB at Middle Tennessee	+1.5	44.0	W 27 - 25	O	Y
Tue 12/18	UAB vs Northern Illinois	-1.0	41.5	W 37 - 13	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+3.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/8	Middle Tennessee vs UT Martin	-19.0	46.5	W 61 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Middle Tennessee at Georgia	+34.5	60.0	L 7 - 49	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	63.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/5	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	+3.0	50.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	+2.0	61.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-17.0	50.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/27	Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion	-4.0	62.0	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/2	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-13.5	53.0	W 29 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	-13.5	49.0	W 48 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Middle Tennessee at Kentucky	+16.5	48.5	L 23 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Middle Tennessee vs UAB	+3.0	51.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Middle Tennessee vs UAB	-1.5	44.0	L 25 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/15	Middle Tennessee vs App State	+6.5	48.0	L 13 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	.2	44%	29.9	44%	3.06	201	41%	204	3.46	.02	36%	17	34%	35%	2.38	72.9	1.4	1.4
MTSU	.13	42%	28	41%	2.78	129	40%	260	3.33	.13	40%	26.7	41%	38%	3.29	50.9	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)		47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)		52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	14	29.9	23.3	43.9%	3.46	1.4	21	406	201	204	4.5	60%	39%	44%	41%	13%	.2
MTSU Defense	14	26.7	19	40.5%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	14	17	21	35.5%	2.38	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	34%	35%	20%	.02
MTSU Offense	14	28	31.3	41.6%	3.33	1.4	21	389	129	260	3.6	44%	54%	41%	40%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	14	32:45	21.4	45%	38%	6.8	72.9	1.4	1.4	7.6	3.1	2	28
Middle Tennessee	14	30:26	20.8	38%	53%	5.4	50.9	1.4	1.6	6.6	2.6	5	31.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	14	60%	44%	44.4	201.1	4.5	32	.1	3.06	78%	9%	0.9
MTSU Defense	14	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.86	72%	11%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	14	47%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.4	59%	14%	1.04
MTSU Offense	14	44%	41%	35.8	128.8	3.6	15	.05	2.78	67%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	14	39%	41%	13.6	24.3	204.4	8.4	15	15	16	.36	2	32%	37%	.5	5%	2.2
MTSU Defense	14	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.7	34%	32%	.32	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	14	51%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.06	1.6	38%	30%	.2	6%	1.8
MTSU Offense	14	54%	40%	23.9	34.6	259.9	7.5	10.9	29	11	.22	1.6	34%	34%	.29	5%	1.8

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: NR
UAB's Offense Rating: NR
UAB's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UAB's 2018 Expected Record: -
UAB's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #75
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #104
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: Middle Tennessee: 0.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -0.3 Middle Tennessee: -3.8

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 0.6 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #91
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #103
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #68

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UAB Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 17 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

UAB's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 27
UAB 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 29
UAB 16

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
UAB 25
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 50

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Middle Tennessee's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/08	UAB	41	Middle Tennessee	14	UAB -10	UAB	53.0	Over
2018	11/24	Middle Tennessee	27	UAB	3	UAB -3	Middle Tennessee	51.5	Under
2018	12/01	Middle Tennessee	25	UAB	27	Middle Tennessee -1.5	UAB	44.0	Over
2017	10/14	UAB	25	Middle Tennessee	23	Middle Tennessee -4.5	UAB	55.0	Under
2014	10/18	Middle Tennessee	34	UAB	22	Middle Tennessee -2	Middle Tennessee	0
2013	11/02	UAB	21	Middle Tennessee	24	Middle Tennessee -6	UAB	0
2000	10/20	UAB	14	Middle Tennessee	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	3	2	2 Overs
UAB	4	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 5	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#) UAB at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#91
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#100	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UAB Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

UAB on Offense


CategoryCat	UAB Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UAB Run Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UAB Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#44
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

UAB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 60° - Wind: 12 mph
Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 14
Middle Tennessee -1.5 (44.0)
UAB won at Middle Tennessee this year (27-25)

Previous Matchups
UAB beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (41-14)

UAB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD