Air Force at Florida Atlantic - 2018 Matchup Preview

Air Force Falcons at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, September 8th 2018 (2:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -8 (61.0)
Florida Atlantic 33 - Air Force: 26

Falcons (5 - 7) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (26 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Thunderstorm Predicted
Our Line: -3 (SP+ FAU -1)
Projected Score: AFA: 26 - FAU: 34 (60)
FAU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
AFA Travel: 1674 miles, 2 hrs behind

Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (34 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AFA Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Air Force's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Air Force vs Stony Brook	-14.5	57.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Air Force at Florida Atlantic	+8.0	61.0	L 26 - 33	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Air Force at Utah State	+10.0	59.5	L 32 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Air Force vs Nevada	-3.5	64.0	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/6	Air Force vs Navy	+2.5	47.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/12	Air Force at San Diego State	+11.0	43.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 10/19	Air Force at UNLV	-9.5	55.5	W 41 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/27	Air Force vs Boise State	+10.0	58.0	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Air Force at Army	+4.5	41.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Air Force vs New Mexico	-14.0	55.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Air Force at Wyoming	+3.0	42.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
Thu 11/22	Air Force vs Colorado State	-14.5	64.0	W 27 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma	+18.5	67.0	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/8	Florida Atlantic vs Air Force	-8.0	61.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/15	Florida Atlantic vs Bethune-Cookman	-41.0
Fri 9/21	Florida Atlantic at UCF	+14.0	74.5	L 36 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/29	Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	63.5	L 24 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/6	Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion	-13.5	63.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Florida Atlantic at Marshall	-2.5	59.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 10/26	Florida Atlantic vs Louisiana Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/3	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	+2.0	59.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	-17.5	59.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Thu 11/15	Florida Atlantic at North Texas	+4.5	63.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-16.5	54.5	L 24 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA	.2	46%	30.2	46%	3.01	284	45%	131	3.71	.18	40%	25.8	35%	46%	3.78	43.4	1.3	1.2
FAU	.22	44%	31.1	45%	2.88	242	41%	237	3.99	.16	43%	31.7	40%	45%	3.92	62.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA	#103 (.13)	42% (77)		45% (60)	3.03 (68)	225	31% (131)	90	4.02 (56)	#88 (.2)	42% (68)		41% (47)	43% (89)	3.97 (84)	28	1.3	1
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Offense	12	30.2	26.2	46.4%	3.71	1.3	22	415	284	131	4.8	79%	20%	46%	45%	11%	.2
FAU Defense	12	31.7	25	42.5%	3.92	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	45%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Defense	12	25.8	30.5	40.4%	3.78	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	35%	46%	13%	.18
FAU Offense	12	31.1	34.2	44.3%	3.99	1.8	24	479	242	237	5.1	59%	40%	45%	41%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Air Force	12	34:13	22	41%	62%	4.5	43.4	1.3	1.2	4.3	1	3	27.8
Florida Atlantic	12	29:23	23.9	33%	55%	6.6	62.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	2	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Offense	12	79%	46%	59.4	283.7	4.8	33	.13	3.01	78%	8%	0.94
FAU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.74	67%	9%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Defense	12	53%	35%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.4	69%	9%	1.06
FAU Offense	12	59%	45%	47.2	241.8	5.1	35	.21	2.88	69%	11%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Offense	12	20%	45%	7.8	14	131.3	9.4	17	10	5	.49	1.9	25%	31%	.36	3%	2
FAU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.5	32%	30%	.25	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Defense	12	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.8	36%	34%	.34	4%	2.1
FAU Offense	12	40%	41%	18.8	30.3	237	7.8	12.6	14	15	.25	1.7	32%	30%	.24	6%	2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2018 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #85
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #67
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: Florida Atlantic: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -1.8 Florida Atlantic: -0.8

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: 2.1 NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8 #81
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #49
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #82

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.2
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5

Air Force's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 34
Air Force 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida Atlantic 38
Air Force 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Florida Atlantic 31
Air Force 28

Total Points: 59

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/25	Air Force	31	Florida Atlantic	7	Air Force -3.5	Air Force	54.0	Under
2018	09/08	Florida Atlantic	33	Air Force	26	Florida Atlantic -8	Air Force	61.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	1	0	0 Overs
Air Force	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) AFA at (#) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AFA	FAU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#81
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#129	#67
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Air Force Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FAU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	AFA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Thunderstorm
Temp: 85° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Florida Atlantic -8.0 (61.0)
Florida Atlantic won vs Air Force this year (33-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD